Herding Cats

NOVEMBER 3, 2016

Since all risk comes from uncertainty - reducible (Epistemic) and irreducible (Aleatory), estimating is a foundation of all we do. There is no discussion of the conjecture that estimates are a waste, estimates can't be done, estimates are evil, estimates must be stopped immediately. illities are a waste.

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Estimate Software Engineering Engineering Risk Management 28

Herding Cats

AUGUST 27, 2017

There's a recent post titled Four Fallacious Reasons to Estimate. It lists the usual suspects for why those spending the money think they don't have to estimate how much they plan to spend when they'll be done producing the value they've been assigned to produce for that expenditure. Let's look at each one in more detail.

Estimate 46

Estimate Software Review Underperforming Technical Team Technical Review 46

Herding Cats

JANUARY 9, 2017

. - Peter Drucker (1975) Management (From The Principles of Software Engineering , Chapter 6, Tom Glib, 1988). In order to make risk-informed decisions, we must estimate the outcomes and the impacts of those outcomes on future activities (cost, schedule, and technical performance of products and services).

Estimate 28

Estimate Risk 2010 Software Engineering 28

Scrum.org

JANUARY 13, 2019

I pull up my complementary slide deck around relative estimation, poker planning, charts to track velocity and we spend an additional hour on this topic. Maybe one day in the software engineering museum, we can see a deck of poker planning cards next to a set of punch cards.

2001 153

2001 Software Engineering SCRUM Engineering 153

Scrum.org

OCTOBER 4, 2020

Do you measure estimated time for a task vs. actual time spent? Adopting Extreme Programming Practices, separating release from deployment, and embracing modern software engineering practices will speed up team performance. Just processes will not improve speed on the road, and we also need a better car with a newer engine.

Software Review 254

Software Review Technical Review SCRUM Underperforming Technical Team 254

ProjectManager.com

JANUARY 22, 2019

Famously, software engineer and author Tim Lister said that: “Risk management is how adults manage projects.” But in the even less-certain new world of large-scale software development, that was looking increasingly difficult. Employ the assets you deliver.

Underperforming Technical Team 416

Underperforming Technical Team Monitoring Controlling Software Engineering 416

Planio

JUNE 8, 2022

They’re often expected to help establish software engineering tools, standards, and processes like code reviews and testing strategies. Estimate the time, effort, and resources for an entire project. Help devs come up with effort estimates and feed those back into the overall estimation. How websites work.

Technical Review 78

Technical Review Software Review Development Team Review Underperforming Technical Team 78

Herding Cats

MAY 8, 2016

ways to make decisions with No Estimates. can we make a decision in the presence of Uncertainty without making an estimate of the impact or outcome of that decision? What would be the evidence that we could make decisions in the presence of uncertanty without estimating the impacts and outcomes of those decisions? . Start here.

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Estimate Underperforming Technical Team Software Governance 28

Herding Cats

OCTOBER 5, 2018

The primary purpose of software estimation is not to predict a project’s outcome; it is to determine whether a project’s targets are realistic enough to allow the project to be controlled to meet them ? 10 Deadly Sins of Software Estimation , Steve McConnell , Construx, 2002. Steve McConnell.

2012 48

2012 2007 2011 2010 48

Scrum.org

JANUARY 13, 2019

I pull up my complementary slide deck around relative estimation, poker planning, charts to track velocity and we spend an additional hour on this topic. Maybe one day in the software engineering museum, we can see a deck of poker planning cards next to a set of punch cards.

2001 97

2001 Software Engineering SCRUM Engineering 97

MPUG

FEBRUARY 19, 2024

According to International Data Corporation (IDC) estimates , less than 10% of that data is analyzed. At Envorso, we are incubating a software product called Empwr.ai that is designed to transform unstructured data into usable structured data to help teams optimize their operations, information sharing, and communication.

Generative AI 52

Generative AI 2024 Artificial Inteligence Software Review 52

Herding Cats

JUNE 9, 2017

The classic paper “ Software Engineering Economics,” Barry Boehm, IEEE Transactions on Software Engineering , Vol SE-10(1), 1984, pp. One model that is many times misunderstood by the agile community is the Cone of Uncertainty surrounding estimates as well as the technical and operational aspects of the project.

Software 51

Software Software Engineering Estimate Manufacturing 51

Herding Cats

MARCH 11, 2017

What happens if you shift focus from "accurate estimation" to "reliably shipping by a date"? . If your project has no uncertainty, there is no need to estimate. All estimates have precision and accuracy. Deciding how much precision and accuracy is needed for a credible estimate is critical to the success of that decision.

