This blog page is dedicated to the resources used to estimate software-intensive systems and their related hardware and work processes when applying traditional and agile product development methods. This setting ranges from cost to schedule, to risk, to technical performance - anything that has an uncertainty associated with the parameters. And since ALL project work has uncertainties - aleatory and epistemic - estimates must be made of these uncertainties to assess their impact on the probability of the project's success
These Briefings, Papers, Books, and Thesis, and other resources - for the most part - were retrieved from public sites and can be found with Google. When memberships are required, anyone spending other people's money should belong to IEEE, IFPUG, NESMA, COSMIC, ACM, AACE, ICEAA, PMI, APM, ASPE. These are professional organizations that have estimating resources needed to increase the probability of project success, no matter the domain or development method.
Links to the papers listed here are public. For subscription journals, you'll need a membership to get the paper. I would suggest if you're a developer or manager in a software-intensive system of systems domain, you should be a member of these professional organizations as a start.
Let's start with a critical understanding of the purpose of making estimates on software development projects
The primary purpose of software estimation is not to predict a project's outcome; it is to determine whether a project's targets are realistic enough to allow the project to be controlled to meet them — Steve McConnell
The reason for this resource page is the lack of understanding of how to estimate, the urban myths about software estimating, and the fallacies that estimating is not needed or is a waste when developing software, in the presence of uncertainty, when spending other people's money.
One of our clients has a statement that is applicable here:
If you lack academic basics and validated experience, your advice is simply unsubstantiated opinion without any basis in fact or principle.
USAF Col. (Ret), Program Manager, NNSA Weapons Testing Site
Start here to build the needed academic foundation, that can be the basis of your work to build a foundation of validated experience of making estimates in the presence of uncertainty and protect yourself from fallacious claims that estimates are a waste, not needed, and produce bad results in the decision making process for those paying you to produce value.
With this bibliography, anyone interested in further understanding needs to look through the Bibliography section of each paper to find further insight, processes, practices, and principles of estimating the cost and schedule of software development using agile processes.
Then you will have satisfied the first condition of the Colonel's requirement of being competent and be on your way to developing the needed experience with a sound academic foundation.
Briefings on Estimating in Traditional and Agile Domains
- How Should We Estimate Agile Projects and Measure Progress to Plan - "Why do so many big projects overspend and overrun? They're managed as if they were merely complicated when in fact they are complex. They're planned as if everything was known or knowable at the start when in fact they involve high levels of uncertainty and risk" - Architecting Systems: Concepts, Principles, Practice - Hillary Sillitto, given at ICEAA Portland, 2017
- Calculating Physical Percent Complete on an Agile Project, Developing software using Scrum still needs the ability to determine the Estimate to Complete (ETC), the Estimate at Completion (EAC), and the Estimated Completion Date (ECD) when there is a fixed deliverable date, a fixed budget for that software, and a minimal set of Features and Capabilities on that date for that budget.
- Building a Risk-Adjusted Engineering Estimate and Executing the Risk-Adjusted Product Roadmap, agile projects, like all projects, operate in the presence of uncertainty that creates risk. Estimates are required to make any credible decisions while spending other people's money in the presence of uncertainty.
- Monte Carlo Simulation and Estimating Traditional and Agile Development managing in the presence of uncertainty requires making decisions with models of that uncertainty. Making these informed decisions requires making estimates.
- A Possible Cure for Unanticipated Cost and Schedule Growth, We have lots of data. Let's use it create more credible estimates to help tame the growth beast, ICEAA Professional Development, and Training Workshop, June 10-13, 2014, Denver, Colorado
- A Cure for Unanticipated Cost and Schedule Growth, A White Paper. Delivering programs with less capability than promised, while exceeding costs and planned durations distorts decision making, contributes to increasing cost growth to other programs, undermines the Federal Government's credibility with taxpayers, and contributes to the public's negative support of these programs, ICEAA Professional Development, and Training Workshop, June 10-13, 2014, Denver, Colorado
- How Should We Estimate Agile Software Development Projects and What Data Do We Need?, Glen B. Alleman and Thomas J. Coonce, International Cost Estimating & Analysis Association, 2017 Professional Development & Training Workshop, June 6-7, 2017.
- Estimating and Reporting Agile Projects using the SRDR and Earned Value Management, Glen B. Alleman and Thomas J. Coonce, PSM User's Group 2017, 12-16 June 2017.
- Forecasting Cost and Schedule Performance in the Presence of Uncertainty, Probabilistic forecasting of program performance. For credible decisions to be made, we need confidence intervals on all the numbers we use to make decisions. These confidence intervals come from the underlying statistics and related probabilities. Statistical forecasting, using time series analysis of past performance, is mandatory for any credible discussion of project performance in the future.
- Forecasting Cost and Schedule Performance in the Presence of Uncertainty
- Forecasting ACAT1 Program Performance in the Presence of Statistical Uncertainty, IPMC 2013.
- Probabilistic Schedule and Cost Analysis, prepared for NNJ051R, NASA Crew Exploration vehicle, 2005.
- Basis of Estimate Training
- How Should We Estimate Agile Software Development Projects and What Data Do We Need?, International Cost Estimating & Analysis Association, 2017 Professional Development & Training Workshop, June 6-9, 2017
- Estimating and Reporting Physical Percent Complete on Agile Projects, DHS Cost Analysis Stakeholder Working Group, June 26, 2017
- Estimating and Reporting Agile Projects using the SRDR and Earned Value Management, PSM Users Group 2017, 12-16 June 2017, Crystal City, VA
- How to Develop Credible Cost & Schedule Estimate, Building credible cost and schedule estimates require discipline, skill, and experience, All 3 can be acquired over time. The starting point is understanding what processes make up the discipline of estimating.
- Estimates and Forecasts, To estimate means to find something close to the correct answer or value. Estimates are about the past, present, and future. Forecasting is a method of using statistical models to predict future outcomes.
Papers providing guidance for estimating traditional and agile projects
Estimating Using Function Points
- "Guideline for the application of COSMIC-FFP for Sizing Business Application Software," Arlan Lesterhuis
- "Guideline for Early or Rapid COSMIC Functional Size Measurement by using approximation approaches," Frank Vogelezang
- “Towards Approximating COSMIC Functional Size from User Requirements in Agile Development Processes Using Text Mining,” Ishrar Hussain, Leila Kosseim and Olga Ormandjieva, Natural Language Processing and Information Systems, Volume 6177 of the series Lecture Notes in Computer Science p.p. 80‒91.
- “The COSMIC Functional Size Measurement Method,” Version 4.0.1, Guide of COSMIC FSM to manage Agile projects, VERSION 1.0, September 2011.
- “Improving Agile Software Projects Planning Using the COSMIC Method,” Jean-Marc Desharnaisa, Buğra Kocatürka, and Luigi Buglioneb.
- “Effort Estimation with Story Points and COSMIC Function Points ‒ An Industry Case Study,” Christophe Commeyne, Alain Abran, Rachida Djouab, Software Measurement News, Vol. 21, No. 1 Pages 25‒36.
- “Using the COSMIC Method to Evaluate the Quality of the Documentation of Agile User Stories,” Jean-Marc Desharnais, Buğra Kocatürk, and Alain Abran, 2011 Joint Conference of 21st International Workshop on Software Measurement and the 6th International Conference on Software Process and Product Measurement, IWSM/Mensura 2011, Nara, Japan, November 3‒4, 2011.
- “The COSMIC Functional Size Measurement Method Version 4.0.1 Guideline for Sizing Real-time Software, Version 1.1.1,” November 2016
“Software Cost and Schedule Estimating: A Process Improvement Initiative,” Robert Park, Wolfhart Goethert, and Todd Webb, Software Engineering Institute, CMU/SEI‒94‒SR‒03. - “Using the COSMIC Method to Estimate Agile User Stories,” Jean-Marc Desharnais, Luigi Buglione, and Buǧra Kocatürk, Profes '11: Proceedings of the 12th International Conference on Product-Focused Software Development and Process Improvement, June 2011.
- “Measurement of Software Size: Contributions of COSMIC to Estimation Improvements,” Alain Abran, Charles Symons, Christof Ebert, Frank Vogelezang, and Hassan Soubra, ICEAA International Training Symposium, Bristol England, 2016.
- “A Framework for Software Project Estimation Based on COSMIC, DSM and Rework Characterization,” Sharareh Afsharian, Marco Giacomobono, and Paola Inverardi, BIPI’08, May 13, 2008.
- COSMIC: Guideline for Sizing Business Software, Version 3, http://www.etsmtl.ca/Unites‒de‒recherche/GELOG/accueil
- "A Case study on the conversion of Function Points into COSMIC," Filomena Ferrucci, Carmine Gravino, and Federica Sarro, School of Computer Science, University of Salerno,
- "The Use of Function Points for Software Estimation and Measurement," Joe Schofield, Sandia National Laboratories Albuquerque, N. M.
- “Software Cost Estimation using Function Point with Non-Algorithmic Approach,” Vignaraj Ananth, Global Journal of Computer Science and Technology: Software and Data Engineering, Volume 13, Issue 8, Version 1.0, 2013.
- "Enhancement in COCOMO Model Using Function Point Analysis to Increase Effort Estimation,” Komal Garg, Paramjeet Kaur, Shalini Kapoor, Shilpa Narula, International Journal of Computer Science and Mobile Computing, Vol 3, Issue 6, pp. 565-572, 2014.
- “Functional size measurement – accuracy versus costs – is it really worth it?,” H. S. van Heeringen, E. W. M. van Gorp, and T. G. Prins, SMEF 2009.
- “Effort Estimation with Story Points and COSMIC Function Points – An Industrial Case Study,” Christophe Commeyne, Alain Abran, and Rachida Djouab, Position Paper, Software Measurement News, Vol. 21, No. 1, 2016, pp. 25-36.
- “Measuring the Functional Size of Real-Time and Embedded Software: A Comparison of Function Point Analysis and COSMIC,” Luigi Lavazza and Sandro Morasca, The Eighth International Conference on Software Engineering Advances, ICSEA 2013.
- “SW Cost Estimation: Measuring Model Performance of Arbitrary Function Approximators,” Erik Stensrud, Ingunn Myrtveit, Discussion Paper 5/2002, Handelshøyskolen, Norwegian Business School, BI Open Archive.
- “Measuring the Functional Size of Real-Time and Embedded Software: A Comparison of Function Point Analysis and COSMIC,” Luigi Lavazza and Sandro Morasca, The Eighth International Conference on Software Engineering Advances, ICSEA 2013.
- “Measuring Software Functionality Using Function Point Method Based on Design Documentation,” Anie Rose Irawati, and Khabib Mustofa, IJSI International Journal of Computer Science Issues, Vol. 9, Issue 3, No. 1, May 2012.
- “Towards a simplified definition of Function Points,” Luigi Lavazza, Sandro Morasca, and Gabriela Robiolo, Information and Software Technology 55, pp. 1796‒1809, 2013.
