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Cone of Uncertainty Bibliography

Herding Cats

It can be the needed performance of a measure - Effectiveness, Performance, Key Performance Parameter, or a Technical Performance Measures. The specifics of the Technical Performance Measures applied to inform Physical Percent Complete and the Cone of Uncertainty around the TPM are shown here.

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Risk Management is How Adults Manage Projects

Herding Cats

All making things smaller dos is show that you're late, over budget, and what you're building (Technical Performance Measures) doesn't work faster. But when some statement is made about risk, estimating, performance modeling, or the like - always ask for references. No References? It just closed the loop faster.

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Microeconomics and Risk Management in Decision Making for Software Development

Herding Cats

If we look at the discipline of software engineering, we see that the microeconomics branch of economics deals more with the types of decisions we need to make as software engineers or managers. Software engineering economics." IEEE Transactions of Software Engineering, 1 (1984): 4-21.

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Cone of Uncertainty - Revisited

Herding Cats

Since there has been some confusion around the CoU in the past, about whether it can be reduced, whether there is credible data showing it is valid or not, whether those claiming it can't be reduced have any Root Cause Analysis as to why it wasn;t reduced, I thought I'd included the references we're using. 37–48, 2007. So here's the outcome.

2012 29
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Managing in Presence of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

This is an immutable principle that impacts planning, execution, performance measures, decision making, risk, budgeting, and overall business and technical management of the project and the business funding the project no matter the domain, context, technology or any methods. References. Steve McConnell's Cone of Uncertainty.

2010 28
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Start with Principles, Not Personal Anecdotes

Herding Cats

This model can be produced parametrically (Reference Class Forecasting) or through a simulation (Monte Carlo or Method of Moments is common). . An estimate is a statistic about a whole population of possible values from a previous reference period or a model that can generate possible values given the conditions of the model.

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4 Fallacious Reasons to Estimate and Why Those Are Fallacious

Herding Cats

After having worked for outsourcing, consultancy and product companies I believe that creating a place where people really trust each other is easier when software engineers and stakeholders are both part of the same organization. Root Cause: Productivity is the efficacy of the investment of time, talent, and money.