Remove 2003 Remove Estimate Remove Software Engineering
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Misunderstanding Making Decisions in the Presence of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

What happens if you shift focus from "accurate estimation" to "reliably shipping by a date"? . If your project has no uncertainty, there is no need to estimate. All estimates have precision and accuracy. Deciding how much precision and accuracy is needed for a credible estimate is critical to the success of that decision.

2003 46
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Incremental Commitment Spiral Model

Herding Cats

"Iterative and Incremental Development: A Brief History," Craig Larman and Victor Basili, IEEE Computer , June 2003. Managing the Development of Large-Scale Software: Concepts and Techniques," Winston Royce, Proceedings, Wescon, August 1970. Why Guessing is not Estimating and Estimating is not Guessing.

2003 38
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Risk Management Resources

Herding Cats

requires making estimates) ? Effective Risk Management 2 nd Edition , Edmund Conrow, AIAA, 2003. This blog page is dedicated to the resources used to assess risks, their impacts, and handling strategies for software-intensive systems using traditional and agile development methods. 105, 2003. “A Estimation of Long?Term

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A Compendium of Risk Management Resources

Herding Cats

requires making estimates) ? Effective Risk Management 2nd Edition, Edmund Conrow, AIAA, 2003. Taxonomy-Based Risk Identification,” Marvin Carr, Suresh Konda, Ira Monarch, Carlo Ulrich, and Clay Walker, Technical Report, CMU/SEI-93-TR-6, Software Engineering Institute, June 1993. 105, 2003. “A Estimation of Long?Term

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Start with Principles, Not Personal Anecdotes

Herding Cats

I've seen estimates abused by bad managers, so let's NOT estimate and that will fix the behavior of Bad Managers." While the human behaviors are real and observable, conjecturing that decisions can be made in the presence of uncertainty without estimating the outcome of those decisions, there is no principle to support that conjecture.

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Thinking By Sprinting: What Cognitive Science Tells Us About Why Scrum Works

Scrum.org

Why our brain is not built for software engineering. Knowledge work’ refers to tasks that take place mostly in our minds, like predicting scope, setting up plannings, considering consequences of changes to complex systems, working out test cases and estimating complexity. This will affect all estimates and predictions.

2002 206
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Risk Management is How Adults Manage Projects

Herding Cats

So here are some books, handbooks, and guides that sit on my shelf that are used pretty much all the time on the Software Intensive System of Systems we work on. But when some statement is made about risk, estimating, performance modeling, or the like - always ask for references. I'm not expecting anyone to read all these books.