Ask a PM: How to Get Proper Estimates

LiquidPlanner

How do you deal with a team that refuses to estimate how long tasks will take? Estimating can be done in several solid ways, and frankly, it sounds as if your colleagues don’t know how to estimate properly or are scared to give you the timescales that pop into their heads.

Project Management Processes & Phases

ProjectManager.com

If so, it might be time to start implementing proven project management processes and phases at your organization in order to bring your company’s workflow under control. Cost: Estimate the costs involved across the project and formulate a budget. Get Buy-In for a New PM Process.

No more initial estimates? NOOOOOOOOOOO!

Kiron Bondale

You are assigned to manage a project and before you or your team have had an opportunity to start to chip away at the looming mountain of uncertainty, you get put on the spot to provide a cost or schedule estimate by your project sponsor or some other stakeholder.

How To Be An Estimating Superhero

Girl's Guide to PM

A statistical model for estimating isn’t normally something I’d put in the ‘make my job easy’ box, but I might just have found one that works. What if you want an estimate that is, say, 75% reliable? PERT can’t give you those kinds of estimates. How reliable is this estimate?”.

How to Increase the Accuracy of Your Project Estimates

MavenLink

Today, clients expect greater transparency in the services process, wanting to know who is working on their project, how long it will take, and why it costs as much as it does. Having an accurate, reusable estimation model plays a pivotal role. What Makes an Accurate Estimation Model?

Software Estimating Resources

Herding Cats

This blog page is dedicated to the resources used to estimate software-intensive systems using traditional and agile development methods. COSMIC Software Estimation Approach,” Alain Abran, ICEAA Workshop, Portland Oregon, June 6?9, Estimating Probable System Cost,” Stephen A.

Risk Management Plan - What is the Process?

Brad Egeland

Risk Management Planning What is the Risk Management Process? So, most times you can expect to make lots of lists to keep up with the entire process. Why You Need A Risk Assessment Matrix The greatness of qualitative risk reviews is that they give you estimates.

Your Guide to Accurately Estimating Projects

LiquidPlanner

Estimation is an invaluable tool for anticipating and managing project uncertainties. Accurate project estimates help identify cost and schedule requirements with relative precision, and reduce the risk of running out of time, resources, and budget during a project. Phased Estimating.

Tips to Create the Perfect Intake Process Template for Project Work

Wrike

One of the best ways for her to do so is to create a successful process that can be replicated again and again. So she decides to create an intake process template that she can use to streamline all of these work requests and set her team up for success. .

RBS is one more technique for your estimation tool belt!

Kiron Bondale

Project managers need to be comfortable with different estimation techniques. Foundational project management courses will teach you about analogous, bottom-up, parametric and three-point estimating. Estimate the size or effort of that story or work package.

Estimating Resources

Herding Cats

There's a never-ending opportunity to learn how to estimate in the presence of uncertainty. Here's some resources for informing that learning process. . Don't need estimates? - Want To Learn How To Estimate? Herding Cats: Estimating on Non-Trivial Software Projects. NoEstimates Estimating

10 Point Checklist for Better Project Estimates

Planview

The following content is based on the whitepaper, “Bigger Than a Breadbox: 10 Tips for Better Project Estimates, Part 2,” written by Jerry Manas. Part 1: Improve Project Estimates and Escape Crisis Mode. Use Horizon-Based Estimates. Part 3: Project Estimation Methods.

Estimates, Forecasts, Projections

Herding Cats

Estimates. An Estimate is a value inferred for a population of values based on data collected from a sample of data from that population. The estimate can also be produced parametrically or through a simulation (Monte Carlo is common, but Method of Moments is another we use). . Estimates can be about the past, present, or future. We can estimate the number of clams in the Pleistocene era that are in the shale formations near our house. Estimate to Complete.

What is an Estimate? What is Estimating?

Herding Cats

I work in a domain where estimates are made every single week. Estimate to Complete (ETC), Estimate at Completion (EAC), Estimated Completion Date (ECD) are the life blood of our software intensive system of systems programs. But Estimating is NOT Guessing.

