Misunderstanding Making Decisions in the Presence of Uncertainty
Herding Cats
MARCH 11, 2017
So in the end, if we are to make a decision in the presence of uncertainty, we MUST make estimates to develop a reliable shipping date while producing an accurate and precise estimate of the cost, schedule, and technical performance of the product shipped on that date. in Effective Risk Management 2 nd Edition , Edmund Conrow, AIAA, 2003.
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