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A Compendium of Works to Increase the Probability of Project Success

Herding Cats

Here are my collected works, presentations, briefings, journal papers, articles, white papers, and essays, used to increase the Probability of Project Success (PoPS) I've developed and applied over my career in the software-intensive system of systems domain. Open Loop / Closed Loop Project Controls. Project Performance Management.

2003 54
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3 Questions That Must Be Asked at Every Project Management Meeting

Herding Cats

For software projects, Scrum can be used. The only answer to that is a measure of Physical Percent Complete (P%C). P%C starts with defining the Measures of Performance and Technical Performance Measures for each deliverable as a function of time. Risk-Informed Decision Making , NASA/SP-2010-576.

2010 39
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Deconstructing The Cone of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

Shipping on time, to specifications, and within budget might be meaningless if a competitor is shipping software that has a greater value to the market. Landmark’s measure of success over these three years had much more to do with customer satisfaction and market share than with meeting knowingly aggressive targets. Wallshein, Ph.D.

2007 42
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Managing in Presence of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

This is an immutable principle that impacts planning, execution, performance measures, decision making, risk, budgeting, and overall business and technical management of the project and the business funding the project no matter the domain, context, technology or any methods. All project work operates in the presence of uncertainty.

2010 28
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Decision Analysis - Ordinal and Cardinal Measures

Herding Cats

When we hear of the difficulties of making decisions in the presence of uncertainty, especially about software features and capabilities, there are straightforward ways to solve this problem. In our agile software development world, AHP is rarely found. Mathematically, the value equals performance over cost plus time.

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Cone of Uncertainty - Part Cinq

Herding Cats

Barry Boehm's work in “Software Engineering Economics”. The Cone is a project management framework describing the uncertainty aspects of estimates (cost and schedule) and other project attributes (cost, schedule, and technical performance parameters). There can be cost and schedule performance measures as well.

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Cone of Uncertainty - Part Cinq (Updated)

Herding Cats

Barry Boehm's work in “Software Engineering Economics”. This is the basis of Closed Loop Project Control Estimates of the needed reduction of uncertanty, estimates of the possisble reduction of uncertainty, and estimates of the effectiveness of these reduction efforts are the basis of the Close Loop Project Control System.