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A Compendium of Works to Increase the Probability of Project Success

Herding Cats

Here are my collected works, presentations, briefings, journal papers, articles, white papers, and essays, used to increase the Probability of Project Success (PoPS) I've developed and applied over my career in the software-intensive system of systems domain. Business, Technical, Systems, Risk, and Project Management.

2003 54
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Agile Finance: How Do You Make a Business Case for Transformation?

Leading Agile

Back in the Summer of 2018, I spoke at the Agile2018 Conference under the topic of “Addressing Your CFO’s Concerns to an Enterprise-Wide Agile Transformation.” Return on Investment or ROI is a performance measure used to evaluate the efficiency of an investment. Payback Period.

Finance 73
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Misinterpretations of the Cone of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

The Cone of Uncertainty is a framing assumption used to model the needed reduction in some parameter of interest in domains ranging from software development to hurricane forecasting. The Cone of Uncertainty as a Technical Performance Measure. Uncertainty creates Risk. Measure of Effectiveness.

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Cone of Uncertainty - Part Cinq

Herding Cats

Aleatory and Epistemic uncertainties, which create the risk to the success of the project. Other uncertainties that create risk include: Unrealistic performance expectation with missing Measures of Effectiveness and Measures of Performance. A critical success factor for all project work is Risk Management.

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Cone of Uncertainty - Part Cinq (Updated)

Herding Cats

Aleatory and Epistemic uncertainties, which create the risk to the success of the project. Other uncertainties that create risk include: Unrealistic performance expectation with missing Measures of Effectiveness and Measures of Performance. A critical success factor for all project work is Risk Management.

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Cone of Uncertainty - Part Trois

Herding Cats

Aleatory and Epistemic uncertainties, which create the risk to the success of the project. Other uncertainties that create risk include: Unrealistic performance expectation with missing Measures of Effectiveness and Measures of Performance. A critical success factor for all project work is Risk Management.

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Modeling the Future is the Basis of Project Success

Herding Cats

In ISO 15288 this is the role of the Risk Management Processes. A second Critical Success Factor is the ability to predict what will happen in the future given the model of the project's activities and risks and the alternative designed as well as emerging designs and external processes. . This is the desired outcomes model.