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2017 Project Management Trends To Watch

Girl's Guide to PM

This time last year I reviewed the trends in social and collaborative technology in the project management space: some of my predictions had come to nothing and it was interesting to look backward and hold myself accountable for what I said would happen. This year I’m looking forward into 2017 to highlight some of the project management trends I think it is worth watching out for. The APM has already made huge inroads to gaining Chartered status for Project Managers.

2017 195

How to Talk About Estimates

Herding Cats

What is an estimate? An estimate as a noun is an approximate calculation or judgment of the value, number, quantity, or extent of something. An estimate as a verb is to roughly calculate or judge the value, number, quantity, or extent of. But those estimates, nouns, and verbs themselves's have other attributes. The best starting point for determining the NEEDED precision and accuracy is to determine the Value at Risk. . Estimates. IT Risk Management.

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Principles of Cost and Schedule Estimating

Herding Cats

One of the 4 summary root causes of project performance failures is Unrealistic Cost and Schedule Estimates based on inadequate risk-adjusted growth models. Those making these claims may have their own personal purposes, their own agenda, their own reasons for sell this idea that estimates are somehow no longer needed when we're spending other people's money to produce value in exchange for that money. One notion in a governance paradigm is It's Not Your Money .

Decisions Without Estimates?

Herding Cats

Can you make a decision without an estimate? There are NO means of making a credible decision in the presence of uncertainty without estimating the outcome of that decision. These two points of view are the basis of any credible business management process. If you want to decide what's the probability of occurrence of some Epistemic uncertainty or the statistical processes for some aleatory activity you need to estimate. Don't assume, Estimate.

What is an Estimate? What is Estimating?

Herding Cats

I work in a domain where estimates are made every single week. Estimate to Complete (ETC), Estimate at Completion (EAC), Estimated Completion Date (ECD) are the life blood of our software intensive system of systems programs. The management of SISoS is really no different than the management of any other enterprise class software system. In the #NoEstimates paradigm, the term estimate is redefined to be Forecast and relabeled as NOT Estimating.

Estimates, Forecasts, Projections

Herding Cats

Estimates. An Estimate is a value inferred for a population of values based on data collected from a sample of data from that population. The estimate can also be produced parametrically or through a simulation (Monte Carlo is common, but Method of Moments is another we use). . Estimates can be about the past, present, or future. We can estimate the number of clams in the Pleistocene era that are in the shale formations near our house. Estimate to Complete.

GAO Cost Estimating and Assessment Guide Applied to Agile

Herding Cats

The GAO Cost Estimating and Assessment Guide has 12 steps. Uncertainty creates risk. Risk Management is how Adults Manage Projects - Tim Lister. Conduct Schedule Risk Analysis. Uncertanty creates Risk. Agile is a participant in Risk Management, but Agile is NOT Risk Management. . Risk Management has 6 processes, see SEI Continuous Risk Management.

When to Estimate and When Estimates aren't Needed

Herding Cats

Paul Boos has a post about estimating and makes a case for the Principles of when NOT to estimate. This struck a cord around a bigger topic - the inversion of estimating. When should we NOT estimate? What business decision making conditions could be in place where we don't have to estimate the outcomes of our decision in the presence of uncertainty? Then on to the original conjecture for No Estimates from Paul's post. Not principles for NOT estimating.

Software Estimating Resources

Herding Cats

This blog page is dedicated to the resources used to estimate software-intensive systems using traditional and agile development methods. The reason for this resource page is the lack of understanding of how to estimate, the urban myths about software estimating, and the fallacies that estimating is not needed, when developing software, in the presence of uncertainty, when spending other peoples money. 9, 2017. Estimating Probable System Cost,” Stephen A.

Risk Management in Five Easy Pieces, with Apologies to Jack

Herding Cats

Managing Cost, Schedule, & Technical Performance Risk Is The Basis Of Good Project Management. Risk management is essential to the success of any significant project. The emerging risks that can be identified early in the project that impact the project later are often termed “known unknowns.” These risks can be mitigated with a good risk management process. Hope must be replaced with a risk tolerant plan.

