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Basis of Estimating Software Development

Herding Cats

The estimating of software development is both straightforward and complex. When it is suggested that estimating is hard, of no value, and unnecessary, always ask what principle is used to support that claim? Software Sizing and Estimating: Mk II FPA , Charles Symons, John Wiley & Sons, 1991.

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How to Manage Project Scope Without Scope Creep (with examples)

Rebel’s Guide to PM

One of the reasons for that is scope creep – and that’s what this article is all about. Scope creep is the more common term but you might hear both, especially if you are working in software development. Example of scope creep in software development. What is scope creep? What causes scope creep? Larson, R. &

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Agile forecasting techniques for the next decade

Scrum.org

I believe Agile software development is more than ready to use new forecasting techniques to express uncertainy to narrow their decision-making process. These new forecasting techniques are not based on estimations but historical data, thus saving time on the part of developers to focus on what they do best.

Agile 195
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A Compendium of Works to Increase the Probability of Project Success

Herding Cats

Here are my collected works, presentations, briefings, journal papers, articles, white papers, and essays, used to increase the Probability of Project Success (PoPS) I've developed and applied over my career in the software-intensive system of systems domain. Increasing the Probability of Success , Dallas MPUG, May 6th, 2009.

2003 54
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Reading List for the Cone of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

The primary purpose of software estimation is not to predict a project’s outcome; it is to determine whether a project’s targets are realistic enough to allow the project to be controlled to meet them ? As more details get developed, the Cone converges to the actual value. Steve McConnell.

2012 48
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Resources for Cone of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

Seems there is still some confusion (intentional or accidental) about the Cone of Uncertainty and its purpose and its use in software development. Some feel that the cone does not provide any value for the work they do and does not match the reducing uncertainty in their estimates. This letter states.

2007 34
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Fallacy of the Day

Herding Cats

Estimation is pretentious rationalism, where rationalism does not serve us well (extremistan)(sic) Take only risks you can survive. These estimates can not the ultimate truth since the underlying processes that create the uncertainties (aleatory and epistemic) are stochastic in nature - stationary or nonstationary. The Fallacy.

2009 40