Herding Cats

NOVEMBER 30, 2017

All software development projects operate in the presence of uncertainty. The design and development of software must rely on estimation, forecasts, and predictions based on an idealized understanding of what is an unknown (but knowable) understanding of reality. Related articles. IT Risk Management.

Software Developers 34

Software Developers Software Development Software Estimate 34

Herding Cats

NOVEMBER 27, 2016

An Estimate is a value inferred for a population of values based on data collected from a sample of data from that population. The estimate can also be produced parametrically or through a simulation (Monte Carlo is common, but Method of Moments is another we use). . Estimates can be about the past, present, or future.

Estimate 36

Estimate 2015 2017 Governance 36

Herding Cats

SEPTEMBER 3, 2016

A nice conversation on twitter about estimates on software brought up the topic of estimates as commitments. The #NoEstimates advocates see estimates as making commitments. Yes, commitments are made when we estimate. oo (an estimate) with a 15% error band (an estimate). . Estimates are not needed.

Estimate 37

Estimate Software Governance Government 37

Scoro

JULY 13, 2021

In this article, we explore the features of the Gantt chart, as well as three specific use cases in different sectors, illustrating just how versatile it is. Each task is depicted as a horizontal bar (usually color-coded), the length of which is the task’s estimated duration. The first real-time Gantt chart from Scoro Software.

Software Review 94

Software Review Construction Software Developers Software Development 94

Herding Cats

AUGUST 27, 2017

There's a recent post titled Four Fallacious Reasons to Estimate. It lists the usual suspects for why those spending the money think they don't have to estimate how much they plan to spend when they'll be done producing the value they've been assigned to produce for that expenditure. Let's look at each one in more detail.

Estimate 46

Estimate Software Review Underperforming Technical Team Technical Review 46

Herding Cats

MAY 11, 2018

There's a fallacy used by some in the software development business, that estimates are not needed to make decisions in the presence of uncertainty. Here's an example of the probability distribution of a cost estimate for a project. Related articles. Architecture -Center ERP Systems in the Manufacturing Domain.

Estimate 39

Estimate 2015 Controlling Closing 39

Wrike

JUNE 11, 2023

In this article, we will explore the basics of process modeling, the steps to create a successful process model, the tools and techniques that can aid in effective process modeling, and showcase case studies where process modeling has proven to be invaluable. Process modeling is a crucial aspect of project management.

Process 36

Process Software Review Manufacturing Software Developers 36

TrustRadius Project Management

OCTOBER 27, 2022

Oracle is a software company with its own ERP solution and offers Oracle Netsuite as an ERP service as well. A good chunk of the ERP market is dominated by buyers from manufacturing companies. Most of the end-users of this software choose a software-as-a-service (SaaS) cloud ERP application over their on-premise counterparts.

Software Review 62

Software Review Software Technical Review Artificial Inteligence 62

TrustRadius Project Management

OCTOBER 27, 2022

If you want to learn more about ERP capabilities, you can see Oracle Netsuite’s feature list as well as Oracle’s article background ERP software. Oracle is a software company with its own ERP solution and offers Oracle Netsuite as an ERP service as well. How does ERP Software Selection Work?

Software Review 62

Software Review Software Technical Review Artificial Inteligence 62

Herding Cats

MARCH 17, 2019

Here are my collected works, presentations, briefings, journal papers, articles, white papers, and essays, used to increase the Probability of Project Success (PoPS) I've developed and applied over my career in the software-intensive system of systems domain. How to Develop Credible Cost & Schedule Estimate.

2003 54

2003 2011 2008 Performance Measurement 54

MPUG

DECEMBER 12, 2022

The Project Information Repository (PIREP) is a fundamental tool for managing and administering software development projects. Also, WBS is a pictorial view of the solution in terms of work products and deliverables, which is like a “Bill of Materials” in manufacturing. “When you fail to plan, you are planning to fail.”.

Technical Review 80

Technical Review Risk Management Software Review Controlling 80

MPUG

SEPTEMBER 8, 2019

There are many who have the misconception that Agile is just for software development. It has been and is being used for manufacturing, engineering, construction, testing, and many other project processes that require iterations or iterative working sessions leading to a final result. Understanding Agile.

