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Misunderstanding Making Decisions in the Presence of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

What happens if you shift focus from "accurate estimation" to "reliably shipping by a date"? . This quote demonstrates a lack of understanding of making decisions in the presence of uncertainty and the processes and events that create uncertainty. There is naturally occurring variability from uncontrolled processes.

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Newbies’ Guide to Scrum Project Management 101

nTask

Scrum” is a phenomenal subject – i.e. if you are familiar with it. As an Agile project manager, I have seen my fair share of so-called “Scrum Masters” and “Agile Experts” claiming to be masters of their craft. The truth, however, is that they don’t know a lot of things about Scrum and Agile. Introduction – Why Scrum?

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Compendium of Works to Increase Probability of Project Success

Herding Cats

Here's a collection of presentations, briefings, papers, essays, book content used to increase the Probability of Project Success (PoPS) I've written and applied over my career in the software-intensive system of systems and other domains. Management Processes (#MP). Enterprise IT and Embedded Systems (#EIT).

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DDSTOP The Saga Continues

Herding Cats

There's been a rash of conjectures about all kinds of bad business, project, and software development (agile and traditional) management ideas of late. This also meant developing software systems to support this effort. Time to update the Don't Do Stupid Things on Purpose (DDSTOP) post. DON'T DO STUPID THINGS ON PURPOSE (DDSTOP).

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A Wrap Up of the #NoEstimating Conjecture Analysis to Date

Herding Cats

This Does Not Scale - If there are software development projects that can be executed without knowing how much it will cost in the end (an open ended spend plan), or projects where the budget is capped (a Not To Exceed Number) and we don't really need to know the upper bound of the features to be delivered, how large can this notion scale?

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Software Estimating Resources

Herding Cats

This blog page is dedicated to the resources used to estimate software-intensive systems using traditional and agile development methods. Cost Modeling Agile Software Development,” Maarit Laanti and Petri Kettunen, International Transactions on Systems and Applications, Volume 1 Number 2, pp. Performance Evaluation of non?Markovian

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Estimating is a Learned Skill

Herding Cats

The same process for estimating is applied to multi-billion dollar projects we work. And the same process is applied to the Scrum development processes on those projects. . Here's some materials that provide the tools and processes needed to learn how to estimate. The Future of Systems-and Software Development.