Remove Closing Remove Estimate Remove Governance Remove Software Engineering
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Misunderstanding Making Decisions in the Presence of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

What happens if you shift focus from "accurate estimation" to "reliably shipping by a date"? . If your project has no uncertainty, there is no need to estimate. All estimates have precision and accuracy. Deciding how much precision and accuracy is needed for a credible estimate is critical to the success of that decision.

2003 46
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Economics of Software Development

Herding Cats

This is the foundation for estimates. Estimates with accuracy and precision values needed to make credible decisions. These estimates are critical to both developers and customers. These estimates are used for generating requests for proposals, contract negotiations, scheduling, monitoring, and control. No Estimates?

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Two Parallel Processes of Project Success - Both Value and Delivery are Needed

Herding Cats

For software development, those scarce resources are people, time, and money. Software engineering economics is a topic that addresses the elements of software project costs estimation and analysis and project benefit-cost ratio analysis. This is the foundation for estimates. Related articles.

Process 45
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Start with Principles, Not Personal Anecdotes

Herding Cats

I've seen estimates abused by bad managers, so let's NOT estimate and that will fix the behavior of Bad Managers." While the human behaviors are real and observable, conjecturing that decisions can be made in the presence of uncertainty without estimating the outcome of those decisions, there is no principle to support that conjecture.

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Webinar Recap: Project Performance Measurement – Part 2: What to Measure and How to Report

MPUG

Having spent half my life in the commercial space and half in the government space, the questions are always there. And then I came back and started using it in larger government programs. I got junior software engineers, software engineers, senior software engineers. Is it Fletcher?

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Cone of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

Barry Boehm's work in “Software Engineering Economics”. The Cone is a project management framework describing the uncertainty aspects of estimates or any other project attribute. Estimates of cost, schedule, technical performance on the left have a lower probability of being precise and accurate than estimates on the right.

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Misinterpretations of the Cone of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

The Cone of Uncertainty is a framing assumption used to model the needed reduction in some parameter of interest in domains ranging from software development to hurricane forecasting. Closed Loop Stochastic Adaptive control in the presence of Evolving Uncertainty. This extended post covers.