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Estimating is a Learned Skill

Herding Cats

The same process for estimating is applied to multi-billion dollar projects we work. And the same process is applied to the Scrum development processes on those projects. . Here's some materials that provide the tools and processes needed to learn how to estimate. Laplante, ACM SIGSOFT Software Engineering Notes , Vol.

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Software Estimating Resources

Herding Cats

So start here to build your academic foundation, that can be put to work to build a foundation of validated experience of making estimates in the presence of uncertainty and protect yourself from fallacious claims that estimates are a waste, not needed, and produce bad resulting in the decision making process for those paying you to produce value.

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Reading List for the Cone of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

The primary purpose of software estimation is not to predict a project’s outcome; it is to determine whether a project’s targets are realistic enough to allow the project to be controlled to meet them ? The program management processes should seek to reduce uncertainty in the variable of the project. 1, January 2011. "A

2012 48
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How To Base Your Beliefs About Agile On Evidence

Scrum.org

Some of the references in the paper “The impact of inadequate customer collaboration on self-organizing teams” by Hoda, Noble & Marshall (2011). What distinguishes academic journals from regular magazines is that each submitted paper goes through a lengthy peer-review process. ACM Transactions on Parallel Computing ”).

Agile 190
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Risk Management Resources

Herding Cats

Taxonomy-Based Risk Identification,” Marvin Carr, Suresh Konda, Ira Monarch, Carlo Ulrich, and Clay Walker, Technical Report, CMU/SEI-93-TR-6, Software Engineering Institute, June 1993. IEEE Transactions on Software Engineering , Vol. 5, September/October 2011. México, 1 al 3 de Febrero de 2006. De Meyer, C.

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Misunderstanding Making Decisions in the Presence of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

This quote demonstrates a lack of understanding of making decisions in the presence of uncertainty and the processes and events that create uncertainty. There is naturally occurring variability from uncontrolled processes. Aleatory uncertainty is expressed as a process variability. First, let's establish a principle.

2003 46
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A Compendium of Risk Management Resources

Herding Cats

Taxonomy-Based Risk Identification,” Marvin Carr, Suresh Konda, Ira Monarch, Carlo Ulrich, and Clay Walker, Technical Report, CMU/SEI-93-TR-6, Software Engineering Institute, June 1993. IEEE Transactions on Software Engineering , Vol. 5, September/October 2011. México, 1 al 3 de Febrero de 2006. De Meyer, C.