Herding Cats

AUGUST 1, 2018

“Coping with the Cone of Uncertainty: An Empirical Study of the SAIV Process Model,” Da Yang, Barry Boehm, Ye Yang, Qing Wang, and Mingshu Li, ICSP 2007 , LNCS 4470, pp. 37–48, 2007. 504, Center for Systems and Software Engineering, University of Southern California, 2012.

2012 29

2012 2007 2010 2006 29

Herding Cats

DECEMBER 3, 2017

Seems there is still some confusion (intentional or accidental) about the Cone of Uncertainty and its purpose and its use in software development. Some feel that the cone does not provide any value for the work they do and does not match the reducing uncertainty in their estimates. This letter states.

2007 34

2007 2012 2009 2010 34

Herding Cats

MAY 11, 2019

This blog page is dedicated to the resources used to manage the risk encountered on software-intensive systems using traditional and agile development methods. Let's start with a critical understanding of the purpose of managing risk on software development projects. requires making estimates) ? De Meyer, C.

Risk Management 35

Risk Management Risk Technical Review 2002 35

Herding Cats

APRIL 4, 2019

So here are some books, handbooks, and guides that sit on my shelf that are used pretty much all the time on the Software Intensive System of Systems we work on. But when some statement is made about risk, estimating, performance modeling, or the like - always ask for references. Software Risk Management , Barry W.

Risk Management 43

Risk Management Risk 2003 2011 43

Herding Cats

MARCH 11, 2017

What happens if you shift focus from "accurate estimation" to "reliably shipping by a date"? . If your project has no uncertainty, there is no need to estimate. All estimates have precision and accuracy. Deciding how much precision and accuracy is needed for a credible estimate is critical to the success of that decision.

2003 46

2003 2014 2015 2011 46

Herding Cats

JANUARY 22, 2017

Barry Boehm's work in “Software Engineering Economics”. The Cone is a project management framework describing the uncertainty aspects of estimates (cost and schedule) and other project attributes (cost, schedule, and technical performance parameters). The BLUE bars are the probabilistic ranges of the current estimate date.

Technical Review 28

Technical Review 2005 Estimate Software Review 28

Herding Cats

JANUARY 17, 2017

Barry Boehm's work in “Software Engineering Economics”. The Cone is a project management framework describing the uncertainty aspects of estimates (cost and schedule) and other project attributes (cost, schedule, and technical performance parameters). The BLUE bars are the probabilistic ranges of the current estimate date.

Technical Review 28

Technical Review 2005 Estimate Software Review 28

Herding Cats

MARCH 4, 2017

Let's start with a clear and concise description of the problem of successfully managing projects in the presence of uncertainty: Accurate software cost and schedule estimations are essential for non-trivial software projects. As a software project progresses, more information about the project is known.

2010 28

2010 2007 Estimate Aerospace 28

Herding Cats

FEBRUARY 4, 2017

Barry Boehm's work in “Software Engineering Economics”. The Cone is a project management framework describing the uncertainty aspects of estimates (cost and schedule) and other project attributes (cost, schedule, and technical performance parameters). Estimates are needed but are subject to large level of uncertainty.

Technical Review 28

Technical Review Estimate 2005 Software Review 28

Herding Cats

JUNE 19, 2017

The Cone of Uncertainty is a framing assumption used to model the needed reduction in some parameter of interest in domains ranging from software development to hurricane forecasting. Of late, Cone of Uncertainty has become the mantra of No Estimates advocates claiming that data is needed BEFORE the Cone is of any use.

Technical Review 35

Technical Review Performance Measurement Underperforming Technical Team Estimate 35