Cost Estimation for Projects: How to Estimate Accurately

ProjectManager.com

Good cost estimation is essential for keeping a project under budget. Many costs can appear over the life cycle of a project, and an accurate estimation method can be the difference between a successful plan and a failed one. Estimation, however, is easier said than done.

Governance and Estimating

Herding Cats

If your business is not subject to any external governance process, you’re free to spend your money as you please. Governance includes: Responsibility for a specific duty, task, or decision. The governing of IT systems has two distinct components. NoEstimates Governance

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How to Build a Robust Project Risk Culture [8 Steps]

Online PM Courses

A robust risk culture goes beyond having a strong basic risk management process. Some of my readers may hope to influence the risk culture of their whole organization. For you, the right aspiration is to build a positive risk culture within your project.

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How to Talk About Estimates

Herding Cats

What is an estimate? An estimate as a noun is an approximate calculation or judgment of the value, number, quantity, or extent of something. An estimate as a verb is to roughly calculate or judge the value, number, quantity, or extent of. Estimates. IT Risk Management.

Software Estimating Resources

Herding Cats

This blog page is dedicated to the resources used to estimate software-intensive systems using traditional and agile development methods. COSMIC Software Estimation Approach,” Alain Abran, ICEAA Workshop, Portland Oregon, June 6?9, Estimating Probable System Cost,” Stephen A.

Estimates, Forecasts, Projections

Herding Cats

Estimates. An Estimate is a value inferred for a population of values based on data collected from a sample of data from that population. The estimate can also be produced parametrically or through a simulation (Monte Carlo is common, but Method of Moments is another we use). . Estimates can be about the past, present, or future. We can estimate the number of clams in the Pleistocene era that are in the shale formations near our house. Estimate to Complete.

Decisions Without Estimates?

Herding Cats

Can you make a decision without an estimate? There are NO means of making a credible decision in the presence of uncertainty without estimating the outcome of that decision. Don't assume, Estimate. This process is the basis of all risk management. IT Risk Management.

Project Governance: Establishing an Effective Steering Committee

Strategy Execution | PMO Perspectives

Within the project management community, the concept of governance is seen as a fundamental project control, which is easy to grasp in principle. Getting the governance piece right requires insight and at times a few honest conversations about roles and responsibilities.

What is an Estimate? What is Estimating?

Herding Cats

I work in a domain where estimates are made every single week. Estimate to Complete (ETC), Estimate at Completion (EAC), Estimated Completion Date (ECD) are the life blood of our software intensive system of systems programs. But Estimating is NOT Guessing.

System of Delivery: An Intro to Our Governance Model

Leading Agile

Our governance model and team design may look a little complicated at first glance. In this presentation, our Chief Methodologist, Dennis Stevens will remove the noise and walk you through our governance model and team design to help you better understand the LeadingAgile system of delivery.

Reasons to Estimate and Measure

Herding Cats

Estimating Software-Intensive Systems: Project, Products, and Processes , Richard D. Stutzke is a starting point for estimating software projects. I recommend it for anyone starting out in the estimating business all the way to seasoned veterans. Reasons to Estimate and Measure

Estimating is a Learned Skill

Herding Cats

Estimating is a learned skill, used for any purpose from every-day life to management of projects. When I left for the airport this morning to catch my flight to a customer site I estimated, given the conditions, how much time I need to get to my favorite parking spot at DIA. The same process for estimating is applied to multi-billion dollar projects we work. Here's some materials that provide the tools and processes needed to learn how to estimate.

GAO Cost Estimating and Assessment Guide Applied to Agile

Herding Cats

The GAO Cost Estimating and Assessment Guide has 12 steps. Uncertainty creates risk. Risk Management is how Adults Manage Projects - Tim Lister. Conduct Schedule Risk Analysis. Uncertanty creates Risk.

