The Psychology of Forecasting Uncertainty
LiquidPlanner
MAY 9, 2022
They assumed that their observations would hold true during future training exercises or combat. . Kahneman, Thinking, Fast and Slow, New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 2011. . He would review his observations with his colleagues, and they were all very confident that they understood each candidate’s character and leadership skills.
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