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2003 2014 2015 2011 46

Herding Cats

OCTOBER 4, 2016

When we hear, we can't estimate this because we've never done this before. Or estimating is hard - meaning it's hard for me , and I can't possibly estimate when I don't know how. Or my favorite estimates are a waste, we need to start coding to produce value , these are examples of solving problems from scratch. .

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Estimate Software Engineering Engineering Software 69

Binfire

AUGUST 27, 2017

The Agile project management methodology has been used by software engineers and IT professionals for the past sixteen years. In the late twenty century, many software engineering researchers in academia were studying the disturbing fact that most software and IT projects finish late or fail to finish at all.

Agile 97

Agile Technical Review Software Review Development Team Review 97

Herding Cats

JANUARY 7, 2017

This is the foundation for estimates. Estimates with accuracy and precision values needed to make credible decisions. These estimates are critical to both developers and customers. These estimates are used for generating requests for proposals, contract negotiations, scheduling, monitoring, and control. No Estimates?

Software Developers 40

Software Developers Software Development Software Software Engineering 40

Herding Cats

SEPTEMBER 27, 2017

"Managing the Development of Large-Scale Software: Concepts and Techniques," Winston Royce, Proceedings, Wescon, August 1970. Iterative Enhancement: A Practical Technique for Software Development," Victor Basil and Albert Turner, IEEE Transactions on Software Engineering , Vol. 4, December 1975. IT Risk Management.

2003 38

2003 Software Engineering Manufacturing Engineering 38

Herding Cats

AUGUST 1, 2018

Reducing Estimation Uncertainty with Continuous Assessment: Tracking the 'Cone of Uncertainty’” Pongtip Aroonvatanaporn, Chatchai Sinthop and Barry Boehm, Center for Systems and Software Engineering University of Southern California , Los Angeles, CA 90089, ASE’10 , September 20–24, 2010, Antwerp, Belgium, 2010. 37–48, 2007.

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2012 2007 2010 2006 29

Herding Cats

DECEMBER 3, 2017

Some feel that the cone does not provide any value for the work they do and does not match the reducing uncertainty in their estimates. First, the Cone of Uncertainty is a Principle used to define the needed reduction in the variances of estimates on Programs. Remember Risk Management is How Adults Manage Projects - Tim Lister.

2007 34

2007 2012 2009 2010 34

Herding Cats

JULY 29, 2017

This is called Software Engineering Economics. Why Guessing is not Estimating and Estimating is not Guessing. Estimating Processes in Support of Economic Analysis. Estimating and Making Decisions in Presence of Uncertainty. Related articles. Architecture -Center ERP Systems in the Manufacturing Domain.

Cadence 28

Cadence Software Engineering Estimate Manufacturing 28

Herding Cats

MAY 11, 2017

I started my career as a Software Engineer , writing Fortran 77 signal processing algorithms to find and track missile launchers in the middle eastern desert. Software-intensive systems include: . Our daily lives depend on complex software-intensive systems, from banking to communications to transportation to medicine.

Software Developers 39

Software Developers Software Development Engineering Software 39

Herding Cats

MAY 19, 2017

It is popular to claim we've never done this before, so how can we possibly estimate the cost and schedule. If it truly hasn't been done before, then the software project is likely to be an inventing new physics project. In that world, we still made estimates of the cost to design, build, and operate the experiment.

Estimate 36

Estimate Governance Government Software Engineering 36

Herding Cats

JUNE 9, 2018

There is always lots of complaining about the biases introduced into managing projects and making the estimates needed to make project decisions. Software engineering economics is about making decisions related to software engineering in a business context. A final Thought . Palacios, Cristina Casado?Lumbreras,

Transportation 39

Transportation Software Engineering Finance 2011 39

Herding Cats

APRIL 13, 2018

Estimation locks down choices early through upfront t decision making, #NoEstimates preserves options. This is the same paradigm of Agile software development where responding to change over following the plan is part of the original manifesto. Aligning Software Investment Decisions with the Markets ," Hakan Erdogmus. "

2008 32

2008 2002 Estimate Software Engineering 32

Herding Cats

MAY 10, 2019

requires making estimates) ? This blog page is dedicated to the resources used to assess risks, their impacts, and handling strategies for software-intensive systems using traditional and agile development methods. IEEE Transactions on Software Engineering , Vol. Software Engineering Institute, January 1996.