- “An Empirical Evaluation of Simplified Function Point Measurements Processes,” Luigi Lavazza and Geng Liu, International Journal on Advances in Software, Vol. 6, No. 1 & 2, 2013.
- “Effort Estimation for Agile Software Development: Comparative Case Studies using COSMIC Functional Size Measurement and Story Points,” Murat Salmanoglu, Tuna Hacaloglu, and Onur Demirors, IWSM/Mensura ’17, October 2017.
- “Effort Estimation in Incremental Software Development Projects Using Function Points,” José Antonio, Pow-Sang and Ricardo Imbert, Communications in Computer and Information Science 340:458‒465, January 2012.
- “Functional Size Measures and Effort Estimation in Agile Development: A Replicated Study,” Valentina Lenarduzzi, Ilaria Lunesu, Martina Matta, and Davide Taibi, XP2015 16th International Conference on Agile Software Development, Helsinki Finland, May 25, 2015 ‒ May 29, 2015.
- “Using Function Points in Agile Projects,” Celio Andrade Santana, Fabiana Leoneo, Alexandre Marcos Lins de Vasconcelos, and Cristine Gusmao, Lecture Notes in Business Information Processing, Agile Processes in Software Engineering, May 2011.
- “Functions Points, Use Case Points, Story Points: Observations from A Case Study,” Joe Schofield, Alan Armentrout, and Regina Trujillo, Cross Talk: The Journal of Defense Software Engineering, June 2003.
- “Using Function Points in XP – Considerations,” Andrew M. Fuqua, Proceedings of 4th International Conference on eXtreme Programming and Agile Processes in Software Engineering (XP 2003), May 25-29, 2003.
- “Effort Estimation in Incremental Software Development Projects Using Function Points,” José Antonio Pow-Sang and Ricardo Imbert, Computer Applications for Software Engineering, Disaster Recovery, and Business Continuity, Springer, Volume 304 pp. 458 ‒ 465.
- “Easy Function Points – ‘Smart’ Approximation Technique for the IFPUG and COSMIC Methods,” Luca Santillo, 2012 Joint Conference of the 22nd International Workshop on Software Measurement and the 2012 Seventh International Conference on Software Process and Product Measurement, 2012.
- “Automated Function Points: Critical Evaluation and Discussion,” Luigi Lavazza, IEEE/ACM International Workshop on Emerging Trends in Software Metrics, 2015.
- “A Software Maintenance Project Size Estimation Tool Based on Cosmic Full Function Point,” Chi‒Jui Lin and Dow‒Ming Yeh, International Computer Symposium (ICS), 2016.
- “An Empirical Study on the Estimation of Size and Complexity of Software Applications with Function Points Analysis,” Luís M. Alves, Sérgio Oliveira, Pedro Ribeiro, and Ricardo J. Machado, 14th International Conference on Computational Science and Its Applications, 2014.
- “Extending Function Point Analysis to Object-Oriented Requirements Specifications,” Vahan Harput, Hermann Kaindl, and Stefan Kramer, 11th International Software Metrics Symposium, 2005.
- “Adapting Function Point Analysis to Estimate Data Mart Size,” Angélica Toffano Calazans, Káthia Marçal de Oliveira, and Rildo Ribeiro dos Santos, 10th International Symposium on Software Metrics, 2004.
- “The Internal Revenue Service Function Point Analysis Program,” Charles Tichenor, IEEE Computer Software and Applications Conference, 1997
- “A case study on the conversion of Function Points into COSMIC,” Filomena Ferrucci, Carmine Gravino, and Federica Sarro, 37th EUROMICRO Conference on Software Engineering and Advanced Applications (SEAA), IEEE, 2011.
- "Web effort estimation: function point analysis vs. COSMIC," Di Martino, Sergio, et al., Information and Software Technology 72 (2016): 90‒109.
- “Conversion from IFPUG FPA to COSMIC: within‒ vs without‒company equations,” Filomena Ferrucci, Carmine Gravino, and Federica Sarro, Conference on Software Engineering and Advanced Applications (SEAA), 2014 40th EUROMICRO, 2014.
- “From Function Points to COSMIC ‒ A Transfer Learning Approach for Effort Estimation,” Anna Corazza, Sergio Di Martino, Filomena Ferrucci, Carmine Gravino, Federica Sarro, International Conference on Product-Focused Software Process Improvement, 2015.
- “Early and Extended Function Point: a new method for Function Points estimation,” Roberto Meli, IFPUG Fall Conference, September 15‒19, 1997.
- “An estimation technique in agile archetype using story points and function point analysis,” Deepak Kumar, Saru Dhir, V.B. Singh, International Journal of Process Management and Benchmarking, 7(4):518, January 2017.
- “From Story Points to COSMIC Function Points – A Six Sigma perspective,” Thomas Fehlmann and Luca Santillo, MetriKon, 2010.
- “Can Functional Size Measures Improve Effort Estimation in SCRUM?” Valentina Lenarduzzi and Davide Taibi, The Ninth International Conference on Software Engineering Advances (ICSEA 2014), 2014.
- “Towards Component‒Aware Function Point Measurement,” Luigi Lavazza, Valentina Lenarduzzi, and Davide Taibi, Joint Conference of the International Workshop on Software Measurement and the International Conference on Software Process and Product Measurement, 2016.
- “An Exploratory Study on Functional Size Measurement based on Code,” Hennie Huijgens, Magiel Bruntink, Arie van Deursen, Tijs van der Storm, and Frank Vogelezang, IEEE/ACM International Conference on Software and System Processes, 2016.
- “Simple Function Points for Effort Estimation: A Further Assessment,” Filomena Ferrucci, Carmine Gravino, and Luigi Lavazza, 31st Annual ACM Symposium, SAC 2016, April 04‒08, 2016.
- “Effort Estimation for Agile Software Development: Comparative Case Studies Using COSMIC Functional Size Measurement and Story Points,” Murat Salmanoglu, Tuna Hacaloglu, and Onur Demirors, IWSM/Mensura, 2017.
- “A Specific Effort Estimation Method Using Function Point,” Bingchiang Jeng, Dowming Yeh, Deron Wang, Shu‒Lan Chu, Journal of Information Science and Engineering, 27, 1363‒1376 (2011).
- “A rule-based approach for estimating software development cost using function point and goal and scenario-based requirements,” Soonhwang Choi, Sooyong Park, and Vijayan Sugumaran, Expert Systems with Applications 39(1):406‒418 · January 2012.
- “Evaluation of Cost Estimation Metrics: Towards a Unified Terminology,” Izzat M. Alsmadi and Maryam S. Nuser, Journal of Computing and Information Technology ‒ CIT 21, 2013, 1, pp. 23–34.
- “Approximation of COSMIC functional size to support early effort estimation in Agile,” Ishrar Hussain, Leila Kosseim, and Olga Ormandjieva, Data and Knowledge Engineering, 2012.
- “A New Business Model for Function Point Metrics,” Capers Jones, Capers Jones and Associates, 8 May 2008.
- “Function Point Estimation Methods: A Comparative Overview,” Roberto Meli and Luca Santillo.
- “A Replicated Study on Correlating Agile Team Velocity in Function and Story Points,” Hennie Huijgens, 5th International Workshop on Emerging Trends in Software Metrics (WeTSOM 2014).
- “Function Points, Use Case Points, Story Points: Observations from a Case Study,” Joe Schofield, Alan Arementrout, and Regina Trujillo, CrossTalk: The Journal of Defense Software Engineering, May/June 2003.
- “Estimate and Measure Agile Projects with Function Points,” Radenko Corovic.
- “Hybridization of Class Responsibility Collaborators Model (HCRCM) with Function Point to enhance Project Estimation Cost in Agile Software Development,” Faki Agebee Silas, Musa Yusuf, Anah Hassan Bijik, Circulation in Computer Science, Vol. 2, No. 6, pp. 20‒24, July 2017.
- “Counting Function Points for Agile / Iterative Software Development,” Carol Dekkers, IFPUG
- “On XML Based Automated Function Point Analysis: An Effective Method to Assess Developer Productivity," Jeffrey S. Lent and Yanzhen Qu, Lecture Notes on Software Engineering, Vol. 3, No. 4, November 2015.
- “Agile Estimation Using Functional Metrics,” Tom Cagley.
- “Function Points and Agile – Hand in Hand,” Amol Kumar Keote, Accenture ‒ India Delivery Centre, 2010.
- “Guideline for Sizing Agile Projects with COSMIC,” Sylvie Trudel and Luigi Buglione, IWSM/MetriKon 2010.
- “Story Points or Function Points or Both?” David Consulting Group, July 2015.
- “Estimating Agile Iterations by Extending Function Point Analysis,” A. Udayan Banerjee, B. Kanakalata Narayanan, and C. Mahadevan P, 2012 World Congress in Computer Science, Computer Engineering and Applied Computing, Las Vegas, Nevada, July 16‒19, 2012.
- “Agile and Function Points: A Winning Combination,” Dan French, 2016 ICEAA Professional Development & Training Workshop, Atlanta, GA 2016.
- “From Story Points to COSMIC Function Points in Agile Software Development – A Six Sigma perspective,” Thomas Fehlmann and Luca Santillo, MetriKon 2010.
- “An approach for effort estimation in incremental software development using cosmic function points,” Freddy Paz, Claudia Zapata, and Jose Antonio Pow-Sang, The 8th ACM/IEEE International Symposium on Empirical Software Engineering and Measurement, September 2014.
- “Using Function Points in Agile Projects,” Célio Santana, Fabiana Leoneo, Alexandre Vasconcelos, and Cristine Gusmão, Lecture Notes in Business Information Processing, May 2011.
- “Approximation of COSMIC Functional Size of Scenario-Based Requirements in Agile Based on Syntactic Linguistic Features—A Replication Study,” Mirosław Ochodek, 2016 Joint Conference of the International Workshop on Software Measurement and the International Conference on Software Process and Product Measurement (IWSM‒MENSURA).
- “The COSMIC Functional Size Measurement Method, Version 3.0.1, Guideline for the use of COSMIC FSM to Manage Agile Projects, VERSION 1.0,” September 2011.
- “COSMIC-Based Project Management in Agile Software Development and Mapping onto related CMMI-DEV Process Areas,” Enrico Berardi, Luca Santillo, IWSM/Mensura, Nov 11, 2010.
- “Managing Agile at Scale – A Briefing for Software Executives and Chief Information Officers,” COSMIC, IFPUG, NESMA, July 2017.
- "Automated COSMIC Measurement and Requirement Quality Improvement Through ScopeMaster Tool," Erdir Ungan, Colin Hammond, and Alain Abran, CEUR-MS, Vol 1., IWSM Mensura, 2018.
- “COSMIC Software Estimation Approach,” Alain Abran, ICEAA Workshop, Portland Oregon, June 6‒9, 2017.