4 Fallacious Reasons to Estimate and Why Those Are Fallacious

Herding Cats

There's a recent post titled Four Fallacious Reasons to Estimate. It lists the usual suspects for why those spending the money think they don't have to estimate how much they plan to spend when they'll be done producing the value they've been assigned to produce for that expenditure.

When to Estimate and When Estimates aren't Needed

Herding Cats

Paul Boos has a post about estimating and makes a case for the Principles of when NOT to estimate. This struck a cord around a bigger topic - the inversion of estimating. When should we NOT estimate? What business decision making conditions could be in place where we don't have to estimate the outcomes of our decision in the presence of uncertainty? Then on to the original conjecture for No Estimates from Paul's post. Not principles for NOT estimating.

Risk Management Resources

Herding Cats

Risk Management is essential for development and production programs. Risk issues that can be identified early in the program, which will potentially impact the program later, termed Known Unknowns and can be alleviated with good risk management. requires making estimates) ?

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Risk Management in Five Easy Pieces, with Apologies to Jack

Herding Cats

Managing Cost, Schedule, & Technical Performance Risk Is The Basis Of Good Project Management. Risk management is essential to the success of any significant project. These risks can be mitigated with a good risk management process. Risk management structure.

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Behavioural Economics, Estimating, and Decision Making in Presence of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

Both uncertainties create the risk to the success of any project endeavor. Reduction or Mitigation of the risks generated by these uncertainties is the role of risk management. Risk Management is How Adults Manage Projects - Tim Lister. IT Risk Management.

Managing in the Presence of Risk

Herding Cats

Information technology project risk often comes from non-technical aspects of the initiative. Decision Making Deliverables Based Planning(r) Estimating Governance Management Performance-Based Project Management® Planning Product Management Project Management Requirements Root Cause Analysis

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Closed Loop Control and Granularity of the Estimating Process

Herding Cats

The estimate of Desired (or even contractual ) schedule, cost, or technical performance of the software project. The granularity of these estimates determining the dynamic behavior of the system ‒ the software project. When we hear the question at what level of an agile project do we estimate – Vision, Theme, Release, Feature, Story, or even Task ‒ the first question is again ­. What is the value at risk you are willing to right off if you lose control?

Estimating on Non-Trivial Software Projects

Herding Cats

A nice conversation on twitter about estimates on software brought up the topic of estimates as commitments. The #NoEstimates advocates see estimates as making commitments. Yes, commitments are made when we estimate. I have an 80% confidence (an estimate) I can deliver what you need on or before September 15 (an estimate), at or below $15,000.oo (an estimate) with a 15% error band (an estimate). . Estimates are not needed.

How to Estimate Any Software Problem

Herding Cats

ways to make decisions with No Estimates. can we make a decision in the presence of Uncertainty without making an estimate of the impact or outcome of that decision? What would be the evidence that we could make decisions in the presence of uncertanty without estimating the impacts and outcomes of those decisions? . The Myths of No Estimates and the busting of them is one purpose of this blog post. Before we start, let's look with the notion of estimation.

A Compendium of Risk Management Resources

Herding Cats

This blog page is dedicated to the resources used to manage the risk encountered on software-intensive systems using traditional and agile development methods. Let's start with a critical understanding of the purpose of managing risk on software development projects. Estimation of Long?Term

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A Compendium of Works to Increase the Probability of Project Success

Herding Cats

Business, Technical, Systems, Risk, and Project Management. Project Governance. Agile Software Development for Government Software Intensive System of Systems (SISoS) , Boulder Agile Meetup, 27 July 2016. Risk Management. Handling Risk on High Technology Programs.

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Microeconomics and Risk Management in Decision Making for Software Development

Herding Cats

When we hear about software development disasters and then hear that estimates are to blame, and NOT Estimating will somehow reduce or prevent these disasters, think again. Now To Risk Management. Risk is the effect of uncertainty of objectives. Uncertainty, creates risk.

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Compendium of Works to Increase Probability of Project Success

Herding Cats

Business, Technical, Systems, Risk, and Project Management Briefings and Presentations. Risk Management (#RM). Governance (#Governance). Business, Technical, Systems, Risk, and Project Management. Risk Management . What is Risk? Governance.

