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A Compendium of Works to Increase the Probability of Project Success

Herding Cats

Here are my collected works, presentations, briefings, journal papers, articles, white papers, and essays, used to increase the Probability of Project Success (PoPS) I've developed and applied over my career in the software-intensive system of systems domain. Project Performance Management. Project Driven Organization Framework.

2003 54
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3 Questions That Must Be Asked at Every Project Management Meeting

Herding Cats

For software projects, Scrum can be used. The only answer to that is a measure of Physical Percent Complete (P%C). P%C starts with defining the Measures of Performance and Technical Performance Measures for each deliverable as a function of time. Risk-Informed Decision Making , NASA/SP-2010-576.

2010 39
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Cone of Uncertainty - Revisited

Herding Cats

“The Cone of Uncertainty,” Stephen Gryphon, Phillippe Kruchten, and Steve McConnell, Letters, IEEE Software , 23 (5) 2006, pp 8?10. Shrinking the Cone of Uncertainty with Continuous Assessment for Software Team Dynamics in Design and Development,” Pongtip Aroonvatanaporn,”Ph.D. 37–48, 2007.

2012 29
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Managing in Presence of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

This is an immutable principle that impacts planning, execution, performance measures, decision making, risk, budgeting, and overall business and technical management of the project and the business funding the project no matter the domain, context, technology or any methods. All project work operates in the presence of uncertainty.

2010 28
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Deconstructing The Cone of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

The paper on the Cone of Uncertainty is used by many in the No Estimates community as an example of why estimates are of little use. In this paper, there is data that does not follow the Cone of Uncertainty, in that the uncertainty of the estimates does not reduce as the project proceeds. Then there is some analysis.

2007 42
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Cone of Uncertainty - Part Cinq

Herding Cats

Barry Boehm's work in “Software Engineering Economics”. The Cone is a project management framework describing the uncertainty aspects of estimates (cost and schedule) and other project attributes (cost, schedule, and technical performance parameters). There can be cost and schedule performance measures as well.

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Cone of Uncertainty - Part Cinq (Updated)

Herding Cats

Barry Boehm's work in “Software Engineering Economics”. The Cone is a project management framework describing the uncertainty aspects of estimates (cost and schedule) and other project attributes (cost, schedule, and technical performance parameters). Estimates are needed but are subject to large level of uncertainty.