- “Approximate COSMIC Size: The Quick/Early Method,” Gabriele De Vito and Filomena Ferrucci, 2014, 40th Euromicro Conference on Software Engineering and Advanced Applications, pp. 69‒76.
- “Cosmic‒Based Project Management in Agile Software Development and Mapping onto Related CMMI‒Dev Process Areas,” Enrico Berardi and Luca Santillo, IWSM/Memsua, 2010.
- “Guideline for Sizing Agile Projects with COSMIC,” Sylvie Trudel and Luigi Buglione, IWSM/MetriKon, 2010.
Parametric Estimating Processes
- "Inside Simulation Software: How It Works and Why It Matters," Thomas J. Schriber and Daniel T. Brunner, Procedings of the 1995 Winter Simulation Conference.
- "Examining the Value of Monte Carlo Simulation for Project Time Management," Goran Avilljas, Management: Journal of Sustainable Business and Management Solutions in Emerging Economies, 2019, 24(1)
- "Advanced Monte Carlo Methods: General Principles of the Monte Carlo Method," Dr. Michael Mascagni, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, Zurich
- "Practical Markov Chain Monte Carlo," Charles J. Geyer, Statistical Science, Vol. 7. No. 4, 1992
- "Empirical Effort and Schedule Estimation Models for Agile Processes in the US DoD," Wilson Rosa, Bradford K. Clark, Raymond Madachy, and Barry W. Boehm, IEEE Transactions on Software Engineering
- "Parametric Cost and Scheule Modeling for Early Technology Development," Johns Hopkins Applied Physics Laboratory, 2018
- "Better Schedule Performance Assessments Derived from Integrated Master Plan‒Referenced Schedule Metrics,” David C. Bachman, Defense Acquisition University, October 2011.
- “Measuring Software Size, Insights from the Past to Guide the Future,” Elizabeth Pendergrass, QSM Webinar, https://www.qsm.com/blog/2020/upcoming-webinar-measuring-software-size-insights-past-guide-future
- “A Guide To Deal With Uncertainties In Software Project Management,” Marcelo Luiz Monteiro Marinho, T. L. A. Lima, and Hermano, International Journal of Computer Science & Information Technology (IJCSIT) Vol 6, No 5, October 2014.
- “Factors Affecting Duration and Effort Estimating Errors in Software Development Projects,” Ofer Morgenstern, Tzvi Raz, Dov Dvir, Information and Software Technology, 49, pp. 827-837, 2007.
- "Decision Making Under Uncertainty and Risky Situations," M. Tagavifard, Reza Tavakkoli-Moghaddam, Jan 2009
- “Tuning of Cost Drivers by Significance Occurrences and Their Calibration with Novel Software Effort Estimation Method,” Brajesh Kumar Singh, Shailesh Tiwari, K. K. Mishra, and A. K. Misra, Advances in Software Engineering, Volume 2013, Article 351913
- “Estimating Project Outcomes,” Narciso Cerpa, ICSSEA 2007-11.
- “Inside the planning fallacy: The causes and consequences of optimistic time predictions,” Roger Buehler, Dale Wesley Griffin, and Michael Ross, in Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgement, Edited by Thomas Gilovich, Dale Griffin, and Daniel Kahneman, Cambridge University Press, 2002.
- “The Application of Closed-Loop Techniques to Engineering Project Planning,” R. W. Haine and W. Lob, IRE Transactions on Engineering Management,” September 1960.
- “Software Cost Estimating Body of Knowledge: Estimation Maturity,” ICEAA Professional Development and Training Workshop, 2017.
- “The Mess of Software Metrics,” Capers Jones, Namcook Analytics, LLC, 2017
- “Software Development Effort Estimation Using Regression Fuzzy Models,” Ali Bou Nassif, Mohammad Azzeh, Ali Idri, and Alain Abran, Computational Intelligence and Neuroscience, Volume 2019.
- “Ensembles and locality: Insight on improving software effort estimation,” Leandro L. Minku and Xin Yao, Information and Software Technology, Volume 55, Issue 8, pp. 1512-1528, August 2013.
- “An empirical study of maintenance and development estimation accuracy,” Barbara Kitchenham, Shari Lawrence Pfleeger, Beth McColl, and Suzanne Eagan, The Journal of Systems and Software, 64, pp. 57-77.
- “Modern Tools to Support DoD Software Intensive System of Systems Cost Estimation,” Jo-Ann Lane and Barry Boehm, DACS Report Number 347336, 2007.
- "Model-Based Scheduling Analysis for Software Projects," Frank Padberg and David Weiss, 35th Annual Computer Software and Application Conference Workshops, 2011.
- “Software Engineering 201: Software Cost Estimation,” Sebastian Coope, University of Liverpool
- “A Fresh Look at Cost Estimation, Process Models and Risk Analysis,” Frank Padberg, Fakultät fir Informatik, Universität Karlsruhe, Germany, Jan 1999.
- "Methodology for Estimating Working Time Effort of the Software Project," Jakub Štolfa, et. al, Dateso, 2012, pp. 25-37, 2012.
- "What Contributes to the Success of IT Projects? An Empirical Study of IT Projects in the Norwegian Public Sector," Parastoo Mohagheghi, Magne Jørgensen, Journal of Software, Volume 12, Number 9, 2017.
- "Expert Estimation of Software Development Work: Learning through Feedback," Magne Jørgensen Dag Sjøberg Simula Research Laboratory, Norway
- "A review of studies on expert estimation of software development effort," M. Jørgensen, The Journal of Systems and Software, 70 (2004) pp. 37–60.
- "Effort and Schedule Estimation of Software Development,” Østvold and Magne Jørgensen, Journal of Empirical Software Engineering, 2004
- "The role of judgment in software estimation," Steven D. Fraser, Barry Boehm, Hakan Erdogmus, Magne Jørgensen, Steve McConnell, and Stan Rifkin, 31st International Conference on Software Engineering, ICSE 2009, May 16-24, 2009
- “An Adaptive Approach for Software Cost Estimation using Hybrid Model,” Swati Waghmode and Dr. Kishor Kolhe, IJLTEMAS, Volume III, Issue XI, November 2014.
- “Tuning of Cost Drivers by Significance Occurrences and Their Calibration with Novel Software Effort Estimation Method," Brajesh Kumar Singh, Shailesh Tiwari, K. K. Mishra, and A. K. Misra, Advances in Software Engineering, Volume 2013, Article ID 351913, 10 pages.
- “A New Model for Software Cost Estimation Using Harmony Search,” Sahar Sadouni, International Journal in Foundations of Computer Science & Technology (IJFCST), Vol. 5, No. 3, May 2015.
- “Optimizing Software Effort Estimation Models Using Firefly Algorithm,” Nazeeh Ghatasheh, Hossam Faris, Ibrahim Aljarah, Rizik M. H. Al-Sayyed, Journal of Software Engineering and Application, 8, pp.133-142, 2015.
- “I.T. Project Success: Practical Frameworks Based On Key Project Control Variables,” Godfred Yaw Koi-Akrofi, Eleanor Afful, and Henry Akwetey Matey, International Journal of Software Engineering & Applications (IJSEA), Vol.10, No.5, September 2019.
- "Estimation Fulfillment in Software Development Projects," Inaugural-Dissertation, zur Erlangung des Doktorgrades
des Fachbereichs Wirtschaftswissenschaften der Johann-Wolfgang-Goethe-Universität, Frankfurt am Main, 2011. - "Software Effort Estimation Inspired by COCOMO and FP Models: A Fuzzy Logic Approach,” Alaa F. Sheta and Sultan Aljahdali, International Journal of Advanced Computer Science and Applications, Vol. 4, No. 11, 2013.
- “Development of Software Effort and Schedule Estimation Models Using Soft Computing Techniques,” Alaa Sheta, David C. Rine, Aladdin Ayseh, IEEE World Congress on Computational Intelligence, Evolutionary Computation, 2008
- "Empirical Assessment and Optimization of Software Cost Estimation Using Soft Computing Techniques,” Gaurav Kumar and Pradeep Kumar Bhatia, Advanced Computing and Communication Technologies, Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing, 452, 2016.
- "How Does the Transition from Agile to DevOps Impact Software Cost Estimating," David P. Seaver, Senior Technical Advisor Business Intelligence Organization, National Security Agency
- “Unmythology and The Science of Estimation,” Corvus International, Systems Psychology and Software.
- "Using Method of Moments in Schedule Risk Analysis," Raymond P. Covert, SCEA/ISPA Joint Conference and Training Workshop, 2012.
- "Software Development Cost Estimating Guidebook,” Software Technology Support Center Analysis Group, October 2010.
- “Analysis of Software Cost Estimation using Fuzzy Logic,” Isa Maleki, Laya Ebrahimi, Saman Jodati, and Iraj Ramesh, International Journal of Computer Science & Technology (IJFCST), Vol. 4, No. 3, May 2014.
- “Artificial Neural Networks Based Analysis of Software Cost Estimation Models,” Farhad Soleimanian Gharehchopogh, Isa Maleki, and Sahar Sadouni, MAGNT Research Report, Vol. 2 (6), pp. 597-505
- "Effort Estimation in Agile Software Projects using Fuzzy Logic and Story Points," Atef Tayh Rsian, Nagy Ramadan Darwish, and Hesham Ahmed Hefney, The 50th Annual Conference on Statistics, Computer Sciences, and Operation Research, 27-30 Dec 2015
- “Exploiting the Essential Assumptions of Analogy-based Effort Estimation,” Ekrem Kocaguneli, Tim Menzies, Ayse Bener, and Jacky W. Keung, Journal of IEEE Transactions on Software Engineering, Volume 38, Issue 2, March-April 2012.
- “Finding conclusion stability for selecting the best effort predictor in software effort estimation," Jacky Keung, Ekrem Kocaguneli, and Tim Menzies, Automation Software Engineering, 12 May 2012.
- "ASCoT: The Official Release A Web-Based Flight Software Estimation Tool," Jairus Hihn, Elinor Huntington, Alex Lumnah, Michael Saing, Tom Youmans, Systems Analysis, Modeling & Architecture Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology James Johnson Strategic Investment Division, Office of the Chief Financial Officer
National Aeronautics and Space Administration, August 29-31, 2017 2017 NASA Cost Symposium. NASA HQ - “10 Deadly Sins of Software Estimation,” CONSTRUX Software Builder, IEEE Central texas Presentation, 2002
- "A Review of Agile Software Effort Estimation Methods," Samson Wanjala Munialo and Geoffrey Muchiri Muketha, International Journal of Computer Applications Technology and Research, Volume 5 - Issue 9, pp. 613-618, 2016.
