Herding Cats

JUNE 19, 2017

The Cone of Uncertainty is a framing assumption used to model the needed reduction in some parameter of interest in domains ranging from software development to hurricane forecasting. The Cone of Uncertainty as a Technical Performance Measure. Closed Loop Stochastic Adaptive control in the presence of Evolving Uncertainty.

Technical Review 35

Technical Review Performance Measurement Underperforming Technical Team Estimate 35

Herding Cats

JANUARY 22, 2017

Barry Boehm's work in “Software Engineering Economics”. The Cone is a project management framework describing the uncertainty aspects of estimates (cost and schedule) and other project attributes (cost, schedule, and technical performance parameters). This is due to many reasons. Prentice-Hall, 1981.

Technical Review 28

Technical Review 2005 Estimate Software Review 28

Herding Cats

FEBRUARY 4, 2017

Barry Boehm's work in “Software Engineering Economics”. The Cone is a project management framework describing the uncertainty aspects of estimates (cost and schedule) and other project attributes (cost, schedule, and technical performance parameters). This is due to many reasons. Prentice-Hall, 1981.

Technical Review 28

Technical Review Estimate 2005 Software Review 28

MPUG

SEPTEMBER 21, 2020

A product manager, who works for a large aircraft manufacturing organization in the United States, follows a hybrid model of development and, with his team, releases a new version of aircraft handling software every couple of weeks. In EVM terminology, baseline is further defined as the performance measurement baseline (PMB).

Underperforming Technical Team 59

Underperforming Technical Team Agile Performance Measurement PMI 59

Herding Cats

JANUARY 17, 2017

Barry Boehm's work in “Software Engineering Economics”. The Cone is a project management framework describing the uncertainty aspects of estimates (cost and schedule) and other project attributes (cost, schedule, and technical performance parameters). This is due to many reasons. Prentice-Hall, 1981.

Technical Review 28

Technical Review 2005 Estimate Software Review 28

Herding Cats

JANUARY 14, 2017

Barry Boehm's work in “Software Engineering Economics”. The Cone is a project management framework describing the uncertainty aspects of estimates or any other project attribute (in this post, cost, schedule, and technical performance parameters). This is due to many reasons, one is levels of uncertainty early in the project.

Technical Review 28

Technical Review Software Review Underperforming Technical Team Risk Management 28

Herding Cats

JULY 24, 2017

The paper on the Cone of Uncertainty is used by many in the No Estimates community as an example of why estimates are of little use. In this paper, there is data that does not follow the Cone of Uncertainty, in that the uncertainty of the estimates does not reduce as the project proceeds. Then there is some analysis.

2007 42

2007 2012 2006 2008 42

Herding Cats

FEBRUARY 9, 2018

I've seen estimates abused by bad managers, so let's NOT estimate and that will fix the behavior of Bad Managers." While the human behaviors are real and observable, conjecturing that decisions can be made in the presence of uncertainty without estimating the outcome of those decisions, there is no principle to support that conjecture.

Underperforming Technical Team 44

Underperforming Technical Team Estimate 2003 Software Review 44

Project Pulse Journal

MARCH 7, 2024

Functions Associated with Projects A system for value delivery encompasses a range of knowledge areas associated with the project lifecycle, including initiating, planning, executing, and closing (PMBOK, 2017). Pulse of the profession: Success rates rise: Transforming the high cost of low performance (Report No. PMI-SP5-1505-14111, p.

Governance 52

Governance Government Technical Review Sustainability 52

Herding Cats

NOVEMBER 14, 2018

When we hear of the difficulties of making decisions in the presence of uncertainty, especially about software features and capabilities, there are straightforward ways to solve this problem. In our agile software development world, AHP is rarely found. Mathematically, the value equals performance over cost plus time.

Technical Review 47

Technical Review 2010 2014 Software Developers 47

Herding Cats

APRIL 16, 2019

Here's a collection of presentations, briefings, papers, essays, book content used to increase the Probability of Project Success (PoPS) I've written and applied over my career in the software-intensive system of systems and other domains. Project Performance Management (#PPM). Technical Performance Measures (#TPM).

Technical Review 42

Technical Review Performance Measurement Underperforming Technical Team Governance 42

Herding Cats

APRIL 30, 2019

A recent lawsuit by Hertz Rental Car against Accenture has turned into a rallying cry by Agilest and No Estimates advocates. Of course, No Root Cause analysis has been performed by these advocates, but it makes good click bait for their followers. Were there: Measures of Effectiveness. Measures of Performance.

Software Review 41

Software Review Technical Review Engineering 2018 41

Workamajig

JANUARY 11, 2021

Each 'activity' is the smallest unit of work that can be performed within the scope of the project. Activity ID: An alphanumeric code used to identify an activity. Actual dates are different from planned or estimated dates. Actual Progress: The actual current progress of the project compared to the estimated project baselines.

Underperforming Technical Team 78

Underperforming Technical Team Project Life Cycle Estimate Risk Management 78

Epicflow Blog

OCTOBER 8, 2019

Activity Duration Estimates Review . is a process of detecting risks related to the time allowances for activities in particular or a project in general, with the width of estimates range indicating a respective level of risk. Analogous Estimating . Automated Code Coverage Report . Bottom-Up Estimating .

Software Review 45

Software Review Project Life Cycle Estimate Technical Review 45

Epicflow Blog

OCTOBER 8, 2019

Activity Duration Estimates Review . is a process of detecting risks related to the time allowances for activities in particular or a project in general, with the width of estimates range indicating a respective level of risk. Analogous Estimating . Automated Code Coverage Report . Bottom-Up Estimating .

Software Review 40

Software Review Project Life Cycle Estimate Technical Review 40

Herding Cats

NOVEMBER 29, 2017

Most IMPs in development programs include Events for major design reviews such as PDR or CDR. The IMP shows the Accomplishments and the measures of Accomplishments that are essential to get through a design review. If the organization is restructured or the WBS is changed, review the IMP and update it accordingly.

Planning 42

Planning Software Review Governance Government 42

Herding Cats

NOVEMBER 5, 2018

In a previous post, Why Johnny Can't Estimate , mentioned some resources for estimating, the principles of business and technical management that demand estimates be made to make decisions, and background on the sources of uncertainty, that create risk, that require estimating to increase the probability of project success.

Software Review 34

Software Review Technical Review Estimate Software Developers 34

Epicflow Blog

OCTOBER 16, 2023

I was well aware that part of my code was complex and any addition would be risky. they have been working on it already for more than 10 years, and they are not close to what we have achieved.’ Practically it means that when a planned task is delayed due to uncertainty, the delay is not compensated by other tasks finishing early.

2016 52

2016 Monitoring Risk Management Healthcare 52

Epicflow Blog

APRIL 25, 2024

I was well aware that part of my code was complex and any addition would be risky. they have been working on it already for more than 10 years, and they are not close to what we have achieved.’ Practically it means that when a planned task is delayed due to uncertainty, the delay is not compensated by other tasks finishing early.

2016 52

2016 Monitoring Risk Management Healthcare 52

MPUG

JUNE 1, 2022

You may wish to use this transcript for the purposes of self-paced learning, searching for specific information, and/or performing a quick review of webinar content. Today’s PMI activity code, I’ll have up on the screen here in a minute. There may be exclusions, such as those steps included in product demonstrations.

PMI 59

PMI Software Review Estimate Risk Management 59