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Why Johnny Can't Estimate? (Update)

Herding Cats

There is a discussion of the conjecture that estimates are a waste, estimates can't be done, estimates are evil, estimates must be stopped immediately. In our domain of engineered systems, there is a broad range of problems, complex issues, approaches to solving problems. In all cases, we start our work with.

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The Ontological Fallacy of No Estimates

Herding Cats

We can make decisions in the presence of uncertainty without estimating the outcome of that decision on our probability of success. is an example of an Ontological Fallacy. Any criticism of the NO Estimates statement is met with being blocked from the discussion. See, the preacher, he encourages your capacity for illusion.

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Why Johnny Can't Estimate?

Herding Cats

Since all risk comes from uncertainty - reducible (Epistemic) and irreducible (Aleatory), estimating is a foundation of all we do. There is no discussion of the conjecture that estimates are a waste, estimates can't be done, estimates are evil, estimates must be stopped immediately. illities are a waste.

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How to Estimate Any Software Problem

Herding Cats

ways to make decisions with No Estimates. can we make a decision in the presence of Uncertainty without making an estimate of the impact or outcome of that decision? What would be the evidence that we could make decisions in the presence of uncertanty without estimating the impacts and outcomes of those decisions? . Start here.

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Start with Principles, Not Personal Anecdotes

Herding Cats

If, for example, a project manager believes a member of his or her team is a fast and effective worker, each time that team member works fast and effectively or is told by a colleague about the work that has been done fast and effectively, the project manager will consider his or her belief to be well-founded.

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How a Time Tracker Can Solve Most of Your Work Problems

Paymo App

By precisely measuring employee time records, project managers will be able to make better time estimates for future projects. Examples of time trackers. If you’re a software engineer, designer, or finance expert, you might already be using this platform to find clients. Toptal’s TopTracker.

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Risk Management Resources

Herding Cats

requires making estimates) ? This blog page is dedicated to the resources used to assess risks, their impacts, and handling strategies for software-intensive systems using traditional and agile development methods. IEEE Transactions on Software Engineering , Vol. Software Engineering Institute, January 1996.