- “Software Effort Estimation using Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System: Past and Present,” Aditi Sharma and Ravi Ranjan, International Journal of Recent and Innovation Trend in Computing and Communications, Volume: 5, Issue: 8, pp. 78‒83
- “Methods and Metrics for Estimating and Planning Agile Software Projects,” Edna Dias Canedo and Ruyther Parenta Costa, Twenty-Fourth America Conference of Information Systems, New Orleans, 2018
- “Measuring Effort Estimation Uncertainty to Improve Client Confidence,” John Moses, Software Quality Control 10(2), 135-148
- “Handling Estimation Uncertainty with Bootstrapping: Empirical Evaluation in the Context of Hybrid Prediction Models,” Michael Kläs, Adam Trendowicz, Yasushi Ishigai, and Haruka Nakao, Proceedings of the 5th International Symposium of Empirical Software Engineering and Measurement, 2011
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“A Method for Improving Developers’ Software Size Estimates,” Lawrence H. Putnam, Douglas T. Putnam, and Donald M. Beckett, Cross Talk: The Journal of Defense Software Engineering, April 2005. - “PERT, CPM, and Agile Project Management,” Robert C. Martin 5 October 2003, http://www.codejournal.com/public/cj/previews/PERTCPMAGILE.pdf
“Reliability and accuracy of the estimation process Wideband Delphi vs. Wisdom of Crowds,” Marek Grzegorz Stochel, 35th IEEE Annual Computer Software and Applications Conference, 2011. - “Predicting development effort from user stories,” P. Abrahamsson, I. Fronza, R. Moser, J. Vlasenko, and W. Pedrycz, International Symposium on Empirical Software Engineering and Measurement, 2011.
- “Effort prediction in iterative software development processes ‒ incremental versus global prediction models,” Pekka Abrahamsson, Raimund Moser, Witold Pedrycz, Alberto Sillitti, Giancarlo Succi, First International Symposium on Empirical Software Engineering and Measurement, 2007.
- “Planning Poker or How to avoid analysis paralysis while release planning,” James Grenning, https://wingman‒sw.com/papers/PlanningPoker‒v1.1.pdf
“Agile Estimation using CAEA: A Comparative Study of Agile Projects,” Shilpa Bhalerao, Maya Ingle, 2009 International Conference on Computer Engineering and Applications IPCSIT, Vol.2 (2011). - “A Bayesian approach to improve estimate at completion in earned value management,” Franco Caron, Fabrizio Ruggeri, and Alessandro Merli, Project Management Institute Journal, Vol. 44, No. 1, pp. 3‒16. 2013.
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- “Forecasting of Software Development Work Effort: Evidence on Expert Judgment and Formal Models,” Magne Jørgensen, International Journal of Forecasting, 2007.
- “Agile Release Planning: Dealing with Uncertainty in Development Time and Business Value,” Kevin Logue and Kevin McDaid, 15th Annual IEEE International Conference and Workshop on the Engineering of Computer-Based Systems, March 31 – April 4, 2008.
- “Why Are Estimates Always Wrong: Estimation Bias and Strategic Misestimation,” Daniel D. Galorath, AIAA SPACE 2015 Conference and Exposition Pasadena, California, 2015.
- “Estimation of Project Size Using User Stories,” Murad Ali, Zubair A Shaikh, Eaman Ali, International Conference on Recent Advances in Computer Systems (RACS 2015).
“A Survey of Agile Software Estimation Methods,” Hala Hamad Osman and Mohamed Elhafiz Musa, International Journal of Computer Science and Telecommunications, Volume 7, Issue 3, March 2016. - “Why Can’t People Estimate: Estimation Bias and Mitigation,” Dan Galorath, IEEE Software Technology Conference, October 12‒15, 2015
Hilton Hotel, Long Beach California. - “Cost-Effective Supervised Learning Models for Software Effort Estimation in Agile Environments,” Kayhan Moharreri, Alhad Vinayak Sapre, Jayashree Ramanathan, and Rajiv Ramnath, 40th Annual IEEE Computer Software and Applications Conference (COMPSAC), 2016.
- “A Review of Surveys on Software Effort Estimation,” Kjetil Moløkken and Magne Jørgensen, http://folk.uio.no/isu/INCO/Papers/Review_final8.pdf
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- “Integrating Risk Assessment and Actual Performance for Probabilistic Project Cost Forecasting: A Second Moment Bayesian Model,” Byung‒Cheol Kim, IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, Vol. 62, No. 2, May 2015.
- “A study of project selection and feature weighting for analogy based software cost estimation,” Y.F. Li, M. Xie, and T.N. Goh, The Journal of Systems and Software 82 (2009) 241–252.
- “Complementing Measurements and Real Options Concepts to Support InterSprint Decision‒Making in Agile Projects,” Zornitza Racheva, Maya Daneva, Luigi Buglione, 34th Euromicro Conference Software Engineering and Advanced Applications.
- “Software Cost Estimation and Sizing Methods: Issues and Guidelines,” Shari Lawrence Pfleeger, Felicia Wu, and Rosalind Lewis, RAND Corporation, Project Air Force, 2005.
“Anchoring and Adjustment in Software Estimation,” Jorge Aranda and Steve Easterbrook, ESEC‒FSE’05, September 5–9, 2005, Lisbon, Portugal. - “Cycle Time Analytics: Making Decision using lead Time and Cycle Time to avoid needing estimates for every story,” Troy Magennis, LKCE 2013 ‒ Modern Management Methods
“Probabilistic Forecasting Decision Making: When Do You Want it?” Larry Maccherone, http://www.hanssamios.com/dokuwiki/_media/larry‒maccherone‒probabilistic‒decision‒making.pdf - “Software Project Planning for Robustness and Completion Time in the Presence of Uncertainty using Multi-Objective Search Based Software Engineering,” Stefan Gueorguiev, Mark Harman, and Giuliano Antoniol, GECCO’09, July 8–12, 2009, Montréal Québec, Canada.
- “Empirical Validation of Neural Network Models for Agile Software Effort Estimation based on Story Points,” Aditi Panda, Shashank Mouli Satapathy, and Santanu Kumar Rath, 3rd International Conference on Recent Trends in Computing, 2015 (ICRTC‒2015).
- “When 90% Confidence Intervals are 50% Certain: On the Credibility of Credible Intervals,” Karl Halvor Teigen and Magne Jørgensen, Applied Cognitive Psychology, 19: 455–475 (2005)
- “Scaling Agile Estimation Methods with a Parametric Cost Model,” Carl Friedrich Kreß, Oliver Hummel, Mahmudul Huq, ICSEA 2014: The Ninth International Conference on Software Engineering Advances, 2014.
- “Expert Estimation and Historical Data: An Empirical Study,” Gabriela Robiolo, Silvana Santos, and Bibiana Rossi, ICSEA 2013: The Eighth International Conference on Software Engineering Advances.
- “Agile Monitoring Using the Line of Balance,” Eduardo Miranda, Institute for Software Research – Carnegie‒Mellon University and Pierre Bourque, École de Technologie supérieure – Université du Québec.
- “Managerial Decision Making Under Risk and Uncertainty,” Ari Riabacke, IAENG International Journal of Computer Science, 32:4, IJCS_32_4_12
“From Nobel Prize to Project Management: Getting Risks Right,” Bent Flyvbjerg, Aalborg University, Denmark, Project Management Journal, Vol. 37, No. 3, August 2006, pp. 5‒15. - “The Uncertainty Principle in Software Engineering,” Hadar Ziv and Debra Richardson, ICSE 97, 9th International Conference on Software Engineering, Boston MA, 17 ‒ 23 May 1997.
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- “Assuring Software Cost Estimates: Is it an Oxymoron?” Jairus Hihnl and Grant Tregre, Goddard Space Flight Center, 2013 46th Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences.
- “How Does NASA Estimate Software Cost? Summary Findings and Recommendations,” Jairus Hihn, Lisa VanderAar, Manuel Maldonado, Pedro Martinez, Grant Tregre, NASA Cost Symposium, OCE Software Working Group, August 27‒29, 2013.
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“Software Project and Quality Modelling Using Bayesian Networks,” Norman Fenton, Peter Hearty, Martin Neil, and Łukasz Radliński, Elsevier, November 31, 2013. - “Software Project Level Estimation Model Framework based on Bayesian Belief Networks,” Hao Wang, Fei Peng, and Chao Zhang, 2006 Sixth International Conference on Quality Software (QSIC'06), 27‒28 October 2006.
- “Using Bayesian Belief Networks to Model Software Project Management Antipatterns,” Dimitrios Settas, Stamatia Bibi, Panagiotis Sfetsos, Loannis Stamelos, and Vassilis Gerogiannis, Software Engineering Research, Management and Applications, ACIS International Conference on (2006), Seattle, Washington, Aug. 9, 2006, to Aug. 11, 2006.
- “A Survey of Bayesian Net Models for Software Development Effort Prediction,” Lukasz Radlinski, International Journal of Software Engineering and Computing, Vol. 2, No. 2, July‒December 2010.
- “Ten Unmyths of Project Estimation, Reconsidering some commonly accepted project management practices,” Phillip Armour, Communications of the ACM, November 2002, Vol. 45, No. 11.
- “Using Earned Value Data to Forecast the Duration and Cost of DoD Space Programs,” Capt. Shedrick Bridgeforth Air Force Cost Analysis Agency (AFCAA).
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- “Scrum Metrics for Hyperproductive Teams: How They Fly like Fighter Aircraft,” Scott Downey and Jeff Sutherland, HICSS '13 Proceedings of the 2013 46th Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences, Pages 4870‒4878, IEEE Computer Society.
- “Engaging Software Estimation Education using LEGOs: A Case Study,” Linda Laird and Ye Yang, IEEE/ACM 38th IEEE International Conference on Software Engineering Companion, 2016.
- “Software Estimation – A Fuzzy Approach,” Nonika Bajaj, Alok Tyagi, and Rakesh Agarwal, ACM SIGSOFT Software Engineering Notes, Page 1 May 2006 Volume 31 Number 3.
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- “Recent Advances in Software Estimation Techniques,” Richard E. Fairley, ICSE '92: Proceedings of the 14th International Conference on Software Engineering, May 1992.
- “Software Estimation Using the SLIM Tool,” Nikki Panlilio‒Yap, Proceedings of the 1992 conference of the Centre for Advanced Studies on Collaborative research ‒ Volume 1, CASCON '92
- “An Approach for Software Cost Estimation,” Violeta Bozhikova and Mariana Stoeva, International Conference on Computer Systems and Technologies ‒ CompSysTech’10.
“Estimating Software-IntensiveSoftware ‒Intensive Projects in the Absence of Historical Data,” Aldo Dagnino, ICSE '13: Proceedings of the 2013 International Conference on Software Engineering, May 2013. - “Estimating software projects,” R. Agarwal, Manish Kumart, Yogesh, S. Mallick, RM. Bharadwaj, and D. Anantwar, Software Engineering Notes vol 26 no 4 July 2001 Page 60.
