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A Compendium of Works to Increase the Probability of Project Success

Herding Cats

Here are my collected works, presentations, briefings, journal papers, articles, white papers, and essays, used to increase the Probability of Project Success (PoPS) I've developed and applied over my career in the software-intensive system of systems domain. Business, Technical, Systems, Risk, and Project Management.

2003 54
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Agile Finance: How Do You Make a Business Case for Transformation?

Leading Agile

Back in the Summer of 2018, I spoke at the Agile2018 Conference under the topic of “Addressing Your CFO’s Concerns to an Enterprise-Wide Agile Transformation.” Return on Investment or ROI is a performance measure used to evaluate the efficiency of an investment. Large-scale transformation efforts are not to be taken lightly.

Finance 72
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Misinterpretations of the Cone of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

The Cone of Uncertainty is a framing assumption used to model the needed reduction in some parameter of interest in domains ranging from software development to hurricane forecasting. The Cone of Uncertainty as a Technical Performance Measure. Uncertainty creates Risk. Measure of Effectiveness.

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Cone of Uncertainty - Part Cinq

Herding Cats

Barry Boehm's work in “Software Engineering Economics”. The Cone is a project management framework describing the uncertainty aspects of estimates (cost and schedule) and other project attributes (cost, schedule, and technical performance parameters). Prentice-Hall, 1981. Here's a simple definition of the Cone of Uncertainty: .

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Cone of Uncertainty - Part Cinq (Updated)

Herding Cats

Barry Boehm's work in “Software Engineering Economics”. The Cone is a project management framework describing the uncertainty aspects of estimates (cost and schedule) and other project attributes (cost, schedule, and technical performance parameters). This is done by active risk management, through probabalistic decision-making.

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Cone of Uncertainty - Part Trois

Herding Cats

Barry Boehm's work in “Software Engineering Economics”. The Cone is a project management framework describing the uncertainty aspects of estimates (cost and schedule) and other project attributes (cost, schedule, and technical performance parameters). Prentice-Hall, 1981. Here's a simple definition of the Cone of Uncertainty: .

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Modeling the Future is the Basis of Project Success

Herding Cats

This ignores the principles of predictive analytics, and the direct management actions taken to produce outcomes from those analytical models found everywhere from project management to grocery store management and the model-based systems engineering. In ISO 15288 this is the role of the Risk Management Processes.