Herding Cats

JULY 24, 2017

The paper on the Cone of Uncertainty is used by many in the No Estimates community as an example of why estimates are of little use. In this paper, there is data that does not follow the Cone of Uncertainty, in that the uncertainty of the estimates does not reduce as the project proceeds. Then there is some analysis.

2007 42

2007 2012 2006 2008 42

Herding Cats

JUNE 19, 2017

The Cone of Uncertainty as a Technical Performance Measure. Of late, Cone of Uncertainty has become the mantra of No Estimates advocates claiming that data is needed BEFORE the Cone is of any use. The Cone of Uncertainty is the framework for improving the needed performance of the project. Measure of Effectiveness.

Technical Review 35

Technical Review Performance Measurement Underperforming Technical Team Estimate 35

Herding Cats

MARCH 4, 2017

This is an immutable principle that impacts planning, execution, performance measures, decision making, risk, budgeting, and overall business and technical management of the project and the business funding the project no matter the domain, context, technology or any methods. Abstracted from [3].

2010 28

2010 2007 Estimate Aerospace 28

Herding Cats

OCTOBER 16, 2018

For approaches that have been implemented on existing systems, obtaining such understanding may require measurement and analysis. For scenarios where the project under consideration does not yet exist, performance prediction using analytical modeling or simulation is necessary. This is the basis of Earned Value Management.

Aerospace 41

Aerospace Engineering 2012 2014 41

Herding Cats

APRIL 16, 2019

Project Performance Management (#PPM). Technical Performance Measures (#TPM). Cost, Schedule, and Technical Performance Management (#CSTPM). But each method needs to be based on 5 Immutable principles to be successful, no matter the domain or context, PMI Spring Seminar , 2012, Austin TX. Risk Management (#RM).

Technical Review 42

Technical Review Performance Measurement Underperforming Technical Team Governance 42

Herding Cats

APRIL 4, 2019

All making things smaller dos is show that you're late, over budget, and what you're building (Technical Performance Measures) doesn't work faster. But when some statement is made about risk, estimating, performance modeling, or the like - always ask for references. This is good, but it doesn't reduce risk.

Risk Management 43

Risk Management Risk 2003 2011 43

Wrike

NOVEMBER 7, 2018

Organizations that use a methodology: 38% meet budget. VS. Organizations that don’t use a methodology: 31% meet budget. More than 90% of organizations perform some type of project postmortem or closeout retrospective. [9]. How Project Success is Measured: 20% — Satisfied stakeholders. 18% — Delivered within budget.

2015 60

2015 Technical Review Underperforming Technical Team Software Review 60