- “Software Intensive Systems Cost and Schedule Estimation,” Technical Report SERC‒2013‒TR‒032‒2, Principal Investigator: Dr. Barry Boehm, University of Southern California, AFCAA Sponsor: Dr. Wilson Rosa, Naval Postgraduate School: Dr. Ray Madachy, University of Southern California and Software Metrics: Dr. Bradford Clark, University of Southern California: Dr. JoAnn Lane, Dr. Thomas Tan, Mr. Ramin Moazeni, Stevens Institute of Technology, Systems Engineering Research Center, 31 June 2013.
- “Improved Size and Effort Estimation Models for Software Maintenance,” Vu Nguyen, University of Southern California, December 2010.
- “Probabilistic Estimation of Software Project Duration,” Andy M. Connor, New Zealand Journal of Applied Computing & Information Technology, 11(1), 11‒22, 2007.
- “Application of Sizing Estimation Techniques for Business Critical Software Project Management,” Parvez Mahmood Khan and M.M. Sufyan Beg, International Journal of Soft Computing and Software Engineering (JSCSE), Vol. 3, No. 6, 2013.
- “Double Whammy – How ICT Projects are Fooled by Randomness and Screwed by Political Intent,” Alexander Budzier and Bent Flyvbjerg, Saïd Business School Working Papers, August 2011.
- “Software Cost Estimation Framework for Service‒Oriented Architecture Systems using Divide‒and‒Conquer Approach,” Zheng Li and Jacky Keung, Proceedings of the 5th International Symposium on Service-Oriented System Engineering (SOSE 2010), pp. 47‒54, Nanjing, China, June 4‒5, 2010.
- “Investigating Effort Prediction of Software Projects on The ISBSG Dataset,” Sanaa Elyassami and Ali Idri, International Journal of Artificial Intelligence & Applications (IJAIA), Vol. 3, No. 2, March 2012.
- “Resource Estimation in Software Engineering,” Lionel C. Briand, Encyclopedia of Software Engineering, John Wiley and Sons, 2001.
- “CECS 543/643 Advanced Software Engineering,” Dar‒Biau Liu, California State University, Long Beach, Spring 2012.
- “Software Cost Estimation Review,” Alphonce Omondo Ongere, Helsinki Metropolia University of Applied Sciences, 30 May 2013.
- “Software estimation process: a comparison of the estimation practice between Norway and Spain,” Paul Salaberria, 1 December 2014, Universitetet I Bergenm.
- “Comparison of available Methods to Estimate Effort, Performance and Cost with the Proposed Method,” M. Pauline, Dr. P. Aruna, Dr. B. Shadaksharappa, International Journal of Engineering Inventions, Volume 2, Issue 9 (May 2013), pp. 55‒68.
- “Applying Fuzzy ID3 Decision Tree for Software Effort Estimation,” Ali Idri and Sanaa Elyassam, IJCSI International Journal of Computer Science Issues, Vol. 8, Issue 4, No 1, July 2011.
- “Software Effort Estimation with Ridge Regression and Evolutionary Attribute Selection,” Efi Papatheocharous, Harris Papadopoulos and Andreas S. Andreou, 3rd Artificial Intelligence Techniques in Software Engineering Workshop, 7 October 2010.
- “A Comparison of Different Project Duration Forecasting Methods Using Earned Value Metrics,” Stephan Vandevoorde and Mario Vanhoucke, International Journal of Project Management, 24 (2006), 289‒302.
- “Quantifying IT Forecast Quality,” J. L. Eveleens, and C. Verhoef, Science of Computer Programming, Volume 74, Issues 11–12, November 2009, Pages 934‒988.
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“Modeling, Simulation & Data Mining: Answering Tough Cost, Date& Staff Forecasts Questions,” Troy Magennis and Larry Maccherone, Agile 2012, 13‒17 August 2013, Dallas Texas. - “Enhance Accuracy in Software Cost and Schedule Estimation by Using 'Uncertainty Analysis and Assessment’ In the System Modeling Process,” Kardile Vilas Vasantrao, International Journal of Research & Innovation in Computer Engineering, Vol 1, Issue 1, (6‒18), August 2011.
- “Estimating Perspectives, Richard D. Stutzke, 20th International COCOMO and Software Cost Modeling Forum, Los Angeles 25‒28 October 2005.
- “Introduction to Systems Cost Uncertainty Analysis: An Engineering Systems Perspective,” Paul R. Garvey, National Institute of Aerospace (NIA) Systems Analysis & Concepts Directorate NASA Langley Research Center, 2 May 2006.
- “Cost and Schedule Uncertainty Analysis of Growth in Support of JCL,” Darren Elliot and Charles Hunt, 2014 NASA Cost Symposium, LaRC, 13 August 2014.
- “What Does a Mature Cost Engineering Organization Look Like?” Dale Shermon, International Cost Estimating and Analysis Association (ICEAA), 2016 18th to 20th October 2016.
- “A Hybrid Model for Estimating Software Project Effort from Use Case Points,” Mohammad Azzeh and Ali Bou Nassif, Applied Soft Computing Journal, Elsevier
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“A Hybrid Intelligent Model for Software Cost Estimation,” Wei Lin Du, Luiz Fernando Capretz, Ali Bou Nassif, Danny Ho, Journal of Computer Science, 9(11):1506‒1513, 2013. - “An Empirical Analysis of Task Allocation in Scrum-based Agile Programming,” Jun Lin, Han Yu, Zhiqi Shen.
- “Agile Planning & Metrics That Matter,” Sally Elatta, Agile Transformation for Government.
- “#NoEstimates, But #YesMeasurements: Why Shouldn’t agile teams waste their time and effort in estimating,” Pekka Forselius, ISBSG IT Confidence Conference, 2016.
- “Agile Benchmarks: What Can You Concluded?” Don Reifer, ISBSG IT Confidence Conference, 2016.
- “Improve Estimation Maturity using Functional Size Measurement and Industry Data,” Drs. Harold van Heeringen, ISBSG IT Confidence Conference, 2016.
- “Why Can’t People Estimate: Estimation Bias and Mitigation,” Dan Galorath, ISBSG IT Confidence Conference, 2015.
- “Why Can’t People Estimate: Estimation Bias and Strategic Mis‒Estimation,” Daniel D. Galorath, ISBSG IT Confidence Conference, 2014.
- “Estimation Bias and Mitigation with Agile Estimation Guidance 2017 Edition,” Dan Galorath, Galorath Corporation.
- “Estimation ‒ Next Level,” Ton Dekkers, ISBSG IT Confidence Conference, 2013.
- “Are We Really That Bad? A Look at Software Estimation Accuracy,” Peter R. Hill, ISBSG IT Confidence Conference, 2013.
- “The Evaluation of Well‒known Effort Estimation Models based on Predictive Accuracy Indicators,” Khalid Khan, School of Computing Blekinge Institute of Technology, Sweden.
- “A Knowledge and Analytics-Based Framework and Model for Forecasting Program Schedule Performance, Kevin T. Knudsen and Mark Blackburn, Complex Adaptive Systems, Los Angeles, CA, 2016.
- “Managing Project Uncertainty: From Variation to Chaos,” Arnound de Meyer, Christoph Loch, and Michael Pich, IEEE Engineering Management Review 43(3):91 ‒ 91 · December 2002.
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- “Effects of Feature Complexity of Software Estimates ‒ An Exploratory Study,” Ana Magazinius and Richard Berntsson Svensson, 40th Euromicro Conference on Software Engineering and Advanced Applications, 2014.
- “Project Management Under Risk: Using the Real Options Approach to Evaluate Flexibility in R & D," Arnd Huchzermeier and Christoph Loch, INSEAD.
- “Evaluation and Improvements for Agile Planning Tools,” Sultan Alyahya, Manal Alqahtani, and Mohamed Maddeh, SERA 2016, June 8‒10, 2016, Baltimore, USA
“Fermi questions to estimate software development projects,” Eduardo Miranda, Joint Conference of the International Workshop on Software Measurement and the International Conference on Software Process and Product Measurement, 2014. - “A Review of Software Cost Estimation in Agile Software Development Using Soft Computing Techniques,” Saurabh Bilgaiyan, Samaresh Mishra, and Madhabananda Das, International Conference on Computational Intelligence and Networks, 2016.
- “Quality of Estimations How to Assess Reliability of Cost Predictions,” Dr. Thomas Fehlmann and Eberhard Kranich, Joint Conference of the 22nd International Workshop on Software Measurement and the 2012 Seventh International Conference on Software Process and Product Measurement, 2012.
- “Impact of Software Resource Estimation Research on Practice: A Preliminary Report on Achievements, Synergies, and Challenges,” Barry Boehm and Ricardo Valerdi, ICSE’11, May 21–28, 2011, Waikiki, Honolulu, HI, USA.
- “Predicting Accuracy of Early Cost Estimates Based on Estimate Quality,” Garold D. Oberlender, and Steven M. Trost, Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, May/June 2001.
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- “Software Estimation Based on Use Case Size,” Gustavo Bestetti Ibarra and Patrícia Vilain, Brazilian Symposium on Software Engineering, 2010.
- “Using Agile Story Points as an Estimation Technique in CMMI Organizations,” Alaa El‒deen Hamouda, 2014 Agile Conference, Kissimmee, FL, July 28 – August 1, 2014.
- “An Empirical Investigation on Effort Estimation in Agile Global Software Development,” Ricardo Britto, Emilia Mendes, and Jurgen Borstler, IEEE 10th International Conference on Global Software Engineering, 2015.
- “Using Bayesian Networks to Obtain the Task’s Parameters for Schedule Planning in Scrum,” Alan Ramirez‒Noriega, Reyes Juarez‒Ramirez, Raul Navarro, Janeth Lopez‒Martinez, 4th International Conference on Software Engineering Research and Innovation, 2016.
- “Using Trac for Empirical Data Collection and Analysis in Developing Small and Medium-Sized Enterprise Systems,” Naoki Ohsugi, Kyohei Fushida, Nobuto Inoguchi, Hiroyuki Arai, Hiroyuki Yamanaka, Takashi Niwa, Motohisa Tomura, and Tuyoshi Kitani, ACM/IEEE International Symposium on Empirical Software Engineering and Measurement (ESEM), 2015.
- “Agile Development Methods for Space Operations,” Jay Trimble and Chris Webster, American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics, 2012.
“Should NASA Embrace Agile Processes?” Jefferey Smith and Tim Menzies, PM Challenge 2016. - “Estimating Software Development Schedules and Costs,” R. E. Merwin, Department of Defense, DAC '72 Proceedings of the 9th Design Automation Workshop, Pages 1‒4, June 26‒28, 1972.
- “A Pattern Language for Agile Software Estimation,” Mirla R. R. Braga, Carla I. M. Bezerra, José Maria S. Monteiro, Rossana M. C. Andrade, IX Latin America Conference on Pattern Languages of Programming (SugarLoafPLoP), September 2012.
