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A Compendium of Works to Increase the Probability of Project Success

Herding Cats

Here are my collected works, presentations, briefings, journal papers, articles, white papers, and essays, used to increase the Probability of Project Success (PoPS) I've developed and applied over my career in the software-intensive system of systems domain. Project Governance. Project Driven Organization Framework.

2003 54
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Is Software Development Art or Engineering

Herding Cats

I started my career as a Software Engineer , writing Fortran 77 signal processing algorithms to find and track missile launchers in the middle eastern desert. Signal processing is a domain of software development well suited to the paradigm of engineered systems. Software-intensive systems include: .

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Misunderstanding Making Decisions in the Presence of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

What happens if you shift focus from "accurate estimation" to "reliably shipping by a date"? . If your project has no uncertainty, there is no need to estimate. The naturally occurring work effort in the development of a software feature - even if we've built the feature before - is an irreducible uncertainty.

2003 46
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Digital Transformation & Artificial Intelligence: Is your Organization ready?

Digite

AI is changing the world and the lives of people and is becoming the engine of growth of economies and organizations. In the last 10 years, advances in both computing technology and software, and access to large amounts of data, (thanks to the Internet and SaaS/ Cloud-based systems) are enabling the resurgence of AI.

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Compendium of Works to Increase Probability of Project Success

Herding Cats

Here's a collection of presentations, briefings, papers, essays, book content used to increase the Probability of Project Success (PoPS) I've written and applied over my career in the software-intensive system of systems and other domains. Enterprise IT and Embedded Systems (#EIT). Governance (#Governance).

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A Wrap Up of the #NoEstimating Conjecture Analysis to Date

Herding Cats

The conjecture that we can make decisions in the presence of uncertainty without estimating the impacts of those decisions is without any principles that can be tested beyond personal anecdotes of I know people who spend other peoples money without providing estimates. Not a group that likes to get questions, by the way.

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What is an Estimate? What is Estimating?

Herding Cats

I work in a domain where estimates are made every single week. Estimate to Complete (ETC), Estimate at Completion (EAC), Estimated Completion Date (ECD) are the life blood of our software intensive system of systems programs. This, of course, is nonsense, since estimates are about the past, present, and future.