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Misunderstanding Making Decisions in the Presence of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

What happens if you shift focus from "accurate estimation" to "reliably shipping by a date"? . If your project has no uncertainty, there is no need to estimate. All estimates have precision and accuracy. Deciding how much precision and accuracy is needed for a credible estimate is critical to the success of that decision.

2003 46
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Risk Management Resources

Herding Cats

requires making estimates) ? 5, September/October 2011. A Simulation-Based Risk Network Model for Decision Support in Project Risk Management,” Chao Fang and Franck Marle, in Decision Support Systems , Elsevier, 2011. Estimation of Long?Term Making these decisions in the presence Uncertainty ? reducible and irreducible ?

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A Compendium of Risk Management Resources

Herding Cats

requires making estimates) ? 5, September/October 2011. A Simulation-Based Risk Network Model for Decision Support in Project Risk Management,” Chao Fang and Franck Marle, in Decision Support Systems , Elsevier, 2011. Estimation of Long?Term Making these decisions in the presence Uncertainty ? reducible and irreducible ?

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Success in Disruptive Times: PMI’s 2018 Pulse of the Profession

Online PM Courses

Climate change and sustainable development. That’s Figure 6, which tracks five project performance metrics annually, from 2011 to 2018. I have extracted estimates of the data by reading from that chart, for the two highest level metrics ( ‘Met original goals/business intent’ and ‘Deemed failures’ ).

2018 65
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My Journey as a Scrum Master

Scrum.org

If only we would create more accurate estimates…. Wasn’t there a different way of developing, delivering, and sustaining complex products?”. In hindsight, I already started writing the paper “ The 8 Stances of a Scrum Master ” around 2011–2014, although it was published via Scrum.org years later.

SCRUM 117
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Webinar Recap: SIPOC Workshop Facilitation – Part 1: Overview of SIPOC and Systems

MPUG

Well, I can’t tell you, but if I broke it into smaller pieces, I could start to estimate things. 2011, when we had that earthquake in Maryland. Software development that’s cutting edge, producing, let’s say sustainable. Just the overall gist of the thing. How long is this going to take? Just in, what?

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Compendium of Works to Increase Probability of Project Success

Herding Cats

PMI EVM Community of Practice, EVM World , May 16-18 2011. Establishing the Performance Measurement Baseline - The PMB is the time-phased schedule for all the work to be performed, the budgeted cost for this work, and the organizational elements that produce the deliverables for this work, AACE Workshop , April 16, 2011. What is Risk?