Project Management, Performance Measures, and Statistical Decision Making

Herding Cats

There is a current rash of suggestions on how to improve the performance of software projects. I work in the Software Intensive System of Systems domains in Aerospace, Defense, Enterprise IT (both commercial and government) applying Agile, Earned Value Management, Productive Statistical Estimating (both parametric and Monte Carlo), Risk Management, and Root Cause Analysis with a variety of capabilities. Figure 1 - Planned Estimates versus Actual Performance from [1].

Increasing the Probability of Program Success

Herding Cats

Our topic is Increasing the Probability of Program Success Thorugh Continuous Risk Management. . The origins of this paper came about at a recent JSCC meeting here in Boulder, with local Aerospace contractors, the DCMA (Defense Contract Management Agency) and several government agencies (NRO and NASA). Risk Management is How Adults Manage Projects. If you are not managing risk on your project, what are you managing? Risk-Adjusted Plans. IT Risk Management.

2017 34

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The Problems with Schedules

Herding Cats

Unrealistic performance expectations missing Measures of Effectiveness and Measures of Performance. Unrealistic Cost and Schedule estimates based on inadequate risk adjusted growth models. Inadequate accessment of risk and unmitigated exposure to these risks with proper handling plans. There is a common chart used to show poor performance of projects that compares Ideal project performance with the Actual project performance.

2016 42

Modeling the Future is the Basis of Project Success

Herding Cats

In ISO 15288 this is the role of the Risk Management Processes. A second Critical Success Factor is the ability to predict what will happen in the future given the model of the project's activities and risks and the alternative designed as well as emerging designs and external processes. . The model of the project or program tells us what the cost, schedule, and performance - Effectiveness and Performance - Need to be for the project to be a success.

2018 36

Managing in Presence of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

This is an immutable principle that impacts planning, execution, performance measures, decision making, risk, budgeting, and overall business and technical management of the project and the business funding the project no matter the domain, context, technology or any methods. Do we have measures of Effectiveness, Performance, all the .ilities. Is each of these measures being met for the planned cost at the planned time? .

Complete Collection of Project Management Statistics 2015


80% of “high-performing” projects are led by a certified project manager. [4]. 89% of high-performing organizations value project management, 81% actively engage sponsors, 57% align projects with business strategy. [6]. More than 90% of organizations perform some type of project postmortem or closeout retrospective. [9]. 64% of organizations say they frequently conduct risk management. [6]. How Project Success is Measured: 20% — Satisfied stakeholders.

2015 49