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A Compendium of Works to Increase the Probability of Project Success

Herding Cats

Here are my collected works, presentations, briefings, journal papers, articles, white papers, and essays, used to increase the Probability of Project Success (PoPS) I've developed and applied over my career in the software-intensive system of systems domain. Building a Credible Performance Measurement Baseline.

2003 54
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Cone of Uncertainty - Revisited

Herding Cats

The Cone of Uncertainty,” Stephen Gryphon, Phillippe Kruchten, and Steve McConnell, Letters, IEEE Software , 23 (5) 2006, pp 8?10. Shrinking the Cone of Uncertainty with Continuous Assessment for Software Team Dynamics in Design and Development,” Pongtip Aroonvatanaporn,”Ph.D. Thesis, University of Southern California, August 2012.

2012 29
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Deconstructing The Cone of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

Shipping on time, to specifications, and within budget might be meaningless if a competitor is shipping software that has a greater value to the market. Landmark’s measure of success over these three years had much more to do with customer satisfaction and market share than with meeting knowingly aggressive targets. Laird and M.

2007 42
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Misinterpretations of the Cone of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

The Cone of Uncertainty is a framing assumption used to model the needed reduction in some parameter of interest in domains ranging from software development to hurricane forecasting. The Cone of Uncertainty as a Technical Performance Measure. Thesis, University of Southern California, August 2012. Prentice-Hall, 1981.

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Modeling the Future is the Basis of Project Success

Herding Cats

For approaches that have been implemented on existing systems, obtaining such understanding may require measurement and analysis. For scenarios where the project under consideration does not yet exist, performance prediction using analytical modeling or simulation is necessary. The IMS is then placed on a baseline in the PMB.

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Managing in Presence of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

This is an immutable principle that impacts planning, execution, performance measures, decision making, risk, budgeting, and overall business and technical management of the project and the business funding the project no matter the domain, context, technology or any methods. All project work operates in the presence of uncertainty.

2010 28
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Compendium of Works to Increase Probability of Project Success

Herding Cats

Here's a collection of presentations, briefings, papers, essays, book content used to increase the Probability of Project Success (PoPS) I've written and applied over my career in the software-intensive system of systems and other domains. Project Performance Management (#PPM). Technical Performance Measures (#TPM).