- “The Importance of the Use of an Estimation Process,” Carlos Eduardo Lima Peixoto, Jorge Luis Nicolas Audy, Rafael Prikladnicki, SDG’10, May 8, 2010, Cape Town, South Africa.
- “Software Cost Estimation Metrics Manual: Analysis based on data from the DoD Software Resource Data Report,” Cheryl Jones, US Army Armament Research Development and Engineering Center (ARDEC), et al.
- “The Art of Software Estimation Pattern Language,” Dmitry Nikelshpur, 18th Conference on Pattern Languages of Programs (PLoP), Portland, Oregon, USA (October 2011).
- “Estimate of the appropriate iteration length in agile development by conducting simulation,” Ryushi Shiohama, Hironori Washizaki, Shin Kuboaki, Kazunori Sakamoto, Yoshiaki Fukazawa, IEEE Agile, 2012.
- “Estimating Agile Software Project Effort: An Empirical Study,” Lan Cao, Americas Conference on Information Systems (AMCIS), 2008.
- “Experiences tracking agile projects: an empirical study,” Danilo Sato, Dairton Bassi, Mariana Bravo, Alfredo Goldman, and Fabio Kon, Journal of the Brazilian Computer Society, Vol. 12 No. 3 Campinas December 2006.
- “A Primer of Agile Software Development for Cost Analyst,” ICEAA National Conference, 2016.
- “Cost Estimating at NAVAIR,” David Burgess, AGA‒DC Conference, 4 May 2010.
- “Pseudo‐Mathematics: A Critical Reconsideration of Parametric Cost Estimating in Defense Acquisition,” Paul Killingsworth, Defense Acquisition University, 2014.
“Software Cost Estimation Metrics Manual for Defense Systems,” Brad Clark and Ray Madachy, 29th International Forum on COCOMO and Systems/Software Cost Modeling, 22 October 2014. - “Software Cost Estimation,” Hareton Leung and Zhang Fan, in Handbook of Software Engineering and Knowledge Engineering, World Scientific.
- “Framework of Software Cost Estimation by Using Object Orientated Design Approach.” Farooq Azam, Salman Qadri, Shabir Ahmad, Kamran Khan, Abu Buker Siddique, and Bilal Ehsan, International Journal of Scientific & Technology Research, Volume 3, Issue 8, August 2014.
- “17 Theses on Software Estimation (Expanded),” Steve McConnell, Construx, 18 August 2015.
- “A Simulation Study of Practical Methods for Technical Debt Management in Agile Software Development,” Isaac Griffith, Hanane Taffahi, Clemente Izurieta, and David Claudio, Proceedings of the 2014 Winter Simulation Conference, A. Tolk, S. D. Diallo, I. O. Ryzhov, L. Yilmaz, S. Buckley, and J. A. Miller, eds., IEEE 2014.
- “The Art of Software Estimation Pattern Language,” Dmitry Nikelshpur, PLoP '11 Proceedings of the 18th Conference on Pattern Languages of Programs, Article No. 17.
- “Understanding and improving effort estimation in Agile software development: an industrial case study,” Binish Tanveer, Liliana Guzmán, and Ulf Martin Engel, IEEE/ACM International Conference on Software and System Processes, 2016.
- “A Model for Estimating Agile Project Process and Schedule Acceleration,” Dan Ingold, Barry Boehm, Supannika Koolmanojwong, Proceedings of the 2013 International Conference on Software and System Process, ICSSP 2013, May 2013.
- “Estimating Story Points from Issue Reports,” Simone Porru, Alessandro Murgia, Serge Demeyer, PROMISE 2016: Proceedings of the 12th International Conference on Predictive Models and Data Analytics in Software Engineering, September 2016.
- “A Case Study for Prioritizing Features in Environments with Multiple Stakeholders,” Eduardo Cristiano Negrão and Eduardo Martins Guerra, OOPSLA '11, October 2011.
- “Timeboxing planning: Buffered Moscow rules,” Eduardo Miranda, ACM SIGSOFT Software Engineering Notes, November 2011 Volume 36 Number 6.
- “Effort Estimation in Agile Software Development: A Survey on the State of the Practice,” Muhammad Usman, Emilia Mendes, and Jürgen Börstler, EASE '15: Proceedings of the 19th International Conference on Evaluation and Assessment in Software Engineering, April 2015.
- “Realistic Assessment of Software Effort Estimation Models,” Boyce Sigweni, Martin Shepperd, and Tommaso Turchi, EASE '16: Proceedings of the 20th International Conference on Evaluation and Assessment in Software Engineering, May 2016.
- “A Comprehensive Survey of Software Development Cost Estimation Studies,” Shatha Al‒Qudah, Kenza Meridji, and Khalid T. Al‒Sarayreh, IPAC '15: Proceedings of the International Conference on Intelligent Information Processing, Security and Advanced Communication, November 2015.
- “Improving estimation accuracy by using Case-Based Reasoning and a combined estimation approach,” Srinivasa Gopal and Meenakshi D’Souza, Proceedings of ISEC '12, Feb. 22‒25, 2012 Kanpur, UP, India.
- “Multi-objective Software Effort Estimation,” Federica Sarro, Alessio Petrozziello, and Mark Harman, 2016 IEEE/ACM 38th IEEE International Conference on Software Engineering.
- “Estimating the Size, Cost, and Types of Technical Debt,” Bill Curtis, Jay Sappidi, and Alexandra Szynkarski, IEEE MTD '12: Proceedings of the Third International Workshop on Managing Technical Debt, June 2012.
- “Computational Intelligence in Software Cost Estimation: An Emerging Paradigm,” Tirimula Rao Benala, Satchidananda Dehuri, and Rajib Mall, ACM SIGSOFT Software Engineering Notes: Volume 37 Issue 3, May 2012.
- “Calibrating Use Case Points,” Ali Bou Nassif, Luiz Fernando Capretz, Danny Ho, ICSE Companion 2014: Companion Proceedings of the 36th International Conference on Software Engineering, May 2014.
- “Alternative methods using similarities in software effort estimation,” Makrina Viola Kosti, Nikolaos Mittas, and Lefteris Angelis, PROMISE '12: Proceedings of the 8th International Conference on Predictive Models in Software Engineering, September 2012.
- “Understanding and improving effort estimation in agile software development‒ an industrial case study,” Binish Tanveer, Liliana Guzmán, and Ulf Martin Engel, 2016 IEEE/ACM International Conference on Software and System Processes.
- “NFR’s Early Estimation Thought Software Metrics,” Andrws Vieira, Pedro Faustini, Luigi Caro, and Erika Cota, DATE '15: Proceedings of the 2015 Design, Automation & Test in Europe Conference & Exhibition, March 2015.
- “A review and comparison of methods for determining the best analogies in analogy-based software effort estimation,” Bodin Chinthanet, Passakorn Phannachitta, Yasutaka Kamei, Pattara Leelaprute, Arnon Rungsa, Naoyasu Ubayashiu, and Kenichi Matsumoto, SAC '16: Proceedings of the 31st Annual ACM Symposium on Applied Computing, April 2016.
- “A Grammatical Evolution Approach for Software Effort Estimation,” Rodrigo C. Barros, Márcio P. Basgalupp, Ricardo Cerr, Tiago S. da Silva, and André C. P. L. F. de Carvalho, GECCO '13: Proceedings of the 15th annual conference on Genetic and evolutionary computation, June 2013.
- “Software Development Cost Estimation Using Similarity Difference between Software Attributes,” Divya Kashyap and A.K.Misra, ISDOC '13: Proceedings of the 2013 International Conference on Information Systems and Design of Communication, July 2013.
- “Functional Size Measures and Effort Estimation in Agile development: A Replication Study,” Valentina Lenarduzzi, Ilaria Lunesu, Martina Matta, and Davide Taibi, XP 2015.
- “Cost Estimating Issues for MAIS Programs Using an Agile Approach for SW Development,” Richard Mabe, DOD Agile Day, 22 September 2015.
- “Quantifying Uncertainty in Early Lifecycle Cost Estimation for DOD MDAPs,” Bob Ferguson, Dennis Goldenson, Jim McCurley, Bob Stoddard, Dave Zubrow, Julie Cohen, Tim Morrow, Eduardo Miranda, Ricardo Valerdi, 16th Annual PSM Users’ Group Conference: Using Measurement to make Hard Choices in a Constrained Environment, Portsmouth, Virginia, 30 July ‒ 3 August 2012.
- “Measuring and Monitoring Agile Development Status,” Martin P. Boerman, Zeeger Lubsen, Damian A. Tamburri, and Joost Visser, 6th International Workshop on Emerging Trends in Software Metrics, 2015.
- “A Review of Software Cost Estimation in Agile Software Development Using Soft Computing Techniques,” Saurabh Bilgaiyan, Samaresh Mishra, Madhabananda Das, 2016 International Conference on Computational Intelligence and Networks.
- “A Probabilistic Software Risk Assessment and Estimation Model for Software Projects,” Chandan Kumar and Dilip Kumar Yadav, Eleventh International Multi-Conference on Information Processing‒2015 (IMCIP‒2015).
- “Six Rules of Effective Forecasting,” Paul Saffo, Harvard Business Review, July‒August 2007.
- “The Inaccurate Conception Some thoughts on the accuracy of estimates,” Phillip G. Armour, Communications of the ACM, March 2008, Vol. 51, No. 3.
- “Software Economics: A Roadmap,” Barry Boehm and Kevin Sullivan, Future of Software Engineering, Limerick Ireland, 2000.
- “Delusion and Deception in Large Infrastructure Projects: Two Models for Explaining and Preventing Executive Disaster,” Bent Flyvbjerg, Massimo Garbuio, and Dan Lovallo, California Management Review Vol. 51, No. 2 Winter 2009.
- “Eliminating Bias through Reference Class Forecasting and Good Governance,” Bent Flyvbjerg, Concept Report No 17 Chapter 6, NTNU, 2007.
- “Impacts of Bad ESP (Early Size Predictions) on Software Effort Estimation,” George Mathewa, Tim Menziesa, Jairus Hihnb, IST journal, 2016.
- “The Impact of Lessons‒Learned Sessions on Effort Estimation and Uncertainty Assessments,” Magne Jørgensen and Tanja M. Gruschke, IEEE Transactions on Software Engineering, Vol. 35, No. 3, May/June 2009.
- “Negative Results for Software Effort Estimation,” Tim Menzies, Ye Yang, George Mathew, Barry Boehm, and Jairus Hihn, Empirical Software Engineering, 2016.
- “Effect of Data Preprocessing on Software Effort Estimation,” Sumeet Kaur Sehra, Jasneet Kaur, and Sukhjit Singh Sehra, International Journal of Computer Applications (0975 – 8887) Volume 69– No. 25, May 2013.
- “A Preliminary Checklist for Software Cost Management,” Magne Jørgensen and Kjetil Moløkken, Proceedings of the Third International Conference on Quality Software (QSIC’03).