Agile 89

Agile Technical Review Software Review 2006 89

Herding Cats

OCTOBER 5, 2018

The primary purpose of software estimation is not to predict a project’s outcome; it is to determine whether a project’s targets are realistic enough to allow the project to be controlled to meet them ? As more details get developed, the Cone converges to the actual value. Steve McConnell.

2012 48

2012 2007 2011 2010 48

Herding Cats

JUNE 9, 2017

For software development, there are many decisions to be made. What Feature to develop next ? Do we have enough time and money to develop the needed Features before the business needs to put those Features to work earned back their investment? Related articles. Are we ready for the Release? IT Risk Management.

Software 51

Software Software Engineering Estimate Manufacturing 51

Herding Cats

DECEMBER 28, 2017

Estimation is pretentious rationalism, where rationalism does not serve us well (extremistan)(sic) Take only risks you can survive. These estimates can not the ultimate truth since the underlying processes that create the uncertainties (aleatory and epistemic) are stochastic in nature - stationary or nonstationary. The Fallacy.

2009 40

2009 Estimate Software Developers Software Development 40

Herding Cats

MAY 29, 2018

In the presence of irreducible and reducible uncertainties of nature, as well as the projects we work, calculating the mathematical outcomes from our decision means making estimates. Software is only valuable when it produces information that enables people and systems to meet their objectives more effectively. Related articles.

2017 28

2017 Estimate Software Developers Software Development 28

Herding Cats

APRIL 14, 2018

Software development is a Value Creaton activity, but Value cannot be determined unless we know the cost to produce that value and when that value will be available for use by those who of paid for that Value. For software development, those scarce resources are people, time, and money. Microeconomics .

Process 45

Process Estimate Software Developers Software Development 45

Herding Cats

APRIL 2, 2018

You don't estimate it. There are other means, but for software estimating the mean is the correct term. . All the variables in software development are random variables. Related articles. Architecture -Center ERP Systems in the Manufacturing Domain. Just like the average speed on your sports tracker.

Estimate 38

Estimate Software Developers Software Development Manufacturing 38

Herding Cats

OCTOBER 27, 2017

Asking to be trusted , asking to be allowed to self-organize and spend other people's money in the development of value. Many times asking to not be asked for an estimate, or to show progress to plan, or to not be held to a deadline, or to report on when they'll be done. Related articles. Trust Requires a Track Record.

Manufacturing 39

Manufacturing Estimate Software Developers Software Development 39

Herding Cats

APRIL 13, 2018

Estimation locks down choices early through upfront t decision making, #NoEstimates preserves options. This is the same paradigm of Agile software development where responding to change over following the plan is part of the original manifesto. Aligning Software Investment Decisions with the Markets ," Hakan Erdogmus. "

2008 32

2008 2002 Estimate Software Engineering 32

Herding Cats

SEPTEMBER 22, 2017

The #NoEstimates Manifesto - Actually restates Best Practice for estimating and making decisions with those estimates. . Deterministic estimates are point estimates and Point estimates without a Variance are of little value in the presence of uncertainty. Delivery Time over Development Time.

Estimate 50

Estimate 2017 Governance Government 50

nTask

AUGUST 8, 2019

When using the Waterfall Model, the emphasis lies on making sure the requirements and design fit the needs of the project before moving on to the later stages of development. The origin of the Waterfall Model is often attributed to the manufacturing and construction industries. Background. Popularity of the Waterfall Model.

Software Review 97

Software Review 2019 Development Team Review Technical Review 97

International Institute for Learning

JUNE 22, 2022

Despite our rudimentary technology, we were (in my estimate) at least as productive and less stressed out than most people are today. I can write the first draft of an article in 2-hours—it, then, takes another 10-hours to edit. Kanban is a flow-based management practice initially developed to reduce inventory and manufacturing costs.

Technical Review 52

Technical Review Software Review Lean PMI 52

Herding Cats

DECEMBER 3, 2017

Seems there is still some confusion (intentional or accidental) about the Cone of Uncertainty and its purpose and its use in software development. Some feel that the cone does not provide any value for the work they do and does not match the reducing uncertainty in their estimates. This letter states.

2007 34

2007 2012 2009 2010 34

Herding Cats

SEPTEMBER 27, 2017

"Iterative Enhancement: A Practical Technique for Software Development," Victor Basil and Albert Turner, IEEE Transactions on Software Engineering , Vol. Real-Time Software Engineering in Ada: Observations and Guidelines," Mark Borger, Mark, Klein, and Robert Veltre, technical Report, CMU/SEI-89-TR-022 , September 1989. .

