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Resources for Cone of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

The planned uncertainty not only needs to decrease over time passing, but this reduction diminishes any impacts of risk on the decision-making processes. Seems there is still some confusion (intentional or accidental) about the Cone of Uncertainty and its purpose and its use in software development. IT Risk Management.

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Software Estimating Resources

Herding Cats

Monte Carlo Schedule Risk Analysis,” Intaver Institute, Inc. Effort Estimation of Use Cases for Incremental Large-Scale Software Development,” Pareastoo Mohagheghi, Bente Anda, and Reidat Conradi, Proceedings of the 27th international conference on Software engineering. 61, September 2004. Chakraborty and K.

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Estimating is a Learned Skill

Herding Cats

The primary purpose of software estimation is not to predict a project’s outcome; it is to determine whether a project’s targets are realistic enough to allow the project to be controlled to meet them ‒ Steve McConnell. Software quality measurement,” Magne Jørgensen, Advances in Engineering Software 30 (1999) 907–912.