Independent Cost Estimating (ICE)

Herding Cats

Unless you have skin in the game your estimate for the work can't be credible. Let's look at the potential for such an approach in light of the credibility of an estimate. No one getting paid to estimate likes to present bad news. NoEstimates Estimating

Top Tips for Realistic Project Estimations

Strategy Execution | PMO Perspectives

Poor estimation is a major cause of project failure. According to the PMI, inaccurate cost estimates is a contributing factor in 28% of projects that fail. Producing Realistic Estimates for Strategic Projects. Why Estimations Go Wrong. How else can we estimate it?

Closed Loop Control and Granularity of the Estimating Process

Herding Cats

DP6Jw is an overview of this process. To control this process using feedback and corrective actions ‒ in the same way, your closed loop controller for your air conditioner or heater does - a sampling rate is determined based on the rate of change of the underlying processes. These measures, corrective actions, and resulting outcomes operate in the presence of statistical and probabilistic processes. Stochastic process control is the field of study.

Principles of Cost and Schedule Estimating

Herding Cats

One of the 4 summary root causes of project performance failures is Unrealistic Cost and Schedule Estimates based on inadequate risk-adjusted growth models. If you have no uncertainty, then estimates provide no value. Herding Cats: Basis of Estimating Software Development.

Estimating Tools and Resources

Herding Cats

Tools and resources for cost and schedule estimating, when you here estimates are hard, we're bad at estimating, estimates are a waste, estimates are misused All those statements are fallacies. iceaaonline.com International Cost Estimating and Analysis Association.

Signs that Your Project Management Process Needs an Update

EasyProjects

Whatever the case, here are five signals from the universe that indicate your project management process is due for a refresh. Process vs Methodology. Let’s first clarify what is meant by the word ‘process’ and how it is not to be confused with the term ‘methodology’.

Decisions Without Estimates?

Herding Cats

Can you make a decision without an estimate? There are NO means of making a credible decision in the presence of uncertainty without estimating the outcome of that decision. These two points of view are the basis of any credible business management process.

Your Guide to Accurate Project Estimate Projects

LiquidPlanner

Estimation is an invaluable tool for anticipating and managing project uncertainties. Accurate project estimates help identify cost and schedule requirements with relative precision, and reduce the risk of running out of time, resources, and budget during a project. Phased Estimating.

How to Talk About Estimates

Herding Cats

What is an estimate? An estimate as a noun is an approximate calculation or judgment of the value, number, quantity, or extent of something. An estimate as a verb is to roughly calculate or judge the value, number, quantity, or extent of. Estimates.

Why Johnny Can't Estimate?

Herding Cats

Since all risk comes from uncertainty - reducible (Epistemic) and irreducible (Aleatory), estimating is a foundation of all we do. There is no discussion of the conjecture that estimates are a waste, estimates can't be done, estimates are evil, estimates must be stopped immediately. To be informed how to estimate in this broad range of domains, problems, and impacts - education, exp[erience, and skill are needed. Gow to avoid common estimating mistakes.

Beginner’s Guide to Project Management Process

iZenBridge

Project Management Process Skill (Tools and Techniques). Project Management Process in divided into 5 Process Groups. These groups are further bifurcated in 10 Knowledge Areas and 47 Project Management Processes. These Process Groups are: Initiating. Estimates.

From Onboarding to Expert: Optimizing Projects and Processes with LiquidPlanner

LiquidPlanner

Here at LiquidPlanner we’ve identified four main stages our customers go through to optimize their projects and processes. You need to focus on three key data points when setting up your workspace in LiquidPlanner: resource availability, remaining effort estimates, and priority order.

Why Johnny Can't Estimate? (Update)

Herding Cats

There is a discussion of the conjecture that estimates are a waste, estimates can't be done, estimates are evil, estimates must be stopped immediately. To be informed how to estimate in this broad range of domains, problems, and impacts — education, experience, and skill are needed. Through this education process and the hands-on experiences that followed, we all learned an Immutable Principle. Generating accurate and precise estimates is straightforward.

