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Misunderstanding Making Decisions in the Presence of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

Information about key project cost, performance, and schedule attributes is often uncertain or unknown until late in the program. How to identify risky IT projects and avoid them turning into black swans,” Magne Jørgensen, Ernst & Young: Nordic Advisory Learning Weekend, Riga, 2016. “A Pich, Christoph H. 8, August 2002 pp.

2003 46
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Risk Management Resources

Herding Cats

Information about key project cost, (technical) performance, and schedule attributes is often uncertain or unknown until late in the program. Large engineering project risk management using a Bayesian belief network,” Eunchang Lee, Yongtae Park, and Jong Gye Shin, Expert Systems and With Applications , 36, pp. 5887, 2009.

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A Compendium of Risk Management Resources

Herding Cats

Let's start with a critical understanding of the purpose of managing risk on software development projects. Information about key project cost, (technical) performance and schedule attributes is often uncertain or unknown until late in the program. Use of Benefits of Tools for Project Risk Management,” T. 5887, 2009.

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Software Estimating Resources

Herding Cats

Estimating Probable System Cost,” Stephen A. Bool, CrossLink: The Aerospace Corporation, Winter, 2000/2001, pp. Why Monte Carlo Simulations of Project Network can Mislead,” Terry Williams, Project Management Journal 35(3), pp. Evaluating Project Decisions,” INTAVER Institute. 61, September 2004. June 2015.

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Estimating is a Learned Skill

Herding Cats

Seventh International Software Metrics Symposium, 2001. Improving Subjective Estimates Using Paired Comparisons,” Eduardo Miranda, IEEE Software , January/February, 2001. “A 1, January 2001. On the problem of the software cost function,” J. Dolado, Information and Software Technology 43 (2001) 61–72. 30–41, 2012.