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Deconstructing The Cone of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

Don't toss out the notion that reducing risk and uncertanty and all other performance measures doesn't follow the plan. . Six Rules of Effective Forecasting," Paul Saffo, Harvard Business Review , July-August 2007. Software Measurement and Estimation: A Practical Approach , Linda M. 37–48, 2007. .

2007 42
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Cone of Uncertainty - Revisited

Herding Cats

We're writing two chapters in an upcoming Project Management Book, with a working title, The Gower Handbook of Project Performance for Agile, Waterfall and Everything in Between , edited by Mark Phillips. One chapter on the Principles of Risk Management and the second chapter on the Practices of Risk Management. 37–48, 2007.

2012 29
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Fallacy of the Day

Herding Cats

The technical measures are a set of attributes used to provide the supplier (developer) and the acquirer (customer) with insight into the progress of the definition and development of the technical solution, the ongoing assessment of the associated risks and issues, and the likelihood of meeting the critical objectives of the acquirer (customer).

2005 37
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Misinterpretations of the Cone of Uncertainty

Herding Cats

The Cone of Uncertainty as a Technical Performance Measure. Uncertainty creates Risk. Risk management requires active reduction of risk. Active reduction requires we have a desired reduction goal, perform the work, and measure progress toward the rduction goal. Measure of Effectiveness.

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Cone of Uncertainty - Part Cinq

Herding Cats

Aleatory and Epistemic uncertainties, which create the risk to the success of the project. Other uncertainties that create risk include: Unrealistic performance expectation with missing Measures of Effectiveness and Measures of Performance. A critical success factor for all project work is Risk Management.

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Cone of Uncertainty - Part Cinq (Updated)

Herding Cats

Aleatory and Epistemic uncertainties, which create the risk to the success of the project. Other uncertainties that create risk include: Unrealistic performance expectation with missing Measures of Effectiveness and Measures of Performance. A critical success factor for all project work is Risk Management.

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Cone of Uncertainty - Part Trois

Herding Cats

Aleatory and Epistemic uncertainties, which create the risk to the success of the project. Other uncertainties that create risk include: Unrealistic performance expectation with missing Measures of Effectiveness and Measures of Performance. A critical success factor for all project work is Risk Management.