Software Estimating Resources

Herding Cats

This blog page is dedicated to the resources used to estimate software-intensive systems using traditional and agile development methods. The reason for this resource page is the lack of understanding of how to estimate, the urban myths about software estimating, and the fallacies that estimating is not needed, when developing software, in the presence of uncertainty, when spending other peoples money. Estimating Probable System Cost,” Stephen A. 3, July 2011.

Estimating is a Learned Skill

Herding Cats

Estimating is a learned skill, used for any purpose from every-day life to management of projects. When I left for the airport this morning to catch my flight to a customer site I estimated, given the conditions, how much time I need to get to my favorite parking spot at DIA. The same process for estimating is applied to multi-billion dollar projects we work. Here's some materials that provide the tools and processes needed to learn how to estimate. 2011).

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Risk Management is How Adults Manage Projects

Herding Cats

In a recent exchange in social media, it was clear the notion of risk and the sources of risk, the consequences or risks and managing in the presence of risk was in very unclear, when it was conjectured , we can simply slice the work into small bits and REDUCE risk. . First, the only risk that can be reduced is the risk created by Epistemic Uncertainty. Making things small does not reduce the risk it may make the uncertainty smaller.

2003 38

Basis of Estimating Software Development

Herding Cats

The estimating of software development is both straightforward and complex. When it is suggested that estimating is hard, of no value, and unnecessary, always ask what principle is used to support that claim? Here are some resources that will provide guidance to produce credible software development estimates, in both traditional and agile domains. Software Sizing and Estimating: Mk II FPA , Charles Symons, John Wiley & Sons, 1991. IT Risk Management.

Risk Management Resources

Herding Cats

Risk Management is essential for development and production programs. Risk issues that can be identified early in the program, which will potentially impact the program later, termed Known Unknowns and can be alleviated with good risk management. requires making estimates) ? Effective Risk Management 2 nd Edition , Edmund Conrow, AIAA, 2003. Risk Management is Project Management for Adults - Tim Lister. 1, 2011.

Risk 35

A Compendium of Risk Management Resources

Herding Cats

This blog page is dedicated to the resources used to manage the risk encountered on software-intensive systems using traditional and agile development methods. Let's start with a critical understanding of the purpose of managing risk on software development projects. Risk Management is essential for development and production programs. requires making estimates) ? Effective Risk Management 2nd Edition, Edmund Conrow, AIAA, 2003.

Risk 33

So what’s in your company’s project management dictionary?

Kiron Bondale

We often joke that the only correct answer to a project management question is “ It depends! “ Many of us would also agree that the right approach to deliver a project is one which is tailored to fit its context, complexity and the culture in which it will be managed. But there is still value in establishing some standards for project management. Let’s consider a team’s degree of confidence in its estimates. Project manager.

2016 144

A Compendium of Works to Increase the Probability of Project Success

Herding Cats

Business, Technical, Systems, Risk, and Project Management. Managment Processes. Nine Best Practices of Project Management , Software Program Managers Network (SPMN). Top Habits of Successful Project Managers. Integrated Master Plan: The Foundation of Program Success , College of Performance Management, May 21, 2014. The Nine "I's" of Program Success ," College of Performance Management. Ten Rules for Common Sense Program Management.

2008 45

Compendium of Works to Increase Probability of Project Success

Herding Cats

Business, Technical, Systems, Risk, and Project Management Briefings and Presentations. Management Processes (#MP). Project Performance Management (#PPM). Agile Project Management (#APM). Risk Management (#RM). Cost, Schedule, and Technical Performance Management (#CSTPM). Earned Value Management (#EVM). Integrating Agile and Earned Value Management (#AEVM). Business, Technical, Systems, Risk, and Project Management.

2015 37

Misunderstanding Making Decisions in the Presence of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

What happens if you shift focus from "accurate estimation" to "reliably shipping by a date"? . If your project has no uncertainty, there is no need to estimate. Uncertainty is related to three aspects of the management of projects: The external world - the activities of the project itself. The risk is created when we have not accounted for this natural variances in our management plan for the project. An aleatory risk is expressed as a relation to a value.

Reading List for the Cone of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

The primary purpose of software estimation is not to predict a project’s outcome; it is to determine whether a project’s targets are realistic enough to allow the project to be controlled to meet them ? The beginning of all business critical software development projects is the point in time when performing organizations are least certain about the project, yet it is also the time when top management expects to be delivered project estimates that are very precise.

2012 41

Biases in Project Management and How to Remove Them

Herding Cats

There is always lots of complaining about the biases introduced into managing projects and making the estimates needed to make project decisions. Optimism bias - a cognitive bias that causes a person to believe that they are at a lesser risk of experiencing a negative event compared to others. The first step is to recognize there are immutable principles of managing in the presence of uncertainty. 2] "The effect of fast and slow decisions on risk taking," M.

Process Reduces Agility? Only on De Minimis Projects

Herding Cats

Agile Development of Safety-Critical Software , Matti Vuori, Tampre University of Technology, 2011. A Closer Look at 804, A Summary of Considerations for DOD Program Managers, CMU/SEI-2011-SR-015. And of course, each of these domains operates in the presence of reducible and irreducible uncertainty requiring Risk Management processes. NoEstimates Agile Estimating RiskA popular toss off aphrase in some agile circles is process reduces agility.

Biases in Project Management and How to Remove Them

Herding Cats

There is always lots of complaining about the biases introduced into managing projects and making the estimates needed to make project decisions. Optimism bias - a cognitive bias that causes a person to believe that they are at a lesser risk of experiencing a negative event compared to others. The first step is to recognize there are immutable principles of managing in the presence of uncertainty. 2] "The effect of fast and slow decisions on risk taking," M.

