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Monte Carlo Risk Analysis in Project Management

Project Pulse Journal

By: Dr. Michael Shick, MSPM, PMP, CSM Are you a project manager struggling to predict the risks in your projects accurately during planning? This is where Monte Carlo Simulation transforms the art of project risk management into a more precise science, as part of quantitative risk analysis.

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Risk Management Resources

Herding Cats

Risk Management is essential for development and production programs. Information about key project cost, (technical) performance, and schedule attributes is often uncertain or unknown until late in the program. Effective Risk Management 2 nd Edition , Edmund Conrow, AIAA, 2003. Risk Management Papers. “A

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A Compendium of Risk Management Resources

Herding Cats

This blog page is dedicated to the resources used to manage the risk encountered on software-intensive systems using traditional and agile development methods. Let's start with a critical understanding of the purpose of managing risk on software development projects. Making these decisions in the presence Uncertainty ?

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Estimating is a Learned Skill

Herding Cats

Estimating is a learned skill, used for any purpose from every-day life to management of projects. The Influence of Selection Bias on Effort Overruns in Software Development Projects,” Magne Jørgensen, Simula Research Laboratory & Institute of Informatics , University of Oslo. The Future of Systems-and Software Development.

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Software Estimating Resources

Herding Cats

One of our clients, a retired USAF Col Program Manager at an NNSA Weapons Testing Site has a statement that is applicable here: If you lack academic basis and validated experience, your advice is simply unsubstantiated opinion without any basis in fact or principle. Flint, School of Management, Working Paper Series, September 2005.”.

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DDSTOP The Saga Continues

Herding Cats

There's been a rash of conjectures about all kinds of bad business, project, and software development (agile and traditional) management ideas of late. Define the risks - reducible and irreducible - to each Capability and their Features. Place all the information into some modeling tool. So how do we get ±10% accuracy?

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The Urge to Strangle(The Strangler Pattern)

Leading Agile

Business agility means having the capability to “turn on a dime” at low cost and with low risk, to drive innovation, respond to market changes, and overcome the competition. In any enterprise that depends heavily on information systems, business agility is not possible without technical agility.