Herding Cats

MARCH 17, 2019

Here are my collected works, presentations, briefings, journal papers, articles, white papers, and essays, used to increase the Probability of Project Success (PoPS) I've developed and applied over my career in the software-intensive system of systems domain. Project Governance. How to Develop Credible Cost & Schedule Estimate.

2003 54

2003 2011 2008 Performance Measurement 54

Herding Cats

MARCH 11, 2017

What happens if you shift focus from "accurate estimation" to "reliably shipping by a date"? . If your project has no uncertainty, there is no need to estimate. All estimates have precision and accuracy. Deciding how much precision and accuracy is needed for a credible estimate is critical to the success of that decision.

2003 46

2003 2014 2011 2015 46

Herding Cats

SEPTEMBER 27, 2017

Iterative and Incremental Development: A Brief History," Craig Larman and Victor Basili, IEEE Computer , June 2003. Related articles. Why Guessing is not Estimating and Estimating is not Guessing. Managing the Development of Large-Scale Software: Concepts and Techniques," Winston Royce, Proceedings, Wescon, August 1970.

2003 38

2003 Software Engineering Manufacturing Engineering 38

Herding Cats

FEBRUARY 9, 2018

I've seen estimates abused by bad managers, so let's NOT estimate and that will fix the behavior of Bad Managers." While the human behaviors are real and observable, conjecturing that decisions can be made in the presence of uncertainty without estimating the outcome of those decisions, there is no principle to support that conjecture.

Underperforming Technical Team 44

Underperforming Technical Team Estimate 2003 Software Review 44

Herding Cats

MAY 10, 2019

requires making estimates) ? Effective Risk Management 2 nd Edition , Edmund Conrow, AIAA, 2003. 105, 2003. “A Estimation of Long?Term Risk Analysis & Estimating Uncertainty … and what this has to do with the price of milk in McLean,” Phil Beenhouwer, The Society of Cost Estimating & Analysis (SCEA), May 17, 2006.

Risk Management 38

Risk Management Risk Technical Review 2002 38

Herding Cats

MAY 11, 2019

requires making estimates) ? Effective Risk Management 2nd Edition, Edmund Conrow, AIAA, 2003. 105, 2003. “A Estimation of Long?Term Risk Analysis & Estimating Uncertainty … and what this has to do with the price of milk in McLean,” Phil Beenhouwer, The Society of Cost Estimating & Analysis (SCEA), May 17, 2006.

Risk Management 35

Risk Management Risk Technical Review 2002 35

Herding Cats

AUGUST 12, 2016

Here's an article, recently referenced by a #NoEstimates twitter post. The headline is deceiving, the article DOES NOT suggest we don't need deadline, but that deadlines without credible assessment of their credibility are the source of many problems on large program. There is no ideal in the estimating business.

Estimate 28

Estimate 2003 Technical Review Aerospace 28