Cost Estimation for Projects: How to Estimate Accurately

ProjectManager.com

Good cost estimation is essential for keeping a project under budget. Many costs can appear over the life cycle of a project, and an accurate estimation method can be the difference between a successful plan and a failed one. Estimation, however, is easier said than done.

Risk Analysis 101: How to Analyze Project Risk

ProjectManager.com

Before you’re able to analyze the risk in your project, you have to acknowledge that risk is going to happen in your project. By planning for risks, you begin the process of knowing how to identify, monitor and close out risks when they show up in your project.

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7 Ways to Improve Project Estimates

Project Risk Coach

Poor estimates are often a major factor in these projects. So, let's look at 7 ways to improve project estimates. Define the project work One of the top reasons for poor estimates is poor project definition. How can project managers help overcome this problem?

Ask a PM: How to Get Proper Estimates

LiquidPlanner

Dear Elizabeth: I work in a technical team as a project manager. How do you deal with a team that refuses to estimate how long tasks will take? It is difficult to estimate when the task is too big. Built the behind-the-scenes login features—you can estimate that part.

How To Improve Schedule Estimates

Project Risk Coach

Let's talk about the challenges of schedule estimates and three estimating techniques that can help us do a better job with our estimates. Lastly, we'll look at how to respond to future requests for estimates. Challenges With Schedule Estimates. unique risks).Use

How To Be An Estimating Superhero

Girl's Guide to PM

A statistical model for estimating isn’t normally something I’d put in the ‘make my job easy’ box, but I might just have found one that works. Davis, MSPM, PMP and Project Management Superhero. Davis, MSPM, PMP and Project Management Superhero. How reliable is this estimate?”.

How to Evaluate Risk Velocity

Project Risk Coach

Life is filled with risks. Some risks occur slowly. Let’s look at how to evaluate risk velocity and why it matters. What is Risk Velocity? Risk velocity is the time to impact. Think of velocity as an estimate of the time frame within which a risk may occur.

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3-point estimates. good for you!

Musings on Project Management

Here's my three point estimate paradox: We all know we must estimate with three points (numbers). so we do it, reluctantly None of us actually want to work with (do arithmetic with) the three points we estimate. In a word, three point estimates suck -- not convenient, thus often put aside even if estimated -- and most of all: who among us can do arithmetic with three point estimates? But Monte Carlo Risk Management Statistics

Project Estimation: Master the Tools and Techniques

Online PM Courses

There are two reasons why Project Estimation is a big deal for project managers. And second, poor estimates are often a primary reason for a project cost or schedule over-run. What is Project Estimation? Why is Project Estimation so hard? The Estimation Knife Edge.

It’s Easy to Miss Project Risks

Project Risk Coach

It's easy to miss project risks. And, until a project manager has identified the threats and opportunities, the risks cannot be managed properly. Projects rise and fall with the project manager's ability to properly identify and manage their most significant risks.

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No more initial estimates? NOOOOOOOOOOO!

Kiron Bondale

You are assigned to manage a project and before you or your team have had an opportunity to start to chip away at the looming mountain of uncertainty, you get put on the spot to provide a cost or schedule estimate by your project sponsor or some other stakeholder.

Evaluating Project Schedules Utilizing Quantitative Risk Analysis

Project Risk Coach

Often times, risks occur and project managers lack adequate schedule reserves. Once burned, many project managers start a bad habit – padding their project schedules. If a project is estimated at 120 days, the project manager may add a 10% pad, an additional 12 days.

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Estimating the Risk

Herding Cats

Risk is everywhere on projects. This risk comes from two types of uncertainty. The idea of risk and its management and handling is a critical success factor for all software development. One of the most rigorous theorems of economics [1] proves that the existing means of production yields greater economic performance only through greater uncertainty that is, through greater risk. Without these estimates, there is no risk management.

Evaluating Project Schedules Utilizing Quantitative Risk Analysis

Project Risk Coach

Often times, risks occur and project managers lack adequate schedule reserves. Once burned, many project managers start a bad habit – padding their project schedules. If a project is estimated at 120 days, the project manager may add a 10% pad, an additional 12 days.

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Difference between Quantitative and Qualitative Risk Analysis

iZenBridge

These uncertainties or risks can prevent us from achieving our project goals or objectives. The more we know our risks, the more we can evaluate and prioritize them timely for: Reducing their probable negative impacts, or. We record these identified risks in Risk Register.

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A Deep Dive into Risk Matrix Reporting

MPUG

For example, in project management you have data such as planned start, planned cost, planned story points, total number of risks, etc. I’m referring to things such as start variance, cost variance, and the number of high priority vs number of low priority risks.

Analogous Estimation Vs Parametric Estimation

iZenBridge

As a Project Manager, doing project ESTIMATION is a key responsibility but how often are we able to deliver the project under budgeted cost and time? What will help in this scenario would be the right understanding of estimation tools and techniques. There are many techniques for project estimation like Bottom-Up Estimation, Parametric Estimation and Analogous Estimation. Comparative details of Analogous and Parametric Estimation.

A risk management ode to project managers!

Kiron Bondale

Father’s Day might be a holiday which is much newer than the project management profession itself, but let’s not miss the opportunity to celebrate the many ways in which project managers help their projects succeed through effective risk management.

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Estimating from the master

Musings on Project Management

s "The Mythical Man-month" "It is very difficult to make a vigorous, plausible, and job-risking defense of an estimate that is derived by no quantitative method, supported by little data, and certified chiefly by the hunches of the managers" Bookmark this on Delicious. estimateToday's quote: Here's a quotation that is a favorite of mine drawn from Fred Brooks, Jr.'s

Software Estimating Resources

Herding Cats

This blog page is dedicated to the resources used to estimate software-intensive systems using traditional and agile development methods. COSMIC Software Estimation Approach,” Alain Abran, ICEAA Workshop, Portland Oregon, June 6?9, Estimating Probable System Cost,” Stephen A.

