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Cone of Uncertainty Bibliography

Herding Cats

It can be the needed performance of a measure - Effectiveness, Performance, Key Performance Parameter, or a Technical Performance Measures. The specifics of the Technical Performance Measures applied to inform Physical Percent Complete and the Cone of Uncertainty around the TPM are shown here.

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Cone of Uncertainty - Revisited

Herding Cats

We're writing two chapters in an upcoming Project Management Book, with a working title, The Gower Handbook of Project Performance for Agile, Waterfall and Everything in Between , edited by Mark Phillips. The Cone of Uncertainty,” Stephen Gryphon, Phillippe Kruchten, and Steve McConnell, Letters, IEEE Software , 23 (5) 2006, pp 8?10.

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Start with Principles, Not Personal Anecdotes

Herding Cats

This model can be produced parametrically (Reference Class Forecasting) or through a simulation (Monte Carlo or Method of Moments is common). . An estimate is a statistic about a whole population of possible values from a previous reference period or a model that can generate possible values given the conditions of the model.

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4 Fallacious Reasons to Estimate and Why Those Are Fallacious

Herding Cats

After having worked for outsourcing, consultancy and product companies I believe that creating a place where people really trust each other is easier when software engineers and stakeholders are both part of the same organization. The audit, surveillance, performance reporting, measurement are at the core of all business processes.

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Risk Management is How Adults Manage Projects

Herding Cats

All making things smaller dos is show that you're late, over budget, and what you're building (Technical Performance Measures) doesn't work faster. But when some statement is made about risk, estimating, performance modeling, or the like - always ask for references. No References? It just closed the loop faster.

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Microeconomics and Risk Management in Decision Making for Software Development

Herding Cats

If we look at the discipline of software engineering, we see that the microeconomics branch of economics deals more with the types of decisions we need to make as software engineers or managers. Software engineering economics." IEEE Transactions of Software Engineering, 1 (1984): 4-21.