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Deconstructing The Cone of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

The paper on the Cone of Uncertainty is used by many in the No Estimates community as an example of why estimates are of little use. In this paper, there is data that does not follow the Cone of Uncertainty, in that the uncertainty of the estimates does not reduce as the project proceeds. Then there is some analysis.

2007 42
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Microeconomics and Risk Management in Decision Making for Software Development

Herding Cats

Take for example the deployment of an ERP system, the installation, and startup of a process control system, the release of a suite of embedded software controllers for a car, aircraft, petrochemical plant. risks that may prevent the end item from performing as intended or not meeting performance expectations. Programmatic ?

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Compendium of Works to Increase Probability of Project Success

Herding Cats

Management Processes (#MP). Project Performance Management (#PPM). Technical Performance Measures (#TPM). Cost, Schedule, and Technical Performance Management (#CSTPM). Management Processes. Project Success Assessment - A checklist for assessing the processes for project success. On Being a Leader.".

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Cone of Uncertainty - Revisited

Herding Cats

Specific actions to reduce the Episuncertaintiesnaties and Margin to handle the Aleatory uncertainies are part of any good project management process. . Coping with the Cone of Uncertainty: An Empirical Study of the SAIV Process Model,” Da Yang, Barry Boehm, Ye Yang, Qing Wang, and Mingshu Li, ICSP 2007 , LNCS 4470, pp.

2012 29
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Risk Management is How Adults Manage Projects

Herding Cats

All making things smaller dos is show that you're late, over budget, and what you're building (Technical Performance Measures) doesn't work faster. But when some statement is made about risk, estimating, performance modeling, or the like - always ask for references. Ravindranath Pandian, Auerbach Publications, 2007.

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Fallacy of the Day

Herding Cats

Project Controls are Management Actions, either preplanned to achieve the desired result, or taken as a corrective measure prompted by the monitoring process. Project controls are concerned with the metrics of the project – quantities, time, cost, and other resources and their measurable beneficial outcomes for the project.

2005 37
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Misinterpretations of the Cone of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

The Cone of Uncertainty as a Technical Performance Measure. Of late, Cone of Uncertainty has become the mantra of No Estimates advocates claiming that data is needed BEFORE the Cone is of any use. The Cone of Uncertainty as a Technical Performance Measure. Measure of Effectiveness. Measure of Performance.