Your Guide to Accurately Estimating Projects

LiquidPlanner

Estimation is an invaluable tool for anticipating and managing project uncertainties. Accurate project estimates help identify cost and schedule requirements with relative precision, and reduce the risk of running out of time, resources, and budget during a project.

RBS is one more technique for your estimation tool belt!

Kiron Bondale

Project managers need to be comfortable with different estimation techniques. Foundational project management courses will teach you about analogous, bottom-up, parametric and three-point estimating. Estimate the size or effort of that story or work package.

Seven Aspects of Project Risk in 2020

Strategy Execution | PMO Perspectives

Ahead of its January meeting in Davos, the World Economic Forum published its Global Risks Report 2020, based on the input of 750 experts and outlining the biggest risks faced by economies over the next 10 years [1]. And if the WEF didn’t see a risk coming, then what hope do we have?

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Can Project Duration Estimation be done without Assumptions?

MPUG

That is why duration estimation is one of the most important aspects of project management. Your client or manager might direct you to finish a given task by a certain date. The Estimation Problem. You might hear from the client that the estimates look high.

Risk Management: Known / Unknown Unknowns

Project Health Check

It would become so famous that it would become the title of his autobiography "Known and Unknown: A Memoir", and provides a superb basis to discuss our approach to Project Risk Management: ". Known Unknowns - For us this is our Risk Log.

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The Project Manager’s Guide to Simple Risk Analysis

Online PM Courses

Risk analysis is both easy and hard at the same time. No project manager can get by without knowing how to analyze risk on your project. Risk is important, because it is baked into the nature of projects. Risk analysis is one part of the wider Risk Management process.

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How to Improve Results With Better Risk Statements

Project Risk Coach

Vague risk statements lead to poor risk response planning. When organizations or project teams fail to respond to significant risks (i.e., Risk management starts with identifying risks and writing clear risk statements. Test Your Risk Statements.

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Principles of Cost and Schedule Estimating

Herding Cats

One of the 4 summary root causes of project performance failures is Unrealistic Cost and Schedule Estimates based on inadequate risk-adjusted growth models. Managing in the presence of uncertainty is standard business practice. IT Risk Management.

How to Build a Robust Project Risk Culture [8 Steps]

Online PM Courses

A robust risk culture goes beyond having a strong basic risk management process. Some of my readers may hope to influence the risk culture of their whole organization. For you, the right aspiration is to build a positive risk culture within your project.

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Six Steps of Risk Management

Herding Cats

Risk Management has six steps: Planning risk management - decides how to approach and plan the risk management activities for the project. Performing qualitative risk analysis - prioritizes risks based on their probability and impact of occurrence.

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How to Talk About Estimates

Herding Cats

What is an estimate? An estimate as a noun is an approximate calculation or judgment of the value, number, quantity, or extent of something. An estimate as a verb is to roughly calculate or judge the value, number, quantity, or extent of. Estimates. IT Risk Management.

Estimates, Forecasts, Projections

Herding Cats

Estimates. An Estimate is a value inferred for a population of values based on data collected from a sample of data from that population. The estimate can also be produced parametrically or through a simulation (Monte Carlo is common, but Method of Moments is another we use). . Estimates can be about the past, present, or future. We can estimate the number of clams in the Pleistocene era that are in the shale formations near our house. Estimate to Complete.

Risk Management

Herding Cats

Risk Management is How Adults Manage Projects - Tim Lister. Risk Management requires making estimates of many things. Just like risk management, estimating is how adults manage projects. No risk management no adult managemnt.

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What is an Estimate? What is Estimating?

Herding Cats

I work in a domain where estimates are made every single week. Estimate to Complete (ETC), Estimate at Completion (EAC), Estimated Completion Date (ECD) are the life blood of our software intensive system of systems programs. But Estimating is NOT Guessing.

How To Better Your Quantitative Risk Analysis

Project Risk Coach

How can we better your quantitative risk analysis? What is Quantitative Risk Analysis? In the project world, a project manager says she is afraid that the team will not complete a testing activity on time — a qualitative statement. Three-point estimate.

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Risk Management Plan - What is the Process?

Brad Egeland

An ideal way to ensure this is by having a risk management plan so that you can avoid a data breach, which will ruin your IT supply chain up and down. Risk Management Planning What is the Risk Management Process?

Your Guide to Accurate Project Estimate Projects

LiquidPlanner

Estimation is an invaluable tool for anticipating and managing project uncertainties. Accurate project estimates help identify cost and schedule requirements with relative precision, and reduce the risk of running out of time, resources, and budget during a project.

Decisions Without Estimates?

Herding Cats

Can you make a decision without an estimate? There are NO means of making a credible decision in the presence of uncertainty without estimating the outcome of that decision. These two points of view are the basis of any credible business management process. IT Risk Management.

Risk Management is How Adults Manage Projects

Herding Cats

In a recent exchange in social media, it was clear the notion of risk and the sources of risk, the consequences or risks and managing in the presence of risk was in very unclear, when it was conjectured , we can simply slice the work into small bits and REDUCE risk. .

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Why Johnny Can't Estimate?

Herding Cats

Risk Management is How Adults Manage Projects - Tim Lister. Since all risk comes from uncertainty - reducible (Epistemic) and irreducible (Aleatory), estimating is a foundation of all we do. There is no discussion of the conjecture that estimates are a waste, estimates can't be done, estimates are evil, estimates must be stopped immediately. Paradigm of agile project management from Glen Alleman. .