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Cone of Uncertainty - Revisited

Herding Cats

“Reducing Estimation Uncertainty with Continuous Assessment: Tracking the 'Cone of Uncertainty’” Pongtip Aroonvatanaporn, Chatchai Sinthop and Barry Boehm, Center for Systems and Software Engineering University of Southern California , Los Angeles, CA 90089, ASE’10 , September 20–24, 2010, Antwerp, Belgium, 2010. So here's the outcome.

2012 29
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Misinterpretations of the Cone of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

The Cone of Uncertainty is a framing assumption used to model the needed reduction in some parameter of interest in domains ranging from software development to hurricane forecasting. The Cone of Uncertainty as a Technical Performance Measure. Thesis, University of Southern California, August 2012. Prentice-Hall, 1981.

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Managing in Presence of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

This is an immutable principle that impacts planning, execution, performance measures, decision making, risk, budgeting, and overall business and technical management of the project and the business funding the project no matter the domain, context, technology or any methods. Bauman, Industrial & Engineering Chemistry , April 1958.

2010 28
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Risk Management is How Adults Manage Projects

Herding Cats

All making things smaller dos is show that you're late, over budget, and what you're building (Technical Performance Measures) doesn't work faster. Foundations of Risk Management, 2nd Edition, Terje Aven, John Wiley & Sons, 2012. Software Engineering Risk Management , Dale Karolak, IEEE Computer Society Press, 1996.

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Microeconomics and Risk Management in Decision Making for Software Development

Herding Cats

If we look at the discipline of software engineering, we see that the microeconomics branch of economics deals more with the types of decisions we need to make as software engineers or managers. Software engineering economics." IEEE Transactions of Software Engineering, 1 (1984): 4-21.