Remove Estimate Remove Information Technology Remove Project Cost Remove Software Engineering
article thumbnail

Misunderstanding Making Decisions in the Presence of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

What happens if you shift focus from "accurate estimation" to "reliably shipping by a date"? . If your project has no uncertainty, there is no need to estimate. Turns out in the real world there is no such project. All estimates have precision and accuracy. Accuracy - how close is the estimate to the actual value?

2003 46
article thumbnail

Risk Management Resources

Herding Cats

Information about key project cost, (technical) performance, and schedule attributes is often uncertain or unknown until late in the program. requires making estimates) ? Management of Novel Projects Under Conditions of High Uncertainty,” A. IEEE Transactions on Software Engineering , Vol.

Insiders

Sign Up for our Newsletter

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

article thumbnail

A Compendium of Risk Management Resources

Herding Cats

Let's start with a critical understanding of the purpose of managing risk on software development projects. Information about key project cost, (technical) performance and schedule attributes is often uncertain or unknown until late in the program. requires making estimates) ? Estimation of Long?Term

article thumbnail

Software Estimating Resources

Herding Cats

This blog page is dedicated to the resources used to estimate software-intensive systems using traditional and agile development methods. Cost Modeling Agile Software Development,” Maarit Laanti and Petri Kettunen, International Transactions on Systems and Applications, Volume 1 Number 2, pp. Chakraborty and K.

article thumbnail

A Wrap Up of the #NoEstimating Conjecture Analysis to Date

Herding Cats

The conjecture that we can make decisions in the presence of uncertainty without estimating the impacts of those decisions is without any principles that can be tested beyond personal anecdotes of I know people who spend other peoples money without providing estimates. We need to learn how to predict with credible methods.

article thumbnail

Estimating is a Learned Skill

Herding Cats

Estimating is a learned skill, used for any purpose from every-day life to management of projects. When I left for the airport this morning to catch my flight to a customer site I estimated, given the conditions, how much time I need to get to my favorite parking spot at DIA. Google will find these when there is no URL provided.

article thumbnail

DDSTOP The Saga Continues

Herding Cats

Yes, you have to pay for them, but that cost is cheap compared to a naive and novice approach based on experimenting with other people's money. In all engineering worlds, from software engineering to bending metal for money, there is really nothing new under the sun. This solution is called Software Engineering.