Reasons to Estimate and Measure

Herding Cats

Estimating Software-Intensive Systems: Project, Products, and Processes , Richard D. Stutzke is a starting point for estimating software projects. I recommend it for anyone starting out in the estimating business all the way to seasoned veterans.

Estimating is a Learned Skill

Herding Cats

Estimating is a learned skill, used for any purpose from every-day life to management of projects. When I left for the airport this morning to catch my flight to a customer site I estimated, given the conditions, how much time I need to get to my favorite parking spot at DIA. The same process for estimating is applied to multi-billion dollar projects we work. And the same process is applied to the Scrum development processes on those projects. .

How Does Probabilistic Estimation Reduce Project Uncertainty?

LiquidPlanner

When you replace fixed-date deterministic scheduling with probabilistic estimations, you’ve got a whole new ball game. Probabilistic estimation is one of the reasons LiquidPlanner is the most realistic project management tool in the world.

When to Estimate and When Estimates aren't Needed

Herding Cats

Paul Boos has a post about estimating and makes a case for the Principles of when NOT to estimate. This struck a cord around a bigger topic - the inversion of estimating. When should we NOT estimate? What business decision making conditions could be in place where we don't have to estimate the outcomes of our decision in the presence of uncertainty? Then on to the original conjecture for No Estimates from Paul's post. Not principles for NOT estimating.

Estimating Accuracy Mathematics

Herding Cats

In the estimating business, like many things in project management, there is confusion about principles, practices, and processes. A good estimation approach should provide estimates that are within 25% of the actual results, 75% of the time. Want To Learn How To Estimate?

Agile Estimating Methods and Impact on Project Development Performance Index

Herding Cats

The presentation " Quantifying the Impact of Agile Practices ," Larry MacCherone at the RallyOn 2013 Conference, presents some results on estimating impacts. The Higher the number the better the performance of the process. How to Estimate Software Development. Estimating

Basis of Estimating Software Development

Herding Cats

The estimating of software development is both straightforward and complex. When it is suggested that estimating is hard, of no value, and unnecessary, always ask what principle is used to support that claim? Here are some resources that will provide guidance to produce credible software development estimates, in both traditional and agile domains. Software Sizing and Estimating: Mk II FPA , Charles Symons, John Wiley & Sons, 1991.

Governance and Estimating

Herding Cats

If your business is not subject to any external governance process, you’re free to spend your money as you please. make use of estimates in their decision support processes.

Why Johnny Still Cannot Estimate

Herding Cats

He doesn't know how - He doesn't understand how estimates fit into the process of business and managerial finance of product or service development. He doesn't understand why estimates are needed - He doesn't understand the impact on the business for not knowing how long, how much, and what will be produced for the time and money. Coding work is much more fun than making estimates, documenting the requirements, writing tests. Herding Cats: Decisions Without Estimates?

How To Create A Simple Project Plan (Project Planning Process)

PM Basics

Nevertheless, project planning is a structured and logical process. At each moment of the process, you’re in need of information that you don’t have yet. Most of the processes are interrelated, and you don’t know where to start from. You need to evaluate each process.

The Ontological Fallacy of No Estimates

Herding Cats

We can make decisions in the presence of uncertainty without estimating the outcome of that decision on our probability of success. Any criticism of the NO Estimates statement is met with being blocked from the discussion. The introduction to the #NoEstimates paradigm started with .

Empower Your Human Resources Processes

MindGenius

Entrepreneurs can’t afford to lose time, money and results from a bad hiring choice (a recent Forbes article by Falon Fatemi quotes Zappos CEO Tony Hsieh who once estimated that bad hires had cost the company “well over $100 million”). What I have learnt from all hires is that consistent review and updating of the recruitment and onboarding process is key to getting it more right than wrong. Developing templates and consistent reviewing criteria will help fine tune the process.

Estimating the Risk

Herding Cats

Aleatory uncertainty, which is the naturally occurring yields variances in the underlying processes. Epistemic uncertainty comes from probabilistic processes that can be addressed with handling responses. In order to make risk-informed decisions, we must estimate the outcomes and the impacts of those outcomes on future activities (cost, schedule, and technical performance of products and services). Without these estimates, there is no risk management.