- “Cost Estimation of Software-Intensive Projects: A Survey of Current Practices,” Jairus Hihn and Hamid Habib‒agahi, ICSE '91 Proceedings of the 13th International Conference on Software Engineering, Pages 276‒287.
- “The Major Uncertainty Factors Affecting in Software Cost Estimation,” G. Rajkumar and Dr. K. Alagarsamy, International Journal of Computer Technology & Applications, Vol 4 (3), 419‒424.
- “An Empirical Study of Using Planning Poker for User Story Estimation,” Nils C. Haugen, IEEE Agile Conference, 2006.
- “Quantitative Estimation of Cost Drivers for Intermediate COCOMO towards Traditional and Cloud-Based Software Development,” Amit Agrawal, Vaibhav Jain, and Mohsin Sheikh, ACM COMPUTE '16, October 21‒23, 2016, Gandhinagar, India.
- “Predicting Effort for Requirement Changes during Software Development,” Sufyan Basri, Nazri Kama, Faizura Haneem, Saiful Adli Ismail, SoICT '16, December 08‒09, 2016, Ho Chi Minh City, Viet Nam.
- “Analytic Method for Probabilistic Cost and Schedule Risk Analysis,” prepared for National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) Office of Program Analysis and Evaluation (PA&E) Cost Analysis Division (CAD), 5 April 2013.
- “Simple Method Proposal for Cost Estimation from Work Breakdown Structure,” Sérgio Sequeira, Eurico Lopes, Conference on ENTERprise Information Systems / International Conference on Project Management / Conference on Health and Social Care Information Systems and Technologies, CENTERIS / ProjMAN / HCist, October 7‒9, 2015.
- “Large Limits to Software Estimation,” J. P. Lewis, ACM Software Engineering Notes Vol 26, No. 4 July 2001, p. 54‒59.
- “Mathematical Limits to Software Estimation: Supplementary Material,” J.P. Lewis, Stanford University.
- “The Psychology of Cost Estimating,” Andy Price, Marshall Space Flight Center.
- “The Joint Confidence Level Paradox – A History of Denial,” Glenn Butts and Kent Linton, NASA Cost Symposium, 2009.
- “Seventeen Thesis of Software Estimation,” Steve McConnell, August 2015, http://www.construx.com/10x_Software_Development/17_Theses_on_Software_Estimation/
- “Critical‒Path Planning and Scheduling,” James E. Kelley, Jr. and Morgan R. Walker, Proceedings of The Eastern Joint Computer Conference, 1959.
- “Model-based Dynamic Cost Estimation and Tracking Method for Agile Software Development,” Sungjoo Kang, Okjoo Choi, and Jongmoon Baik, 9th IEEE/ACIS International Conference on Computer and Information Science.
- “Scalable Agile Estimation and Normalization of Story Points: Calibrated Normalization Method for Bottom-Up Estimation (Part 4 of 5),” VersionOne Blog, 18 November 2013.
- “Scalable Agile Estimation and Normalization of Story Points: Calibrated Normalization Method for Top-Down Estimation (Part 5 of 5),” VersionOne Blog, 2 December 2013.
- “Efficient Utilization of Non‒Numerical Information in Quantitative Analysis: General Theory and the Case of Simple Order,” Robert Abelson and John Tukey, The Annals of Mathematical Statistics, 1963.
- “The relationship between ordinal measures and their underlying values: Why all the disagreement?” Robert O’Brien, Quality and Quantity, Volume 19, Issues 3, pp 265‒277 June 1985.
- “Categorical Data Analysis and Descriptive Value,” Marshall Pomer, Quality and Quantity, Volume 19, Issues 3, pp 227‒243 June 1985.
- “Visualized Analysis of Mixed Numeric and Categorical Data via Extended Self‒Organizing Map,” Chung‒Chian Hsu, IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks and Learning Systems, Vol. 23, No. 1, January 2012.
- “Estimating Cost Uncertainty using Monte Carlo techniques,” Paul Dienemann, RAND Corporation, RM‒4854‒PR, Jan 1966.
- “The Challenge of Introducing a New Technology into a Small Software Organization,” Jacky Keung, Ross Jeffery and Barbara Kitchenham, Proceedings of the 2004 Australian Software Engineering Conference (ASWEC’04).
- “Effort Estimation in Agile Software Development: A Systematic Literature Review,” Muhammad Usman, Emilia Mendes, Francila Weidt, and Ricardo Britto, International Conference on Predictive Models in Software Engineering ‒ PROMISE 2014, At Turin, Italy.
- “Managing Uncertainty of Time in Agile Environment,” Rashmi Popli, Priyanka Malhotra and Naresh Chauhan, Fourth International Conference on Advances in Computing and Information Technology.
- “The 10 Step Software Estimation Process for Successful Software Planning, Measurement, and Control,” Daniel D. Galorath, 2006.
- “Incorporating Vital Factors in Agile Estimation through Algorithmic Method,” S. Bhalerao and Maya Ingle, International Journal of Computer Science and Applications, 2009 Technomathematics Research Foundation, Vol. 6, No. 1, pp. 85 – 97.
- “GAO Cost Estimating and Assessment Guide: Best Practices for Developing and Managing Capital Program Costs,” GAO‒09‒3SP, March 2009.
- “Building a Software Cost Estimation Model Based on Categorical Data,” L. Angelis, I. Stamelos, M. Morisio, Proceedings Seventh International Software Metrics Symposium, 2001. METRICS, 2001.
- “Modeling Dynamics in Agile Software Development,” Lan Cao, Balasubramaniam Ramesh, And Tarek Abdel‒Hamid, ACM Transactions on Management Information Systems (TMIS), December 2010.
- “Bayesian Analysis of Empirical Software Engineering Cost Models,” Sunita Chulani, Barry Boehm, and Bert Steece, CSSE Technical Report, 1999.
- “An Empirical Validation of Software Cost Estimation Models,” Chris Kemerer, Communications of the ACM, Volume 30, Number 5, May 1987.
- “How Much Does a Vacation Cost? Or What Is a Software Cost Estimate?,” M. Jørgensen, ACM Software Engineering Notes, Volume 28, Number 6.
- “Combining Quantitative Software Development Cost Estimation Precision Data with Qualitative Data from Project Experience Reports at Ericsson Design Center in Norway,” M. Jørgensen, L. Moen, and N Løvstad, Proceedings of the Conference on Empirical Assessment in Software Engineering, 2002.
- “Eliminating Over‒Confidence in Software Development Effort Estimates,” Magne Jørgensen and Kjetil Moløkken.
- “Impact of Schedule Estimation on Software Project Behavior,” Tarek K. Abdel‒Hamid and Stuart E. Madnick, IEEE Software, July 1986.
- “Impact of Schedule Estimation on Software Project Behavior,” Tarek K. Abdel‒Hamid and Stuart E. Madnick, Center for Information Systems Research, Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1985.
- “Unit effects in software project effort estimation: Work‒hours gives lower effort estimates than workdays,” Magne Jørgensen, Journal of Systems and Software, Volume 117, July 2016, Pages 274–281.
- “Intuitive Prediction: Biases and Corrective Procedures,” Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky, Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency, Cybernetics Technology Office, June 1977.
- “Making‒Sense of the Impact and Importance of Outliers in Project Management through the Use of Power Laws,” Alexander Budziera and Bent Flyvbjerg, IRNOP (International Research Network on Organizing by Projects) 11 Conference, June 16‒18, 2013, Oslo.
- “Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases,” Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman, Science, New Series, Vol. 185, No. 4157. (Sep. 27, 1974), pp. 1124‒1131.
- “Hindsight and Foresight: The Effect of Outcome Knowledge on Judgment Under Uncertainty,” B. Fischhoff, Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance, 1975, 1: 288‒299.
- “Software Project Cost Estimating,” Russell Frith, University of Alaska at Anchorage, April 12, 2011.
- “Agile,” Jay Trimble, NASA Ames Research Center at Philips Agile 4 Ever, October 2013.
- “An Innovative Approach to Quantifying Uncertainty in Early Lifecycle Cost Estimation,” Robert Ferguson, Dennis Goldenson, James McCurley, Robert Stoddard, and David Zubrow, Journal of Software Technology, Data & Analysis Center for Software, 15‒1, February 2012.
- “Bayesian Statistics in Software Engineering: Practical Guide and Case Studies,” Carlo A. Furia, ArXiv, 28 August 2016.
- “Software size measures and their use in software project estimation,” ICEAA 2015.
Books on Estimating Software Intensive System of Systems
- Applied Microeconomics - Problem in Estimation, Forecasting, and Decision-Making, Richard Lee Schamlensee, 1970
- The Economics of Iterative Software Development: Steering Towards Better Business Results, Walker Royce, Addison-Wesley, 2009
- Cost and Value Management in Projects, Ray R. Venkataraman and Jeffrey K. Pinto, John Wiley & Sons, 2008
- Project Decisions – The Art and Science, Lev Virine, Berrett‒Koehler Publisher, October 1, 2007.
- The Silver Lining of Project Uncertainties, Thomas G. Lechler Ting Gai, and Barbara Edington, Project Management Institute, 2013.
- Judgment in Managerial Decision Making, 8th Edition, Max H. Bazerman, John Wiley & Sons, 2012.
- Value-Focused Thinking: A Path to Creative Decision Making, Ralph Keeney, Harvard University Press, 1992.
- How to Understand, Communicate, and Control Uncertainty through Graphical Display, Howard Wainer, Princeton University Press, 2009.
- Decision Analysis for the Professional, Peter McNamee, and John Celona, SmartOrg, smartorg.com 2007.
- COSMIC Function Points: Theory and Advanced Practices, Reiner Dumke and Alain Abran, Auerbach Publications, 2011.
- Mathematics for Finance: An Introduction to Financial Engineering, Marek Capinski and Tomasz Zastowniak, Springer, 2003.
- Software Project Effort Estimation: Foundations and Best Practice Guidelines for Success, Adam Trendowicz and Ross Jeffery, Springer, 2014.
- The Psychology of Planning in Organizations: Research and Applications (Organization and Management Series) 1st Edition, Michael D. Mumford (Editor), Michael Frese (Editor), Routledge, 2015.
- Progressive Function Point Analysis: Advanced Estimation Techniques for IT Projects, Ruben Gerad Mathew,
- Software Project Effort Estimation: Foundation and Best Practice Guidelines for Success, Adam Trendowicz and Ross Jeffery, Springer, 2014.
- Probability Methods for Cost Uncertainty Analysis: A Systems Engineering Perspective, Second Edition, Paul Garvey and Stephen Book, Chapman and Hall, January 2016.
- Practice Standard for Project Estimating, Project Management Institute, 2011
- Practical Software Project Estimation 3rd Edition, Peter Hill, McGraw‒Hill Education, 2010
- Actionable Agile Metrics for Predictability: An Introduction, Daniel Vacanti, Daniel S. Vacanti, Inc., March 4, 2015.
