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Fallacy of the Day

Herding Cats

In the Project Controls paradigm, Value is a measurable attribute of the project controls process - a Closed Loop Control measure. The units of measures of Cost and Time are straightforward. The Measures of Effectiveness. Measures of Performance. The Technical Performance Measures.

2005 37
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Deconstructing The Cone of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

Don't toss out the notion that reducing risk and uncertanty and all other performance measures doesn't follow the plan. . The Cone of Uncertainty is the Planned reduction in the uncertainty of critical project variables (cost, schedule, technical performance) needed to increase the probability of project success. Laird and M.

2007 42
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Misinterpretations of the Cone of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

The Cone of Uncertainty as a Technical Performance Measure. Closed Loop Stochastic Adaptive control in the presence of Evolving Uncertainty. Active reduction requires we have a desired reduction goal, perform the work, and measure progress toward the rduction goal. Measure of Effectiveness.

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Cone of Uncertainty - Part Cinq

Herding Cats

When actual measures of cost, schedule, and technical performance are outside the planned cone of uncertainty, corrective actions must be taken to move those uncertanties inside the cone of uncertanty, if the project is going to meet it's cost, schedule, and technical performance goals. . Resources. [1]

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Cone of Uncertainty - Part Cinq (Updated)

Herding Cats

- How much variance reduction needs to take place in the project attributes (risk, effectiveness, performance, cost, schedule - shown below) at what points in time, to increase the probability of project success? This is a closed loop control system for managing the program with a T echnical Performance Measure (TPM).

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Cone of Uncertainty - Part Trois

Herding Cats

When actual measures of cost, schedule, and technical performance are outside the planned cone of uncertainty, corrective actions must be taken to move those uncertanties inside the cone of uncertanty, if the project is going to meet it's cost, schedule, and technical performance goals. . Air Force. [4]

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Managing in Presence of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

This is an immutable principle that impacts planning, execution, performance measures, decision making, risk, budgeting, and overall business and technical management of the project and the business funding the project no matter the domain, context, technology or any methods. 37–48, 2007. The COCOMO 2.0

2010 28