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Estimating is a Learned Skill

Herding Cats

“When 90% Confidence Intervals are 50% Certain: On the Credibility of Credible Intervals,” Karl Halvor Teigen and Magne Jørgensen, Applied Cognitive Psychology Applied Cognitive Psychology, 19: 455–475 (2005). Improving Subjective Estimations Using Paired Comparisons,” Eduardo Miranda, IEEE Software Magazine, Vol. 1, January 2001.

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Software Estimating Resources

Herding Cats

Flint, School of Management, Working Paper Series, September 2005.”. Estimating Probable System Cost,” Stephen A. Why Monte Carlo Simulations of Project Network can Mislead,” Terry Williams, Project Management Journal 35(3), pp. Evaluating Project Decisions,” INTAVER Institute. 153, 2007 “Overspend? June 2015.