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Resources for Cone of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

If your uncertainty is not reducing at some planned rate, you're not managing the project for success and you're going to be late, over budget and the products not likley to work or some combination of those. From his article in an IEEE magazine often quoted by No Estimates advocates. . 37-48, 2007.

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Software Estimating Resources

Herding Cats

“Effort Estimation of Use Cases for Incremental Large-Scale Software Development,” Pareastoo Mohagheghi, Bente Anda, and Reidat Conradi, Proceedings of the 27th international conference on Software engineering. Software Development Effort Estimation using Fuzzy Bayesian Belief Network with COCOMO II,” B. 9, Issue 3, No.