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Misunderstanding Making Decisions in the Presence of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

What happens if you shift focus from "accurate estimation" to "reliably shipping by a date"? . If your project has no uncertainty, there is no need to estimate. Turns out in the real world there is no such project. All estimates have precision and accuracy. Accuracy - how close is the estimate to the actual value?

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Risk Management Resources

Herding Cats

Information about key project cost, (technical) performance, and schedule attributes is often uncertain or unknown until late in the program. requires making estimates) ? A Risk Management Methodology for Project Risk Dependencies,” Tak Wah Kwan and Hareton K.N., 5, September/October 2011. Estimation of Long?Term

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A Compendium of Risk Management Resources

Herding Cats

Let's start with a critical understanding of the purpose of managing risk on software development projects. Information about key project cost, (technical) performance and schedule attributes is often uncertain or unknown until late in the program. requires making estimates) ? 5, September/October 2011. 24, 2010.