2017 37

Project Manager Roles and Responsibilities: What does a PM Really Do?

Project Bliss

The job title of “project manager” is pretty common these days. But project manager roles and responsibilities can be pretty vague if you’re not already familiar with them. I know this firsthand, just by watching reactions when I tell someone I’m a project manager. When I took my first job as a project manager, my mother asked what I do. The title of Project Manager was unfamiliar to my mother. What a Project Manager Really Does.

2017 196

How to Keep Your Projects On-Time and On-Budget

Arras People

The simple truth is that organisations can avoid these issues by implementing and enhancing their project controls with industry best practices for project management. To put it simply, project controls encompass the people, processes and tools used to plan, manage and mitigate cost and schedule issues and any risk events that may impact a project. companies and government agencies an estimated $145 billion per year!

Budget 231

Improving portfolio management must be part of an agile transformation

Kiron Bondale

When we think of an agile transformation, improving portfolio management might not be high on the organization’s list of priorities. But what happens if your organization doesn’t have an effective and efficient portfolio management capability? There is a greater likelihood of having too many active projects which increases the risk of resource shortages. Tagged: agile project management , Project Portfolio Management , resource availability.

2017 138

Behavioural Economics, Estimating, and Decision Making in Presence of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

Both uncertainties create the risk to the success of any project endeavor. Reduction or Mitigation of the risks generated by these uncertainties is the role of risk management. Risk Management is How Adults Manage Projects - Tim Lister. The behavioral aspects of these decisions involve individuals, organizations, processes, procedures, and governance principles. . IT Risk Management.

Increasing the Probability of Project Success

Herding Cats

and the connections between each Process are made to form a Closed Loop control systems needed to manage any project. These charts are an extract from the book Performance-Based Project Management: Increasing the Probability of Project Success and the abstracted training materials Handbook. How to Avoid the "Yesterday's Weather" Estimating Problem. Increasing the Probability of Project Success Simple in Theory, Complex in Practice.

2017 69

Your Ultimate Guide To Portfolio Management Tools

Project-Management.pm

Large projects call for complex processes and the need for more management procedures. When you tackle larger and more complex projects, the following management procedures need to be up to date and these are aided by tools, methodologies , and strategies. These challenges and issues are mitigated or contained by the following portfolio management tools that cater to projects to be more productive and capable to deliver it on time. In Light of Portfolio Management Tools .

2017 103

The #1 Challenge in Project Management (According to the Experts)

MavenLink

Project management is a complex practice that continues to challenge even the most sophisticated of companies and experts. We wanted to identify the #1 challenge shared by project management professionals to better help others struggling in the field. The first step was to join forces with Aberdeen to release the recent report, “ 2017 Project Management Software Trends. From your experience, what is the #1 challenge in project management? Project Management

2017 100

What is Project Portfolio Management : The Basics

Project-Management.pm

What is Portfolio Management? It’s one of those questions that can be really complicated when someone is not really that familiar with project or portfolio management. And what is project portfolio management being one of the questions that needs further understanding. Portfolios are thus born to organize and prioritize projects and govern the resources and team within each of them. This is the outer layer of what is project portfolio management.

2017 111

Agile Project Management Methods

Herding Cats

How estimates are or are not needed. How the team should or should not be managed. From the point of view of Software Intensive System of Systems, here's how we've learned to manage development using Agile. The document below is a Chapter in The Story of Managing Projects: A Global, Cross-Disciplinary Collection of Perspectives showing how to manage in the presence of uncertainty using agile methods.

2017 37

The Seven Deadly Sins of Project Management

Herding Cats

Mike Cohn, one of my favorite blogger and author, made a post awhile back about Agile and the Seven Deadly Sins of Project Management. With some posts this week on tweeter about not needed project management or estimates to be the market leader (without says the market leader in what market), I thought it'd be good to revisit Mike's original post. IT Risk Management. Why Guessing is not Estimating and Estimating is not Guessing.

