2007, Estimate, Risk and Software Development

Basis of Estimating Software Development

Herding Cats

DECEMBER 16, 2017

The estimating of software development is both straightforward and complex. When it is suggested that estimating is hard, of no value, and unnecessary, always ask what principle is used to support that claim? Software Sizing and Estimating: Mk II FPA , Charles Symons, John Wiley & Sons, 1991.

Software Developers

Software Developers Software Development Estimate 2006

Risk Management Resources

Herding Cats

MAY 10, 2019

Risk Management is essential for development and production programs. Risk issues that can be identified early in the program, which will potentially impact the program later, termed Known Unknowns and can be alleviated with good risk management. requires making estimates) ? Risk Management Papers. “A

Risk Management

Risk Management Risk Technical Review 2002

A Compendium of Risk Management Resources

Herding Cats

MAY 11, 2019

This blog page is dedicated to the resources used to manage the risk encountered on software-intensive systems using traditional and agile development methods. Let's start with a critical understanding of the purpose of managing risk on software development projects. requires making estimates) ?

Risk Management

Risk Management Risk Technical Review 2002

Reading List for the Cone of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

OCTOBER 5, 2018

The primary purpose of software estimation is not to predict a project’s outcome; it is to determine whether a project’s targets are realistic enough to allow the project to be controlled to meet them ? As more details get developed, the Cone converges to the actual value. Steve McConnell.

2012

2012 2007 2011 2010

Resources for Cone of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

DECEMBER 3, 2017

The planned uncertainty not only needs to decrease over time passing, but this reduction diminishes any impacts of risk on the decision-making processes. Seems there is still some confusion (intentional or accidental) about the Cone of Uncertainty and its purpose and its use in software development. This letter states.

2007

2007 2012 2009 2010

Cone of Uncertainty - Revisited

Herding Cats

AUGUST 1, 2018

One chapter on the Principles of Risk Management and the second chapter on the Practices of Risk Management. 37–48, 2007. Shrinking the Cone of Uncertainty with Continuous Assessment for Software Team Dynamics in Design and Development,” Pongtip Aroonvatanaporn,”Ph.D.

2012

2012 2007 2010 2006

Deconstructing The Cone of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

JULY 24, 2017

The paper on the Cone of Uncertainty is used by many in the No Estimates community as an example of why estimates are of little use. In this paper, there is data that does not follow the Cone of Uncertainty, in that the uncertainty of the estimates does not reduce as the project proceeds. Then there is some analysis.

2007

2007 2012 2006 2008

Misunderstanding Making Decisions in the Presence of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

MARCH 11, 2017

What happens if you shift focus from "accurate estimation" to "reliably shipping by a date"? . If your project has no uncertainty, there is no need to estimate. The naturally occurring work effort in the development of a software feature - even if we've built the feature before - is an irreducible uncertainty.

2003

2003 2014 2015 2011

Cone of Uncertainty - Part Cinq

Herding Cats

JANUARY 22, 2017

The Cone is a project management framework describing the uncertainty aspects of estimates (cost and schedule) and other project attributes (cost, schedule, and technical performance parameters). Aleatory and Epistemic uncertainties, which create the risk to the success of the project. This is due to many reasons.

Technical Review

Technical Review 2005 Estimate Software Review

Cone of Uncertainty - Part Trois

Herding Cats

JANUARY 17, 2017

The Cone is a project management framework describing the uncertainty aspects of estimates (cost and schedule) and other project attributes (cost, schedule, and technical performance parameters). Aleatory and Epistemic uncertainties, which create the risk to the success of the project. This is due to many reasons.

Technical Review

Technical Review 2005 Estimate Software Review

Cone of Uncertainty - Part Cinq (Updated)

Herding Cats

FEBRUARY 4, 2017

The Cone is a project management framework describing the uncertainty aspects of estimates (cost and schedule) and other project attributes (cost, schedule, and technical performance parameters). Aleatory and Epistemic uncertainties, which create the risk to the success of the project. This is due to many reasons.

Technical Review

Technical Review Estimate 2005 Software Review

Managing in Presence of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

MARCH 4, 2017

This is an immutable principle that impacts planning, execution, performance measures, decision making, risk, budgeting, and overall business and technical management of the project and the business funding the project no matter the domain, context, technology or any methods. Risk Management is How Adults Manage Projects - Tim Lister.

2010

2010 2007 Estimate Aerospace

Misinterpretations of the Cone of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

JUNE 19, 2017

The Cone of Uncertainty is a framing assumption used to model the needed reduction in some parameter of interest in domains ranging from software development to hurricane forecasting. Uncertainty creates Risk. Risk management requires active reduction of risk. This extended post covers.

Technical Review

Technical Review Performance Measurement Underperforming Technical Team Estimate

Microeconomics and Risk Management in Decision Making for Software Development

Herding Cats

MARCH 11, 2018

Making changes late in the development cycle has significant impacts on the verification and validation of the system no matter the software development method. . A recent survey of 600 firms indicated that 35% of them had at least one "runaway' software project. Enthusiasm for new software capabilities is a good thing.