Risk Management 38

Risk Management Risk Technical Review 2002 38

Herding Cats

FEBRUARY 11, 2017

Conventional approaches to forecasting with empirical data - the supposed No Estimated approach to estimating, hides this fact. Because in forecasting there is no place for uncertainty, which is why No Estimates advocates assert Forecasting is not estimating. This approach mandates estimating all our work.

Estimate 28

Estimate Software Engineering Risk Management Engineering 28

Herding Cats

MAY 11, 2019

requires making estimates) ? Taxonomy-Based Risk Identification,” Marvin Carr, Suresh Konda, Ira Monarch, Carlo Ulrich, and Clay Walker, Technical Report, CMU/SEI-93-TR-6, Software Engineering Institute, June 1993. IEEE Transactions on Software Engineering , Vol. Software Engineering Institute, January 1996.

Risk Management 35

Risk Management Risk Technical Review 2002 35

MPUG

MARCH 9, 2020

As a software engineer; however, I was able to easily understand MSP, and it did not take me long to create a schedule for my project. Try not to think about the dates, duration estimates, or any other task attributes in the beginning. Do NOT Assign Task Dates or Duration at First. Create WBS using Indent and Outdent.

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Defining Software Engineering Engineering Estimate 128

Herding Cats

APRIL 14, 2018

For software development, those scarce resources are people, time, and money. Software engineering economics is a topic that addresses the elements of software project costs estimation and analysis and project benefit-cost ratio analysis. This is the foundation for estimates. Related articles.

Process 45

Process Estimate Software Developers Software Development 45

Herding Cats

MARCH 17, 2016

Elliott could provide answers to these questions to our clients, when he suggests that estimates are worthless. . How many more working demos will be coming before we can go live with the software I'm paying you to build? Software Engineering is a Verb. Related articles. GAO Reports on ACA Site. Closed Loop Control.

Cadence 42

Cadence Estimate Software Engineering Engineering 42

Herding Cats

MARCH 9, 2017

DeMacro made this post, which has been picked up by the agile community to mean estimating is a waste. . Implying there is no need to measure the project performance and by implication no need to estimate. For example in "Software Engineering: An Idea Whose Time Has Come and Gone?" All estimates are evil.

Software Engineering 31

Software Engineering Estimate 2015 Engineering 31

Binfire

APRIL 7, 2017

In the late twenty century many software engineering researchers in academia were studying the disturbing fact that most software and IT projects finish late or fail to finish at all. In 2001 a group of software engineers and scientists in IT industry got together and wrote Agile Manifesto. Project Estimation.

Agile 100

Agile Technical Review Software Review Development Team Review 100

Herding Cats

JULY 28, 2017

This was my starting point for becoming a software engineer rather than a physicist, by the way. . You're bad at estimating - WHY? Estimating Processes in Support of Economic Analysis. Estimating and Making Decisions in Presence of Uncertainty. Why Guessing is not Estimating and Estimating is not Guessing.

Estimate 37

Estimate Engineering Software Engineering Manufacturing 37

Herding Cats

FEBRUARY 9, 2018

I've seen estimates abused by bad managers, so let's NOT estimate and that will fix the behavior of Bad Managers." While the human behaviors are real and observable, conjecturing that decisions can be made in the presence of uncertainty without estimating the outcome of those decisions, there is no principle to support that conjecture.

Underperforming Technical Team 44

Underperforming Technical Team Estimate 2003 Software Review 44

Herding Cats

DECEMBER 8, 2017

This can be the confidence in the estimate for any variable. But is can be ANY variance for the program, including confidence in the estimates of future performance - cost, schedule, or technical performance. This usually results in a project's actual costs far outrunning the optimistic estimates and creating a large overrun.

Performance Measurement 35

Performance Measurement Technical Review 2017 2008 35

Herding Cats

JUNE 9, 2018

There is always lots of complaining about the biases introduced into managing projects and making the estimates needed to make project decisions. Software engineering economics is about making decisions related to software engineering in a business context. A final Thought . Palacios, Cristina Casado?Lumbreras,

Transportation 28

Transportation Software Engineering Finance 2011 28

Herding Cats

JANUARY 13, 2017

Barry Boehm's work in “Software Engineering Economics”. The Cone is a project management framework describing the uncertainty aspects of estimates or any other project attribute. Estimates of cost, schedule, technical performance on the left have a lower probability of being precise and accurate than estimates on the right.

Technical Review 28

Technical Review Software Review Estimate Software Engineering 28