Risk Management: PMP Study Guide (PMBOK 6th Edition)

ExamsPM

Project Risk Management includes all the processes involved in risk identification, regulation, and mitigation on a project. The objective is to increase the likelihood of positive risks (opportunities) and decrease the likelihood of negative risks (threats). Risk factors – When looking at risks, one should determine. The anticipated frequency of risk events from the source (how often). Project manager’s role –.

2017 38

Risk Management Resources

Herding Cats

Risk Management is essential for development and production programs. Risk issues that can be identified early in the program, which will potentially impact the program later, termed Known Unknowns and can be alleviated with good risk management. requires making estimates) ? Effective Risk Management 2 nd Edition , Edmund Conrow, AIAA, 2003. Risk Management is Project Management for Adults - Tim Lister. February 2017. “A

Risk 35

Misunderstanding Making Decisions in the Presence of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

What happens if you shift focus from "accurate estimation" to "reliably shipping by a date"? . If your project has no uncertainty, there is no need to estimate. Uncertainty is related to three aspects of the management of projects: The external world - the activities of the project itself. The risk is created when we have not accounted for this natural variances in our management plan for the project. An aleatory risk is expressed as a relation to a value.

The 10 Project Portfolio Management KPI To Adopt

Project-Management.pm

They measure and estimate cost, project duration, and ensure that the projects are where they are supposed to be but it doesn’t guarantee that it will solve all your problems. These metrics are meant to assist managers and their teams to gain a chance of the project success or an expected ROI benefit. Project Portfolio Management KPI. Project portfolio management KPI are not equal—they can work on one organization, but not on the other. Portfolio Strategic Management.

2017 95

Increasing the Probability of Program Success

Herding Cats

We're working on a White Paper for the Joint Space Cost Council which is an organization composed of government (NRO, NASA, USAF, and others) and industry representatives with an interest in space. Our topic is Increasing the Probability of Program Success Thorugh Continuous Risk Management. . Risk Management is How Adults Manage Projects. If you are not managing risk on your project, what are you managing? Risk-Adjusted Plans.

The Magic 7 Project Portfolio Management Process Steps

Project-Management.pm

Countless business articles have provided you viable information regarding project portfolio management , accompanied by its objective, the roles of the portfolio manager, and the benefits of the project portfolio management as a whole. But how does one exactly execute project portfolio management? Implementing project portfolio management takes more than just assessment, evaluation, and tracking. Project Portfolio Management Process Steps : #5 – Balance is Key.

2017 94

Building the "Perfect" Schedule

Herding Cats

Architecture Capabilities Decision Making Earned Value Estimating Governance IMP/IMS Management Planning Project Management Requirements Risk Root Cause Analysis Scheduling Systems TheoryI'm working on a presentation and discussion for the Joint Space Cost Council that is happening in September. Our topic is about the integration of multiple IPT (Integrated Product Teams) and how to coordinate all the work into an Integrated Master Schedule.

2017 40

From Mission Capabilities to Done

Herding Cats

Measures of Performance (MOP) – characterize physical or functional attributes relating to the system operation, measured or estimated under specific conditions. The TPM assess design progress, define compliance to performance requirements, identify technical risk, are limited to critical thresholds, and include projected performance goals.

2017 35

Cone of Uncertainty - Part Cinq

Herding Cats

The Cone is a project management framework describing the uncertainty aspects of estimates (cost and schedule) and other project attributes (cost, schedule, and technical performance parameters). Estimates of cost, schedule, technical performance on the left side of the cone have a lower probability of being precise and accurate than estimates on the right side of the cone. Aleatory and Epistemic uncertainties, which create the risk to the success of the project.

2017 33

A Compendium of Risk Management Resources

Herding Cats

This blog page is dedicated to the resources used to manage the risk encountered on software-intensive systems using traditional and agile development methods. Let's start with a critical understanding of the purpose of managing risk on software development projects. Risk Management is essential for development and production programs. requires making estimates) ? Effective Risk Management 2nd Edition, Edmund Conrow, AIAA, 2003.

