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Estimating is a Learned Skill

Herding Cats

The same process for estimating is applied to multi-billion dollar projects we work. And the same process is applied to the Scrum development processes on those projects. . Here's some materials that provide the tools and processes needed to learn how to estimate. 5 Oct 1990, Page 21. 8, August 1995.

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Software Estimating Resources

Herding Cats

So start here to build your academic foundation, that can be put to work to build a foundation of validated experience of making estimates in the presence of uncertainty and protect yourself from fallacious claims that estimates are a waste, not needed, and produce bad resulting in the decision making process for those paying you to produce value.

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Risk Management Resources

Herding Cats

Information about key project cost, (technical) performance, and schedule attributes is often uncertain or unknown until late in the program. Taxonomy-Based Risk Identification,” Marvin Carr, Suresh Konda, Ira Monarch, Carlo Ulrich, and Clay Walker, Technical Report, CMU/SEI-93-TR-6, Software Engineering Institute, June 1993.

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A Compendium of Risk Management Resources

Herding Cats

Let's start with a critical understanding of the purpose of managing risk on software development projects. Information about key project cost, (technical) performance and schedule attributes is often uncertain or unknown until late in the program. Management of Novel Projects Under Conditions of High Uncertainty,” A.

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Misunderstanding Making Decisions in the Presence of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

This quote demonstrates a lack of understanding of making decisions in the presence of uncertainty and the processes and events that create uncertainty. All project work has uncertainty. Uncertainty comes from the lack of precision and accuracy about the possible values of a measurement of a project attribute.

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Microeconomics and Risk Management in Decision Making for Software Development

Herding Cats

If we look at the discipline of software engineering, we see that the microeconomics branch of economics deals more with the types of decisions we need to make as software engineers or managers. Software engineering economics." IEEE Transactions of Software Engineering, 1 (1984): 4-21.