2003 38

2003 Software Engineering Manufacturing Engineering 38

Herding Cats

OCTOBER 20, 2017

For software development systems like Kanban, which is production line-centric, Litle's Law tells us. λ = average production rate of complete software components. λ = average production rate of complete software components. There are two fundamental assumptions for Little's Law to work in the software development domain".

Underperforming Technical Team 34

Underperforming Technical Team 2008 Software Developers Software Development 34

Herding Cats

JANUARY 11, 2018

This is the basis of all Closed Loop Control systems, from the speed control of the car, to the flight controls for an aircraft, to the temperature controls for your home, and of course the business controls for software development. Right and wrong cease to be useful concepts when you’re talking about software development.

Agile 39

Agile Software Developers Software Development Estimate 39

Herding Cats

MARCH 3, 2018

Our project management, software development world the more so. . The classic that happened yesterday was yet another misuse of the Standish Report, long debunked, to claim estimates p[rovide no value, in fact, estimates are the source of the reason why projects fail. Related articles. IT Risk Management.

Manufacturing 31

Manufacturing Estimate Software Developers Software Development 31

Binfire

APRIL 7, 2017

The Agile project management methodology has been used in the software development and IT industry for the past sixteen years, but recently it has gained wide acceptance by many number of industries and organizations. Project Estimation. How do you come up with project estimation in Agile world?

Agile 100

Agile Technical Review Software Review Development Team Review 100

Herding Cats

MARCH 18, 2018

This analog signal is the underlying dynamics of the software development process. The digital signal is the information needed to determine the physical percent complete of the dynamic software development process. Related articles. Architecture -Center ERP Systems in the Manufacturing Domain.

Risk Management 41

Risk Management Risk Estimate Closing 41

Herding Cats

APRIL 10, 2017

I've been working in the probabilistic estimating business for a decade or two. . As well - of course - is the nonsense that Forecasts are not estimates, popularized by #NoEstimates advocates. As well - of course - is the nonsense that Forecasts are not estimates, popularized by #NoEstimates advocates. Related articles.

Estimate 31

Estimate Manufacturing Controlling Software Developers 31

Herding Cats

MAY 2, 2018

There is NO Principle of Managerial Finance, Probabilistic Decision Making, or Microeconomics of Software development, in the presence of uncertainties found on all projects, by which a credible decision can be made without estimating the impact of that decision on the probability of project success. Related articles.

Finance 32

Finance Manufacturing Estimate Software Developers 32

Binfire

AUGUST 27, 2017

The conclusion was reached by the research team that an incremental approach to software development works better. The team creates a working prototype quickly and then incrementally improves the software both in terms of functionality and quality. Project Estimation. No wonder so many projects were failing.

Agile 97

Agile Technical Review Software Review Development Team Review 97

Herding Cats

JULY 5, 2016

This quote is misused to suggest that estimating can't be done. He's speaking about Chess playing program - and doing so from the perspective of 1978 style software development. Related articles. Agile Software Development in the DOD. Architecture -Center ERP Systems in the Manufacturing Domain.

Estimate 34

Estimate Software Developers Software Development Manufacturing 34

Herding Cats

MARCH 21, 2018

In the absence of omniscience, efforts to predict to any useful degree of certainty what events will have an effect the work and whether these uncertainties will occur require careful consideration and of course estimates needed to assess the presence and impacts of Epistemic and Aleatory uncertainties that create risk. . Related articles.

Risk 47

Risk Estimate Risk Management Manufacturing 47

Leading Agile

NOVEMBER 13, 2018

In discussing the delivery capacity of a software development team, we can say “velocity” and everyone knows we mean the amount of work the team can complete, on average, in a given time interval , and we don’t mean, literally, va=v+v02. “Velocity” in software development doesn’t mean velocity.

Software Review 91

Software Review Underperforming Technical Team Software Developers Software Development 91

Herding Cats

FEBRUARY 9, 2018

I've seen estimates abused by bad managers, so let's NOT estimate and that will fix the behavior of Bad Managers." While the human behaviors are real and observable, conjecturing that decisions can be made in the presence of uncertainty without estimating the outcome of those decisions, there is no principle to support that conjecture.

Underperforming Technical Team 44

Underperforming Technical Team Estimate 2003 Software Review 44