2012 33

A Compendium of Works to Increase the Probability of Project Success

Herding Cats

Business, Technical, Systems, Risk, and Project Management. Managment Processes. Nine Best Practices of Project Management , Software Program Managers Network (SPMN). Top Habits of Successful Project Managers. Project Governance. Integrated Master Plan: The Foundation of Program Success , College of Performance Management, May 21, 2014. The Nine "I's" of Program Success ," College of Performance Management. Agile Project Management.

2008 45

#Noestimates Has Come to This

Herding Cats

So the first part is following standard estimating principles. which states clearly and concisely that decisions can be made (in the presence of uncertainty - which is ALWAYS present on software development projects - without estimating the impact of those decisions. Aleatory uncertainty produces an irreducible risk to the project. Rolling waves, planning packages, emerging processes are all standard project management processes. What's the Value at Risk ?

2017 33

Cone of Uncertainty - Part Cinq (Updated)

Herding Cats

The Cone is a project management framework describing the uncertainty aspects of estimates (cost and schedule) and other project attributes (cost, schedule, and technical performance parameters). Estimates of cost, schedule, technical performance on the left side of the cone have a lower probability of being precise and accurate than estimates on the right side of the cone. Aleatory and Epistemic uncertainties, which create the risk to the success of the project.

2017 30

Microeconomics and Risk Management in Decision Making for Software Development

Herding Cats

If we look at the discipline of software engineering, we see that the microeconomics branch of economics deals more with the types of decisions we need to make as software engineers or managers. When we hear about software development disasters and then hear that estimates are to blame, and NOT Estimating will somehow reduce or prevent these disasters, think again. Now To Risk Management. Risk is the effect of uncertainty of objectives. 55-66, 2017.

2007 32

Project Success Means Knowing.

Herding Cats

To increase the Probability of Project success means we have to know something about the attributes and measures of the Five Immutable Principles that enbale this project success, when managing in the presence of uncertainty. Both these uncertainties create a risk to the success of the project. Both these uncertainties create a risk to the success of the project. Estimating what Done looks like in units of measure meaningful to the decision makers.

2017 39

Cone of Uncertainty - Part Trois

Herding Cats

The Cone is a project management framework describing the uncertainty aspects of estimates (cost and schedule) and other project attributes (cost, schedule, and technical performance parameters). Estimates of cost, schedule, technical performance on the left side of the cone have a lower probability of being precise and accurate than estimates on the right side of the cone. Aleatory and Epistemic uncertainties, which create the risk to the success of the project.

2017 28

Integrated Master Plan - Revisited

Herding Cats

Designing, building, testing, and deploying complex systems is fraught with risk. And as always risk comes from uncertainty. Much has been written about the sources of risk and how to Manage in the Presence of Uncertainty (This briefing describes how risk is managed for each element of the Integrated Master Plan). . What About the Plan to Manage in the Presence of Uncertainty . Traceable – Aligns with other program management artifacts.

Why Having a Dataset "may" be Necessary but is Far from Sufficient to Support a Position

Herding Cats

From early days of writing digital signal processing algorithms in FORTRAN 77 for missile defense system radar - a direct transfer of the math and science of signal processing in particle physics after I abandoned my graduate degree to current day process improvement efforts in program performance management. You're bad at estimating - WHY? Our management misuses information we provide them. Estimating Processes in Support of Economic Analysis. IT Risk Management.

2017 34

How To Secure Your PMO Profitability?

Project-Management.pm

It’s safe to say that Project Management Office ( PMO ) has numerous advantages and the results it impacts to the organization have been effective and helpful. Make your PMO a counter weapon against risks and threats. The following processes should consist of coaching and training valuable individuals with management-related capabilities and the skills of problem identification and solving. Project Management Office PMO

PMO 78

Cone of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

The Cone is a project management framework describing the uncertainty aspects of estimates or any other project attribute. Estimates of cost, schedule, technical performance on the left have a lower probability of being precise and accurate than estimates on the right. Aleatory and Epistemic uncertainties, which create risk to the success of the project. Either the team itself, the Project or Program Manager, or on larger programs the Risk Management owner. .