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Estimating is a Learned Skill

Herding Cats

The same process for estimating is applied to multi-billion dollar projects we work. And the same process is applied to the Scrum development processes on those projects. . The Business of Software Estimation Is Not Evil: Reconciling agile approaches and project estimates,” Phillip G. 400-407, 2009.

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Misunderstanding Making Decisions in the Presence of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

Information about key project cost, performance, and schedule attributes is often uncertain or unknown until late in the program. Mazzuchi, and Shahram Sarkani, Systems Engineering , Volume 17, Issue 4, Winter 2014, Pages: 375–391. On Uncertainty, Ambiguity, and Complexity in Project Management,” Michael T. 145-167.

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Software Estimating Resources

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Benchmarking Effort Estimation Models Using Archetypal Analysis,” Nikolaos Mittas, Vagia Karpenisi, and Lefteris Angelis, ACM PROMIS ’14, September 17, 2014. A Project–Product Model-Based Approach to Planning Work Breakdown Structures of Complex System Projects,” A. Dori, IEEE Systems Journal, January 2014. “A

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Risk Management Resources

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Information about key project cost, (technical) performance, and schedule attributes is often uncertain or unknown until late in the program. A Risk Management Methodology for Project Risk Dependencies,” Tak Wah Kwan and Hareton K.N., The Chaos & Complexity of Mega Projects,” Michael Bensussen, PM.2128, 1, March 2014.

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A Compendium of Risk Management Resources

Herding Cats

Let's start with a critical understanding of the purpose of managing risk on software development projects. Information about key project cost, (technical) performance and schedule attributes is often uncertain or unknown until late in the program. The Chaos & Complexity of Mega Projects,” Michael Bensussen, PM.2128,

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Compendium of Works to Increase Probability of Project Success

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, Cost and schedule growth for federal programs is created by unrealistic technical performance expectations, unrealistic cost and schedule estimates, inadequate risk assessments, unanticipated technical issues, and poorly performed and ineffective risk management, all contributing to program technical and programmatic shortfalls.

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DDSTOP The Saga Continues

Herding Cats

We were one of the first users of eXtreme Programming, long before Scrum was around and presented that early work in 2003, " Making Agile Development Work in a Government Contracting Environment, Measuring velocity with Earned Value." . 6, No 5, October 2014. [3] Princeton University Press, July 21, 2014. [4]