Project Management, Performance Measures, and Statistical Decision Making

Herding Cats

There is a current rash of suggestions on how to improve the performance of software projects. I work in the Software Intensive System of Systems domains in Aerospace, Defense, Enterprise IT (both commercial and government) applying Agile, Earned Value Management, Productive Statistical Estimating (both parametric and Monte Carlo), Risk Management, and Root Cause Analysis with a variety of capabilities. Figure 1 - Planned Estimates versus Actual Performance from [1].

Increasing the Probability of Program Success

Herding Cats

The origins of this paper came about at a recent JSCC meeting here in Boulder, with local Aerospace contractors, the DCMA (Defense Contract Management Agency) and several government agencies (NRO and NASA). So let's look at the principles, processes, and practices that will be in the White paper when it is complete. Top Four Sources of Unfavorable Program Performance. Unrealistic Performance Expectations. Impacts of Risk on Program Performance.

2017 34

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Modeling the Future is the Basis of Project Success

Herding Cats

PP&C lives in the domain of Project Management and Controls, which is a Technical Management Processes of ISO 15288. It's the Planning and Controls processes working together with the Technical Development processes that provide the ability to forecast what should happen in the future if we keep going like we are going now using a Model of the possible future outcomes. In ISO 15288 this is the role of the Risk Management Processes.

2018 36

The Problems with Schedules

Herding Cats

Unrealistic performance expectations missing Measures of Effectiveness and Measures of Performance. There is a common chart used to show poor performance of projects that compares Ideal project performance with the Actual project performance. Here's how we think about cost, schedule, and technical performance modeling. †. Unrealistic performance expectations missing Measures of Effectiveness and Measures of Performance.

2016 42

Managing in Presence of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

The uncertainty is always there, it doesn't go away with specific actions in specific domains, or with the use of any tools, processes, or practices. This is an immutable principle that impacts planning, execution, performance measures, decision making, risk, budgeting, and overall business and technical management of the project and the business funding the project no matter the domain, context, technology or any methods. We need a formal risk management process.

Complete Collection of Project Management Statistics 2015


80% of “high-performing” projects are led by a certified project manager. [4]. 89% of high-performing organizations value project management, 81% actively engage sponsors, 57% align projects with business strategy. [6]. Having a knowledge transfer process in place boosts the chance of project success by over 20%. [6]. More than 90% of organizations perform some type of project postmortem or closeout retrospective. [9]. Aerospace/. Poor purchasing processes: 23%.

2015 49