Software Developers

Software Developers Software Development Risk Management Risk

Risk Management is How Adults Manage Projects

Herding Cats

APRIL 4, 2019

In a recent exchange in social media, it was clear the notion of risk and the sources of risk, the consequences or risks and managing in the presence of risk was in very unclear, when it was conjectured , we can simply slice the work into small bits and REDUCE risk. . This is good, but it doesn't reduce risk.

Risk Management

Risk Management Risk 2003 2011

The Diversity of Project Manager Position Types: How to Choose a Job Among Different Titles

Epicflow Blog

JANUARY 12, 2021

Portfolio Office Manager (PfM) is an employee who administers projects and programs in a portfolio in terms of risk, benefit, and performance management and reports on the results to the portfolio director and often workes together with a portfolio office analyst. You can guess their main focus of work by their titles.

PMO

PMO 2007 Controlling Construction

Compendium of Works to Increase Probability of Project Success

Herding Cats

APRIL 16, 2019

Business, Technical, Systems, Risk, and Project Management Briefings and Presentations. Risk Management (#RM). Agile Software Development (#ASD). Business, Technical, Systems, Risk, and Project Management. Those lessons are directly transferable to the management of software development teams.

Technical Review

Technical Review Performance Measurement Underperforming Technical Team Governance

Software Estimating Resources

Herding Cats

MAY 7, 2019

This blog page is dedicated to the resources used to estimate software-intensive systems using traditional and agile development methods. Cost Modeling Agile Software Development,” Maarit Laanti and Petri Kettunen, International Transactions on Systems and Applications, Volume 1 Number 2, pp. 61, September 2004.

Estimate

Estimate Software Review Software 2012

Why Johnny Can't Do The Math

Herding Cats

NOVEMBER 5, 2018

In a previous post, Why Johnny Can't Estimate , mentioned some resources for estimating, the principles of business and technical management that demand estimates be made to make decisions, and background on the sources of uncertainty, that create risk, that require estimating to increase the probability of project success.

Software Review

Software Review Technical Review Estimate Software Developers

The 23 Best Project Management Books For Upgrading Your Career in 2020

Planio

JULY 22, 2020

Risk Up Front: Managing Projects in a Complex World. If you’re also interested in Agile project management, pair the PMBOK with the PMI’s new Agile Practice Guide or our own Guide on How to Pick the Software Development Process that’s Right For you. Risk Up Front: Managing Projects in a Complex World.

2020

2020 Underperforming Technical Team Technical Review Software Review

Estimating is a Learned Skill

Herding Cats

NOVEMBER 7, 2016

Estimating is a learned skill, used for any purpose from every-day life to management of projects. When I left for the airport this morning to catch my flight to a customer site I estimated, given the conditions, how much time I need to get to my favorite parking spot at DIA. So when you hear we can't estimate you'll know better.

Estimate

Estimate 2006 2005 2013

Webinar Recap: Agile Series Part 1 – Understanding & Incorporating Agile Project Management

MPUG

OCTOBER 9, 2019

And so this is where agile kind of fits in and isn’t just necessarily only for software development. And remember, agile is kind of born out of the need for technical project management or in many cases, software development. But it is clearly not limited to just software. Am I getting the velocity?

Agile

Agile Technical Review Lean Underperforming Technical Team

Webinar Recap: Agile Series Part 3 – Best Practices & Real World Use of Agile with MS Project / Project PPM

MPUG

OCTOBER 24, 2019

So again, part of that Agile discipline is to help the teams be focused, to help them estimate and learn because in many cases, they’ve never done this work before. I can kind of plan and estimate. What’s deeper estimates?” So we can make these tables that say, “Hey, I’ve got story points.

Agile

Agile Technical Review Software Review Underperforming Technical Team

Project Management Update

Basis of Estimating Software Development

Risk Management Resources

Trending Sources

A Compendium of Risk Management Resources

Reading List for the Cone of Uncertainty

Resources for Cone of Uncertainty

Cone of Uncertainty - Revisited

Deconstructing The Cone of Uncertainty

Misunderstanding Making Decisions in the Presence of Uncertainty

Cone of Uncertainty - Part Cinq

Cone of Uncertainty - Part Trois

Cone of Uncertainty - Part Cinq (Updated)

Managing in Presence of Uncertainty

Misinterpretations of the Cone of Uncertainty

Microeconomics and Risk Management in Decision Making for Software Development

Risk Management is How Adults Manage Projects

The Diversity of Project Manager Position Types: How to Choose a Job Among Different Titles

Compendium of Works to Increase Probability of Project Success

Software Estimating Resources

Why Johnny Can't Do The Math

The 23 Best Project Management Books For Upgrading Your Career in 2020

Estimating is a Learned Skill

Webinar Recap: Agile Series Part 1 – Understanding & Incorporating Agile Project Management

Webinar Recap: Agile Series Part 3 – Best Practices & Real World Use of Agile with MS Project / Project PPM

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