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A Compendium of Works to Increase the Probability of Project Success

Herding Cats

Project Governance. Event-Based Scheduling , 10 November 2006. Agile Software Development for Government Software Intensive System of Systems (SISoS) , Boulder Agile Meetup, 27 July 2016. How to Develop Credible Cost & Schedule Estimate. Basis of Estimate Process. Governance. Program Governance Roadmap.

2003 54
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Reading List for the Cone of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

The primary purpose of software estimation is not to predict a project’s outcome; it is to determine whether a project’s targets are realistic enough to allow the project to be controlled to meet them ? The difficulty of accurate size estimation is compounded especially at the time of inception when very little information is available.

2012 48
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Project Management, Performance Measures, and Statistical Decision Making

Herding Cats

I work in the Software Intensive System of Systems domains in Aerospace, Defense, Enterprise IT (both commercial and government) applying Agile, Earned Value Management, Productive Statistical Estimating (both parametric and Monte Carlo), Risk Management, and Root Cause Analysis with a variety of capabilities. Department of Energy.

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The Trouble with Charts

Herding Cats

The other statistical issue is the chart showing #Noestimates versus other types of estimates. But the sample space of the total population of projects with #Noestmates as their estimating technique is only 3% of the total population. Maybe 11 to 12 for No Estimates and maybe some less than 15 for Light Weight Scrum, say 13. .

2006 37
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Risk Management Resources

Herding Cats

requires making estimates) ? México, 1 al 3 de Febrero de 2006. Pich, Working Paper, 21/2006, Cambridge University, Judge Business School. Estimation of Long?Term Estimating of Value at Risk: Extreme Value and Robust Approaches,” Grazyna Trzpiot and Justyna Majewska, Operations Research Decisions , No.

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A Compendium of Risk Management Resources

Herding Cats

requires making estimates) ? México, 1 al 3 de Febrero de 2006. Pich, Working Paper, 21/2006, Cambridge University, Judge Business School. Estimation of Long?Term Estimating of Value at Risk: Extreme Value and Robust Approaches,” Grazyna Trzpiot and Justyna Majewska, Operations Research Decisions , No.

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Misunderstanding Making Decisions in the Presence of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

What happens if you shift focus from "accurate estimation" to "reliably shipping by a date"? . If your project has no uncertainty, there is no need to estimate. All estimates have precision and accuracy. Deciding how much precision and accuracy is needed for a credible estimate is critical to the success of that decision.

2003 46