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Estimating Agile Projects.Or Not

Leading Answers

Project managers generally like plans and estimates so we can forecast when things should be done and how much they may cost. It helps manage client expectations and answer the type of questions they ask, such as " When will it be done?

Project Management Processes & Phases

ProjectManager.com

If so, it might be time to start implementing proven project management processes and phases at your organization in order to bring your company’s workflow under control. At first, the concept of the project management process and its practical adaption can seem a little daunting, but this article will give you everything you need to set up PM processes and phases at your business. Phases of Project Management.

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Risk Management Plan Example (Comprehensive Guide+Tempalte)

PM Basics

In this article, you’ll find the real-life project risk management plan example. Below the example, you’ll find all the required information and resources to create your Risk Management Plan quickly and for free. Risk Management Plan Definition.

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Estimating the Risk

Herding Cats

Risk is everywhere on projects. This risk comes from two types of uncertainty. Aleatory uncertainty, which is the naturally occurring yields variances in the underlying processes. Epistemic uncertainty comes from probabilistic processes that can be addressed with handling responses. The idea of risk and its management and handling is a critical success factor for all software development. Without these estimates, there is no risk management.

A Deep Dive into Risk Matrix Reporting

MPUG

For example, in project management you have data such as planned start, planned cost, planned story points, total number of risks, etc. I’m referring to things such as start variance, cost variance, and the number of high priority vs number of low priority risks. Management practitioners call the information reports , which in turn, facilitate effective communication. In this article, we will learn about one particular report, the Risk Matrix Report.

Project Estimation: Master the Tools and Techniques

Online PM Courses

There are two reasons why Project Estimation is a big deal for project managers. And second, poor estimates are often a primary reason for a project cost or schedule over-run. So, in this article, we’ll take a careful look at project estimation, to help you learn how to master the art and craft of doing it well. What is Project Estimation? Why is Project Estimation so hard? The Estimation Knife Edge. Order of Magnitude Estimates (OOM).

Project Estimation Techniques Everyone Needs To Know

Wrike

Project estimation techniques help project managers accurately estimate essential elements, such as cost and scope , within their projects. What are project estimation techniques? An estimate is a rough calculation of something. Why are project estimates important?

Estimates, Forecasts, Projections

Herding Cats

Estimates. An Estimate is a value inferred for a population of values based on data collected from a sample of data from that population. The estimate can also be produced parametrically or through a simulation (Monte Carlo is common, but Method of Moments is another we use). . Estimates can be about the past, present, or future. We can estimate the number of clams in the Pleistocene era that are in the shale formations near our house. Estimate to Complete.

Software Estimating Resources

Herding Cats

This blog page is dedicated to the resources used to estimate software-intensive systems using traditional and agile development methods. The reason for this resource page is the lack of understanding of how to estimate, the urban myths about software estimating, and the fallacies that estimating is not needed, when developing software, in the presence of uncertainty, when spending other peoples money. Estimating Probable System Cost,” Stephen A.

RBS is one more technique for your estimation tool belt!

Kiron Bondale

Project managers need to be comfortable with different estimation techniques. Foundational project management courses will teach you about analogous, bottom-up, parametric and three-point estimating. Take a course covering agile delivery and you’ll learn about relative sizing techniques such as estimating poker or t-shirt sizing. Estimate the size or effort of that story or work package.

Seven Aspects of Project Risk in 2020

Strategy Execution | PMO Perspectives

Ahead of its January meeting in Davos, the World Economic Forum published its Global Risks Report 2020, based on the input of 750 experts and outlining the biggest risks faced by economies over the next 10 years [1]. Infectious disease was ranked as 10th biggest risk in terms of impact, and didn’t figure at all in the top ten by likelihood. And if the WEF didn’t see a risk coming, then what hope do we have? So, whose risk was this?

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Why Johnny Can't Estimate?

Herding Cats

Risk Management is How Adults Manage Projects - Tim Lister. Since all risk comes from uncertainty - reducible (Epistemic) and irreducible (Aleatory), estimating is a foundation of all we do. There is no discussion of the conjecture that estimates are a waste, estimates can't be done, estimates are evil, estimates must be stopped immediately. Paradigm of agile project management from Glen Alleman. . Related articles.

The Project Manager’s Guide to Simple Risk Analysis

Online PM Courses

Risk analysis is both easy and hard at the same time. No project manager can get by without knowing how to analyze risk on your project. Risk is important, because it is baked into the nature of projects. Is it any wonder that one of the most quoted aphorisms in project manager is this, from Tim Lister: Risk Management is Project Management for Grown-Ups’ Where Does Risk Analysis Fit in? Risk Management Process.

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Principles of Cost and Schedule Estimating

Herding Cats

One of the 4 summary root causes of project performance failures is Unrealistic Cost and Schedule Estimates based on inadequate risk-adjusted growth models. Those making these claims may have their own personal purposes, their own agenda, their own reasons for sell this idea that estimates are somehow no longer needed when we're spending other people's money to produce value in exchange for that money. Managing in the presence of uncertainty is standard business practice.