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Project Failure – Why it Happens

Online PM Courses

– 2 – Governance. Governance is hardly the most sexy of project management disciplines. Good governance is a cornerstone of project success, so poor governance inevitably leads to project failure. Lack of Governance Structure. Poor Estimating.

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Cost and Value Management for Software Development

Herding Cats

Since each of these elements operates in the presences of reducible (Epistemic) and irreducible (Aleatory) uncertainties, estimates are needed to make any credible decisions. . Software Project Cost Estimation . Overlooking key project risks.

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Increasing the Probability of Project Success

Herding Cats

How to Avoid the "Yesterday's Weather" Estimating Problem. Capabilities Earned Value Estimating Governance Management Performance-Based Project Management® Principles Requirements Risk Root Cause Analysis Technical Performance Measures

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We the jury, find the Project Sponsor guilty…………….

Ron Rosenhead

This resulted in an estimated 15 staff weeks being tied up with highly complex issues which should never have arisen. There was no on going risk assessment carried out for this project. project management governance project project management project management training risk assessmen

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Transport for London’s Signal Failure – £886m more than planned*

Ron Rosenhead

Public or in house training – the choice is yours Performance management report for project sponsors- must do… project management governance auditing projects project management risk management skills shortageHorrible headlines and a horrible situation.

Quote of the Day

Herding Cats

To make sensible decisions, in the presence of uncertainty - reducible and irreducible - we need to estimate the probability that the decision will be the right decision. The world as it will be requires estimating the future using a variety of means.

The Pseudo Science of No Estimates

Herding Cats

I listened to the final rant of Jon Stewart ( BIG CAUTION this show is from Cable and for Adults Only, just like Risk Management) and came away with inspiration for a post, which I've edited a bit to remove the phrases not applicable here. . estimates are the smell of dysfunction, so let's not estimate and the dysfunction will disappear." This comes to the discussion of Value at Risk and what are estimates for other than to protect Value at Risk.

Impacts of traditional project funding models on agile delivery

Kiron Bondale

The challenge with all of these funding approaches is that they are based on an estimated cost of a project rather than the funding we wish to allocate to a product, capability or service. It can result in higher risk, premature financial commitments.

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Misunderstanding Making Decisions in the Presence of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

What happens if you shift focus from "accurate estimation" to "reliably shipping by a date"? . If your project has no uncertainty, there is no need to estimate. The risk is created when we have not accounted for this natural variances in our management plan for the project.

Is Your Strategic Project at Risk Due to Poor Implementation of Proven Project Management Practices?

Strategy Execution | PMO Perspectives

Risk management, for instance, has little value if all we do is log the risks and assign ownership and mitigating actions, without subsequently following up and taking these risks into consideration when planning, estimating and executing the project.

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3 Questions That Must Be Asked at Every Project Management Meeting

Herding Cats

Of course, each of these questions and answers must be risk-adjusted since. Risk Management is Project Management for Adults - Tim Lister. These questions and the principles, processes, and practices to support them are Governance of the project.

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Increasing the Probability of Program Success

Herding Cats

We're working on a White Paper for the Joint Space Cost Council which is an organization composed of government (NRO, NASA, USAF, and others) and industry representatives with an interest in space. Risk Management is How Adults Manage Projects. Risk-Adjusted Plans.

Podcast Interview

Herding Cats

Balanced Scorecard Capabilities Decision Making Deliverables Based Planning(r) Earned Value Estimating Governance Management Performance-Based Project Management® Planning Principles Project Management Requirements Risk Root Cause Analysis Scheduling

Agile Project Management Methods

Herding Cats

How estimates are or are not needed. Agile Books Capabilities Decision Making Deliverables Based Planning(r) Economics ERP Estimating Governance Management Performance-Based Project Management® Planning Principles Project Management Requirements Risk Systems Theory

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