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Misunderstanding Making Decisions in the Presence of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

What happens if you shift focus from "accurate estimation" to "reliably shipping by a date"? . If your project has no uncertainty, there is no need to estimate. Turns out in the real world there is no such project. All estimates have precision and accuracy. Accuracy - how close is the estimate to the actual value?

2003 46
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Risk Management Resources

Herding Cats

Information about key project cost, (technical) performance, and schedule attributes is often uncertain or unknown until late in the program. requires making estimates) ? Effective Risk Management 2 nd Edition , Edmund Conrow, AIAA, 2003. 105, 2003. “A Estimation of Long?Term reducible and irreducible ?

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A Compendium of Risk Management Resources

Herding Cats

Let's start with a critical understanding of the purpose of managing risk on software development projects. Information about key project cost, (technical) performance and schedule attributes is often uncertain or unknown until late in the program. requires making estimates) ? 105, 2003. “A Estimation of Long?Term

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The Problems with Schedules

Herding Cats

Unrealistic Cost and Schedule estimates based on inadequate risk adjusted growth models. Before diving into the details of these, let me address another issue that has come up around project success and estimates. All that line says is this was the baseline estimate at Completion for the project work.

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Compendium of Works to Increase Probability of Project Success

Herding Cats

March 6, 2003. The Simple Problem of Schedule Performance Indices , knowing how our project is performing means knowing how our Cost, Schedule, and Technical Performance is performing according to Plan. Continuous Risk Management , Risk management is essential for the success of any significant project.

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Software Estimating Resources

Herding Cats

This blog page is dedicated to the resources used to estimate software-intensive systems using traditional and agile development methods. Cost Modeling Agile Software Development,” Maarit Laanti and Petri Kettunen, International Transactions on Systems and Applications, Volume 1 Number 2, pp. Performance Evaluation of non?Markovian

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DDSTOP The Saga Continues

Herding Cats

We were one of the first users of eXtreme Programming, long before Scrum was around and presented that early work in 2003, " Making Agile Development Work in a Government Contracting Environment, Measuring velocity with Earned Value." . maybe a read of the resources of Estimating Agile Software Development may help. Almost impossible?