- Uncertainty, A Guide to Dealing with Uncertainty in Quantitative Risk and Policy Analysis, M. Granger Morgan, Max Henrion, Mitchell Small, Cambridge University Press, 1980.
- Agile Estimating and Planning, Mike Cohn, Prentice-Hall, 2006.
- Software Cost Estimation Metrics Manual for Defense Systems, Bradford Clark and Richard Madachy (editors), Software Metrics Inc., Haymarket, VA, USA, 2015.
- Practical Software Project Estimation: A Toolkit for Estimating Software Development Effort & Duration, Peter Hill, International Software Benchmarking Standards Group.
- Software Estimation Best Practices, Tools & Techniques: A Complete Guide for Software Project Estimators, Murali K. Chemuturi, J. Ross Publishing, August 2009.
- Software Project Cost and Schedule Estimating: Best Practices, William H. Roetzheim, Prentice-Hall.
- Estimating the Scope of Software Projects Using Statistics, Louis Newstrom, Louis Newstrom Publisher, December 4, 2015.
- Estimating Software Intensive Systems: Project, Products, and Processes, Richard Stutzke, Addison Wesley.
- Estimating Software Costs: Bringing Realism to Estimating, 2nd Edition, Capers Jones, McGraw Hill
- Software Estimation: Demystifying the Black Art, Steve McConnell, Microsoft Press.
- Software Metrics: A Rigorous and Practical Approach, 3rd Edition, Norman Fenton and Janes Bieman, CRC Press.
- Probability Methods for Cost Uncertainty Analysis: A Systems Engineering Perspective, Paul R. Garvey, CRC Press.
- Forecasting and Simulating Software Development Projects: Effective Modeling of Kanban & Scrum Projects using Monte‒Carlo Simulation, Troy Magennis, CreateSpace Independent Publishing Platform, October 25, 2011.
- How to Lie with Statistics, Darrell Huff, W. W. Norton, 1954.
- Agile Product Management: Agile Estimating & Planning Your Sprint with Scrum and Release Planning 21 Steps, Paul Vll, Create Space, 2016.
- Software Project Effort Estimation Foundations and Best Practice Guidelines for Success, Adam Trendowicz and Ross Jeffery, Springer 2014.
- Software Project Estimation: The Fundamentals for Providing High-Quality Information to Decision Makers, Alain Abran, Wiley‒IEEE, 6 April 2016.
- Software Measurement and Estimation: A Practical Approach, Linda M. Laird and M. Carol Brennan, Wiley‒IEEE Computer Society Press, June 2006.
- All About Agile: Agile Management Made Easy!, Kelly Waters, CreateSpace Independent Publishing Platform, March 19, 2012.
- Introduction to Uncertainty Quantification, T. J. Sullivan, Springer, 2016.
- Generalized Estimating Equations, 2nd Edition, James W. Hardin, Chapman and Hall, 2012.
- Hybrid Approach for Estimating Software Project Development Effort: Designing Software Cost Estimation Model, Ketema Kifle, LAP LAMBERT Academic Publishing, June 2, 2016.
- A Hedonic Approach to Estimating Software Cost Using Ordinary Least Squares Regression and Nominal Attribute Variables, Marc Ellis, BiblioScholar, 2012.
- Uncertainty Quantification: Theory, Implementation, and Applications, Ralph Smith, SIAM‒Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics, December 2, 2013.
- How Many Licks: Or How to Estimate Damn Near Anything, Aaron Santos, Running Press, 2009.
- Software Engineering Metrics and Models, Conte, Dunsmore, and Shen, Benjamin Cummings, 1986
- Actionable Agile Metrics for Predictability: An Introduction, Daniel Vacanti, 2015.
- Project Management Analytics: A Data-Driven Approach to Making Rational and Effective Project Decisions, Harjit Singh, Pearson FT Press; 1st Edition, November 12, 2015.
- Software Metrics and Software Metrology, Alan Abran, Wiley‒IEEE Computer Society, 2010.
- The IT Measurement Compendium: Estimating and Benchmarking Success with Functional Size Measurement, Manfred Bundschuh and Carol Dekkers, Springer, 2008.
- IT Project Estimation: A Practical Guide to Costing Software, Paul Coombs, Cambridge University Press, 2003.
- Applied Software Measurement: Global Analysis of Productivity and Quality, 3rd edition, Capers Jones, McGraw‒Hill, 2008.
- The Incremental Commitment Spiral Model: Principles and Practices for Successful Systems and Software, Barry Boehm, Jo Ann Lane, Supannika Kollmanojwong, and Richard Turner, Addison Wesley, 2014.
- The Economics of Software Quality, Capers Jones and Oliver Bonsignour, Addison Wesley, 2012
- The Road Map to Software Engineering: A Standards-Based Guide, James Moore, 2006.
- Software Measurement and Estimation: A Practical Approach, Linda Laird and Carol Brennam, John Wiley & Sons, 2006.
- Software Sizing, Estimation, and Risk Management: When Performance is Measured, Performance Improves 1st Edition, Dan Galorath, Auerbach Publications, March 15, 2006.
- Practical Software Project Estimation ‒ A Toolkit for Estimating Software Development Effort and Duration, Peter Hill, McGraw Hill, 2010.
Thesis on Estimating Software Intensive System of Systems
- “Agile Project Estimation,” Audrius Grinys, Faculty of Industrial Engineering, Mechanical Engineering and Computer Science University of Iceland, 2012.
- “Using NEMA Function Point Analysis in Agile Context,” Roel van Rijswijck, Radboud Universiteit Nijmegen, August 2013.
- “Towards the Construction of Large Bayesian Networks for Web Cost Estimation,” Simon Baker, University of Auckland, 2009.
- “Factors Affecting Efficiency of Agile Planning,” Deepika Badampudi, School of Computing Blekinge Institute of Technology SE-371 79 Karlskrona Sweden, October 2012.
- “An Investigation Into Software Estimation Methods,” Khaled H. M. Hamdan, School of Computing & Technology, University of Sunderland, UK, February 2009.
- “SW Cost Estimation: Measuring Model Performance of Arbitrary Function Approximators,” Erik Stensrud and Ingunn Myrtveit, Norwegian School of Management, May 2002.
- “The complexity of projects: an adaptive model to incorporate complexity dimensions into the cost estimation process,” Leon Herzon, University of Huddersfield, January 2017.
- “Comparative Analysis Between FPA and COCOMO Techniques For Software Cost Estimation,” Abu Baker Ali Moftah, Universiti Tun Hussein Onn, Malaysia, July 2014.
- “An Investigation Into Software Estimation Methods,” Khaled Hamdan,” University of Sunderland, February 2009.
- “Prediction of project performance: development of prediction model for predicting future performance of an OG&C project in EPC environment,” Naresh Kaushik, Thesis Report, Delft University
- “Improving Expert Estimation of Software Development Effort in Agile Contexts,” Muhammad Usman, Blekinge Institute of Technology, Department of Software Engineering, 2018.
- “Bayesian Analysis of Software Cost and Quality Models,” Sunita Devnani‒Chulani, University of Southern California, May 1999.
- “Feasibility of Automated Estimation of Software Development Effort in Agile Environments,” Alhad Vinayak Sapre, The Ohio State University, 2012.
- “Improving Planning: Quantitative Evaluation of the Premortem Technique in Field and Laboratory Settings,” Madeline Peabody, Master’s Thesis, Michigan Technological University, 2017.
- “Evaluating Software Development Effort Estimation Process in Agile Software Development Context,” Juho Leinonen, University of Oulu, Department of Information Processing, May 3, 2016.
- “Improved Size and Effort Estimation Models for Software Maintenance,” Vu Nguyen, University of Southern California, December 2010.
- “Software Cost Estimating Models: A Comparative Study of What the Models Estimate,” George Coggins and Roy Russell, Air Force Institute of Technology, September 1993.
- “Feasibility of Automated Estimation of Software Development Effort in Agile Environments,” Alhad Vinayak Sapre, The Ohio State University, 2012.
- “The Application of Function Points to Predict Source Lines of Code for Software Development,” Garland Henderson, Airforce Institute of Technology, AFIT/GCA/LSY/92S‒4
- “Multivariate and Naïve Bayes Text Classification Approach to Cost Growth Risk in Department of Defense Acquisition Programs,” Charlton E. Freeman, Captain, USAF, Air Force Institute of Technology, 2003.
- “A Software Project Dynamics Model for Process Cost, Schedule and Risk Assessment,” Raymond Joseph Madachy, Industrial and Systems Engineering, University of Southern California, 1994.
- “Using NESMA Function Point Analysis in an Agile Context,” Roel van Rijswijck, Radboud Universiteit Nijmegen, August 2013
- “Developing A Framework for Improving the Quality of Cost Estimates,” Evaggelos Lavdas, School of Applied Sciences, Cranfield University, 2006.
- “Calibration and Validation of The COCOMO II.1997.0 Cost/Schedule Estimating Model to The Space and Missile Systems Center Database,” Wayne A. Bernheisel, AFIT/GCA/LAS/97S‒1.
- “The Analysis of Project Factors for Software Development Effort and Quality: The Impact and Estimation,” Jianglin Huang, City University of Hong Kong, September 2016.
- “Domain-Based Effort Distribution Model for Software Cost Estimation,” Thomas Tan, University of Southern California, August 2012.
- “Bayesian Analysis of Software Cost and Quality Models,” Sunita Devnani‒Chulani, University of Southern California, 1999.
- “Shrinking the Cone of Uncertainty with Continuous Assessment for Software Team Dynamics in Design and Development,” Pongtip Aroonvatanaporn,” Ph.D. Thesis, University of Southern California, August 2012.
- Software Effort Estimation as Collaborative Planning Activity, Kristin Børte, University of Oslo, April 2011.
- “Anchoring and Adjustment in Software Estimation,” Jorge Aranda and Steve Easterbrook, ESEC‒FSE’05, September 5–9, 2005, in ACM SIGSOFT Software Engineering Notes 30(5):346‒355 · August 2005
- “Improving the estimation, contingency planning and tracking of agile software development projects,” Eduardo Miranda, École De Technologie Supérieure, Université Du Québec, 26 August 2010.
- “An Approach to Early Lifecycle Estimating for Agile Projects,” Raymond E. Boehm, School of Computer Science and Information Systems, Pace University December 2011.
- “Evaluating Software Development Effort Estimation Process in Agile Software Development Context,” Juho Leinonen, University of Oulu, Department of Information Processing Science, May 3, 2016
- “Improving Software Quality with Software Error Prediction,” Taneli Taipale, University of Oulu, Department of Computer Science and Engineering, December 2015.
- “Empirical Research on Relative and Absolute Effort Estimation on Software development Projects,” Ivar Fredriksen, University of Oslo, 2 November 2009.
- “Estimating Software Effort Hours for Major Defense Acquisition Programs,” Corinne Wallshein, George Mason University, September 2010.