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How to Estimate Any Software Problem

Herding Cats

ways to make decisions with No Estimates. can we make a decision in the presence of Uncertainty without making an estimate of the impact or outcome of that decision? What would be the evidence that we could make decisions in the presence of uncertanty without estimating the impacts and outcomes of those decisions? . Start here.

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There is Little New Under the Sun

Herding Cats

It is popular to claim we've never done this before, so how can we possibly estimate the cost and schedule. If it truly hasn't been done before, then the software project is likely to be an inventing new physics project. In that world, we still made estimates of the cost to design, build, and operate the experiment.

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Misunderstanding Making Decisions in the Presence of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

What happens if you shift focus from "accurate estimation" to "reliably shipping by a date"? . If your project has no uncertainty, there is no need to estimate. The likelihood of a failure for example. All estimates have precision and accuracy. First, let's establish a principle. One starting point is the value at risk.

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Cone of Uncertainty Bibliography

Herding Cats

I work in a domain where the CoU is baked into the Integrated Program Performance Management (IPPM) processes flowed down from the buyer, in this case, the Federal Government. This can be the confidence in the estimate for any variable. IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management , 57 (4), pp. IN this case Mean Time To Failure.

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Economics of Software Development

Herding Cats

For example, about which software to buy, which Features in the development backlog should be implemented next, what prices to charge for products and services. Software development is an exercise in microeconomics, since it deals with limited resources - time, cost, and what value is produced in exchange for the time and money.

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Start with Principles, Not Personal Anecdotes

Herding Cats

If, for example, a project manager believes a member of his or her team is a fast and effective worker, each time that team member works fast and effectively or is told by a colleague about the work that has been done fast and effectively, the project manager will consider his or her belief to be well-founded.

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Webinar Recap: Project Performance Measurement – Part 2: What to Measure and How to Report

MPUG

Having spent half my life in the commercial space and half in the government space, the questions are always there. And then I came back and started using it in larger government programs. I got junior software engineers, software engineers, senior software engineers. Is it Fletcher?