How to Build a Robust Project Risk Culture [8 Steps]

Online PM Courses

A robust risk culture goes beyond having a strong basic risk management process. Some of my readers may hope to influence the risk culture of their whole organization. For you, the right aspiration is to build a positive risk culture within your project. As a Project Manager, that’s entirely within your scope. What is Risk Culture? How to Build a Robust Project Risk Culture. What are the Benefits of a Robust Risk Culture?

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Closed Loop Control and Granularity of the Estimating Process

Herding Cats

For any closed loop control system ‒ let’s assume we want to manage our project with such a system ‒ has a signal representing the current state of the system. DP6Jw is an overview of this process. To control this process using feedback and corrective actions ‒ in the same way, your closed loop controller for your air conditioner or heater does - a sampling rate is determined based on the rate of change of the underlying processes. Related articles.

How to Talk About Estimates

Herding Cats

What is an estimate? An estimate as a noun is an approximate calculation or judgment of the value, number, quantity, or extent of something. An estimate as a verb is to roughly calculate or judge the value, number, quantity, or extent of. But those estimates, nouns, and verbs themselves's have other attributes. The best starting point for determining the NEEDED precision and accuracy is to determine the Value at Risk. . Related articles. Estimates.

Estimating is a Learned Skill

Herding Cats

Estimating is a learned skill, used for any purpose from every-day life to management of projects. When I left for the airport this morning to catch my flight to a customer site I estimated, given the conditions, how much time I need to get to my favorite parking spot at DIA. The same process for estimating is applied to multi-billion dollar projects we work. And the same process is applied to the Scrum development processes on those projects. .

Why Johnny Can't Estimate? (Update)

Herding Cats

Risk Management is How Adults Manage Projects - Tim Lister. There is a discussion of the conjecture that estimates are a waste, estimates can't be done, estimates are evil, estimates must be stopped immediately. This would be like saying, risk management is a waste , control system engineering is a waste, thermal analysis of the computer system is a waste, assessment of the reliability, repairability, survivability - all the.

Decisions Without Estimates?

Herding Cats

Can you make a decision without an estimate? There are NO means of making a credible decision in the presence of uncertainty without estimating the outcome of that decision. These two points of view are the basis of any credible business management process. If you want to decide what's the probability of occurrence of some Epistemic uncertainty or the statistical processes for some aleatory activity you need to estimate. Don't assume, Estimate.

Top 7 Leadership Articles: Winter Edition

Epicflow Blog

If the sales rate decreases, think over all the parties participating in this process. To understand the figures, there’s nothing better than talking to the heroes involved in the process of data production. The author suggests several tips for leaders to be fair-minded when managing their employees: . This process should also involve taking into account all related facts and data related to the disparities and their further investigation.

Risk Response Strategy (Definitive Guide with Examples)

PM Basics

How to select a Risk Response Strategy? But let me simplify it for you in this article. Here you will find examples of risk responses for both threats and opportunities. But there’s a catch: You may have a limited mindset in regards to dealing with risks. So, I would suggest you review examples of dealing with different risks on a real project first. Click here to read how I managed different kinds of threats. Project Risk Management Overview.

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Basis of Estimating Software Development

Herding Cats

The estimating of software development is both straightforward and complex. When it is suggested that estimating is hard, of no value, and unnecessary, always ask what principle is used to support that claim? Here are some resources that will provide guidance to produce credible software development estimates, in both traditional and agile domains. Software Sizing and Estimating: Mk II FPA , Charles Symons, John Wiley & Sons, 1991. Related articles.

Reasons to Estimate and Measure

Herding Cats

Estimating Software-Intensive Systems: Project, Products, and Processes , Richard D. Stutzke is a starting point for estimating software projects. I recommend it for anyone starting out in the estimating business all the way to seasoned veterans. Any estimating process requires discipline and repeatability to produce accurate and precise results. The estimate can also be produced parametrically, empirically, or through a modeling and simulation.

Why Johnny Still Cannot Estimate

Herding Cats

He doesn't know how - He doesn't understand how estimates fit into the process of business and managerial finance of product or service development. He doesn't understand why estimates are needed - He doesn't understand the impact on the business for not knowing how long, how much, and what will be produced for the time and money. Coding work is much more fun than making estimates, documenting the requirements, writing tests. Related articles.

When to Estimate and When Estimates aren't Needed

Herding Cats

Paul Boos has a post about estimating and makes a case for the Principles of when NOT to estimate. This struck a cord around a bigger topic - the inversion of estimating. When should we NOT estimate? What business decision making conditions could be in place where we don't have to estimate the outcomes of our decision in the presence of uncertainty? Then on to the original conjecture for No Estimates from Paul's post. Not principles for NOT estimating.

Risk Management Resources

Herding Cats

Risk Management is essential for development and production programs. Risk issues that can be identified early in the program, which will potentially impact the program later, termed Known Unknowns and can be alleviated with good risk management. requires making estimates) ? Effective Risk Management 2 nd Edition , Edmund Conrow, AIAA, 2003. Risk Management is Project Management for Adults - Tim Lister.