Quote of the Day

Herding Cats

In order to manage in the presence of uncertainty effectively, the decision maker needs to know the possible outcomes of uncertain events and processes, and assess the likelihood of these outcomes. In all cases, the assessment of these uncertainties and their impacts on the decision-makers ability to make a risk-informed decision requires estimates to be made. . No risk-informed decision can be made in the presence of uncertainty without estimating.

2011 30

KanbanFlow vs Trello – Who Wins the Battle?

nTask

Since way before the time of the pandemic and the start of the most chaotic time ever for businesses, project management software has been very important for the organizational paradigm. Meeting Management. Risk Management. Issues Management. Calendar management.

2020 101

Quote of the Day

Herding Cats

It is the lack of needed knowledge of the state of the system in the present or in the future that creates risk. [1], deterministic world, risk management is a critical success factor for increasing the probability of program success. [4] 4] Risk Never Occurs Without a Cause, that Cause is Uncertainty ? Risk is the Outcome of Uncertainty. Making decisions in the presence of uncertainty requires estimating the outcomes of those decisions.

2005 30

Top Solutions to Project Failure – Epicflow Research Part 2

Epicflow Blog

Andrew Middleton , the Managing Director at AMWireless, tells us how to make sure you aren’t fighting a losing battle by trying to manage the unmanageable: “All project stakeholders have got to be on board right from the start and it’s up to the PM to make sure it stays that way! If at the start of the project you are trying to manage a bunch of people who do not have the mindset to deliver to time, cost, scope, etc. Perform Risk Management.

2019 63

Trello vs Asana vs Toggl Plan: What’s the Best Project Management Tool (2020)

Teamweek

Trello and Asana are two popular project management tools. Instead, both need to be evaluated based on: the size of your team, your project management workflow, and the tool’s onboarding time and ease of use. Essential features in project management tools. Team management.

2020 52

Quote of the Day

Herding Cats

It is the lack of needed knowledge of the state of the system in the present or in the future that creates risk. [1], deterministic world, risk management is a critical success factor for increasing the probability of program success. [4] 4] Risk Never Occurs Without a Cause, that Cause is Uncertainty ? Risk is the Outcome of Uncertainty. Making decisions in the presence of uncertainty requires estimating the outcomes of those decisions.

2005 28

Complete Collection of Project Management Statistics 2015

Wrike

Need up-to-date facts and figures for a project management report, article, or infographic? Browse this collection of project management statistics collected from studies and reports from the past five years. Benefits of Project Management. —1A. Project Management Methodologies. —1B. Project Management Best Practices. —1C. Agile Project Management. Project Management Salaries. Project Management Training & Certification.

2015 49

Treat Cause Not The Symptom

Herding Cats

Anytime you hear a description of some problem - a symptom - say bad management, misuse of some process, or poorly performing people issue, ask what is the root cause ? Center for Strategic and International Studies, April 2011. IT Risk Management. Herding Cats: Principles of Cost and Schedule Estimating. Why Guessing is not Estimating and Estimating is not Guessing.

2008 32

12 Best Mavenlink Alternatives for Project Management in 2020 (Free and Paid)

Workzone

Popular amoung enterprise teams, Mavenlink finds uses across professional service businesses such as marketing, advertising, public relations, architecture, engineering, IT services, management consulting, and education. Mavenlink markets itself as a work management solution.

2020 28

53 Best Project Management Software Solutions for Your Team

Workzone

There are over 400 project management software solutions on the market, as of April 2020, according to Software Advice. We’ve compiled a list of the best project management software options, including the pros and cons of each, to help you find the perfect solution for your company.

Software Review: ProjectManager.com [2016]

Girl's Guide to PM

The dashboards give you a snapshot of the project in real time and are ideal for showing a summary of progress, risks and effort on one page – good for project sponsors and other stakeholders who aren’t that good at reading status reports. That makes it easy for you to link your project management software to your accounting tools, contact management system or helpdesk software. But overall, this is a good solid tool which does everything most project managers will need.

2016 181

Webinar Recap: SIPOC Workshop Facilitation – Part 1: Overview of SIPOC and Systems

MPUG

Jeff is currently the lead course developer for Edward’s Performance Solution and oversees the production and maintenance of courses on project management, systems engineering, software development, business process improvement, and cybersecurity. Risk owners.

2021 52

Little's Law - Use, Misuse, and Sometimes Simply Wrong Ideas

Herding Cats

Then we have to Estimate what these measures need to be so the third variable of Little's Law can be Calculated. It has been suggested that with Little's Law No Estimates (#NoEstimates) can be applied. So estimates are needed to produce numbers for this demand, rather than measuring the demand. Estimating Average Production INtervals Using Inventory Measurements: Little's Law for Partially Observable Processes," Ardavan Nozari and Ward Whitt, Operations Research , Vol.

2017 32

Product Discovery Anti-Patterns Leading to Failure

Scrum.org

And this is precisely the point: The Product Owner miraculously identifies what is the best way to proceed as a Scrum Team by managing the Product Backlog. Or the product delivery organization is solely briefed indirectly by key account managers. TL; DR: Product Discovery Anti-Patterns.

2021 49

Modeling the Future is the Basis of Project Success

Herding Cats

This ignores the principles of predictive analytics, and the direct management actions taken to produce outcomes from those analytical models found everywhere from project management to grocery store management and the model-based systems engineering. PP&C lives in the domain of Project Management and Controls, which is a Technical Management Processes of ISO 15288. In ISO 15288 this is the role of the Risk Management Processes.