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The Magic 7 Project Portfolio Management Process Steps

Project-Management.pm

Countless business articles have provided you viable information regarding project portfolio management , accompanied by its objective, the roles of the portfolio manager, and the benefits of the project portfolio management as a whole. But how does one exactly execute project portfolio management? Implementing project portfolio management takes more than just assessment, evaluation, and tracking. You want to know more about Project Portfolio Management

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What Is Risk?

Herding Cats

Risk is the effect of uncertainty of objectives. In the context of risk management, uncertainty exists whenever the knowledge or understanding of an event, consequence, or likelihood is inadequate or incomplete ? ISO 31000:2009, ISO 17666:2016 and ISO 11231:2010 Risk is Uncertainty that Matters. Risk can be the potential consequence of a specific outcome that affects the system's ability to meet cost, schedule, and/or technical objectives. Related articles.

Information Technology Risk Management

Herding Cats

Risk Management is How Adults Manage Projects - Tim Lister (IBM). It can't be stated too often - either manage risk, or risk will manage you. Projects without risk management are late and over budget before they start. Reducible uncertainties can have specific actions to reduce to risks that result from the uncertainties. Here's a paper describing how to manage an IT project with Risk Management.

Do You Know These 6 Practical Risk Identification Techniques?

PM Basics

How to perform risk identification ? What risk identification techniques to use? Check the topic on PMBOK® Guide: It says nothing about the practical application of risk identification processes. In this article, I’ll tell you what techniques you can use today. Risk Identification Methods vs. Risk Identification Techniques. Risk Identification Methods. “A There’re three Risk Identification Methods you can use on a practical level: 1.

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Vendor Showcase Recap: Making Light Work of Schedule Risk Analysis – By Barbecana

MPUG

Please find below a transcription of the audio portion of John Owen’s showcase session, Making Light Work of Schedule Risk Analysis, being provided by MPUG for the convenience of our members. He has extensive experience of both project management, and software development.

Vendor Showcase Recap: Making Light Work of Schedule Risk Analysis – By Barbecana

MPUG

Please find below a transcription of the audio portion of John Owen’s showcase session, Making Light Work of Schedule Risk Analysis, being provided by MPUG for the convenience of our members. He has extensive experience of both project management, and software development.

Risk Management is How Adults Manage Projects

Herding Cats

These uncertainties create the risk to the success of all projects. Without managing in the presence of risk, the probability of project success is significantly reduced, most likely reduced to zero. A risk is an issue or event that could prevent a program or project from meeting its technical, schedule, cost, or safety objectives. Management in the presence of risk has the following steps: [1]. Track - is a fundamental step in controlling risks.

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Small Batch Sizes are NOT Risk Management

Herding Cats

There is a popular fallacy in the Agile community that small batch sizes are Risk Management. What small batches do is provide information that informs risk management at a fast rate. The sampling rate of a dynamic process under control. Or the sampling rate of a signal from a process you want to model. This analog signal is the underlying dynamics of the software development process. Specific actions must be taken to manage the risk.

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Epistemic Uncertainty Creates Reducible Risk

Herding Cats

Yesterday's Post What Is Risk? Risk is not there to be mitigated, it's there to be eliminated. Risk is the result of uncertainty, which comes in two kinds for all projects, for everything actually. Aleatory uncertainty, from the naturally occurring variances in the process and Epistemic uncertainty from the probabilistic event-based processes that impact the project. Epistemic uncertainty and the risk it creates can be reduced with handling processes.

How to Estimate Any Software Problem

Herding Cats

ways to make decisions with No Estimates. is not founded on any principle of business management, microeconomics of decision making, or principles of probability and statistics. can we make a decision in the presence of Uncertainty without making an estimate of the impact or outcome of that decision? What would be the evidence that we could make decisions in the presence of uncertanty without estimating the impacts and outcomes of those decisions? . An estimate is.

How To Create A Simple Project Plan (Project Planning Process)

PM Basics

You need to apply knowledge and skills from all aspects of project management. Nevertheless, project planning is a structured and logical process. In this article, I’ll show you a proven workflow. For me, planning is one of the most exciting parts of the project management. At each moment of the process, you’re in need of information that you don’t have yet. Most of the processes are interrelated, and you don’t know where to start from.

Estimating Accuracy Mathematics

Herding Cats

In the estimating business, like many things in project management, there is confusion about principles, practices, and processes. A good estimation approach should provide estimates that are within 25% of the actual results, 75% of the time. The term within 25% is the Mean Relative Error, that is the estimate is within 25% of the actual value - the real value compared to the estimated value. Related articles. Want To Learn How To Estimate?

What is Risk Management?

Herding Cats

Risk management is about making informed decisions by consciously assessing what can go wrong, as well as the likelihood and severity of the impact when that possibility comes true. The heart of Risk Management is making informed decisions in the presence of the uncertainties that create risk. This process of risk management embodies the identification, analysis, planning, tracking, controlling, and communication of risk.

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