Herding Cats

AUGUST 1, 2018

“The Cone of Uncertainty,” Stephen Gryphon, Phillippe Kruchten, and Steve McConnell, Letters, IEEE Software , 23 (5) 2006, pp 8?10. Shrinking the Cone of Uncertainty with Continuous Assessment for Software Team Dynamics in Design and Development,” Pongtip Aroonvatanaporn,”Ph.D. 37–48, 2007.

2012 29

2012 2007 2010 2006 29

Herding Cats

JULY 24, 2017

The paper on the Cone of Uncertainty is used by many in the No Estimates community as an example of why estimates are of little use. In this paper, there is data that does not follow the Cone of Uncertainty, in that the uncertainty of the estimates does not reduce as the project proceeds. Then there is some analysis.

2007 42

2007 2012 2006 2008 42

The IIL Blog

APRIL 27, 2018

First let’s keep the concept of ROI basic, which is in this context: Applying this equation to a real-life example, if the cost for rolling out a SMILE activity = $10,000 and the estimated value of the program is $100,000 (considering quantitative and/or qualitative factors such as listed above): This number is not exaggerated.

Software Review 121

Software Review 2004 2012 PMI 121

Herding Cats

AUGUST 25, 2017

Can All This Formality Have Any Use in Modern Software Development? The notion that agile development is a free-for-all development of what ever the customer wants to produce next, with the customer identifying the next important thing to develop works just fine for de minimus projects. McComb, Deanna M.

2014 38

2014 2013 2012 Engineering 38

Herding Cats

JUNE 19, 2017

The Cone of Uncertainty is a framing assumption used to model the needed reduction in some parameter of interest in domains ranging from software development to hurricane forecasting. Of late, Cone of Uncertainty has become the mantra of No Estimates advocates claiming that data is needed BEFORE the Cone is of any use.

Technical Review 35

Technical Review Performance Measurement Underperforming Technical Team Estimate 35

Herding Cats

MARCH 4, 2017

Let's start with a clear and concise description of the problem of successfully managing projects in the presence of uncertainty: Accurate software cost and schedule estimations are essential for non-trivial software projects. As a software project progresses, more information about the project is known.

2010 28

2010 2007 Estimate Aerospace 28

Herding Cats

OCTOBER 16, 2018

The previous approaches to project performance management and production of the Estimate to Complete and Estimate at Completion make use of past performance. Estimating Models for Program Management," Norman Womer and Jeff Cman, Final Technical Reports, N00014-00-1-0280, Unversity of Mississippi, 2003. Data Mining | DMIN'17.

Aerospace 41

Aerospace Engineering 2012 2014 41

Herding Cats

MARCH 11, 2018

Microeconomics is applicable to the development is software systems. If we look at the discipline of software engineering, we see that the microeconomics branch of economics deals more with the types of decisions we need to make as software engineers or managers. Software engineering economics." Boehm, Barry W.

Software Developers 34

Software Developers Software Development Risk Management Risk 34

Scrum.org

FEBRUARY 3, 2020

Software development is (generally speaking) very complex. Why our brain is not built for software engineering. This will affect all estimates and predictions. This will affect all estimates and predictions. Their article inspired me to apply the same insights to Scrum and to extend it with my own.

2002 192

2002 SCRUM 2007 2003 192

Scrum.org

AUGUST 17, 2020

The fallacy happens when we conclude from this that punishment works, and rewards don’t (Defulio, 2012). When teams estimate work, hearing an initial estimate is likely to “anchor” further estimates. The anchoring bias explains why Planning Poker requires participants to show their estimates at the same time.

2015 213

2015 2014 2004 Influencer 213

Herding Cats

MAY 7, 2019

This blog page is dedicated to the resources used to estimate software-intensive systems using traditional and agile development methods. Cost Modeling Agile Software Development,” Maarit Laanti and Petri Kettunen, International Transactions on Systems and Applications, Volume 1 Number 2, pp.

Estimate 40

Estimate Software Review Software 2012 40

Herding Cats

APRIL 16, 2019

Here's a collection of presentations, briefings, papers, essays, book content used to increase the Probability of Project Success (PoPS) I've written and applied over my career in the software-intensive system of systems and other domains. Agile Software Development (#ASD). Enterprise IT and Embedded Systems (#EIT).

Technical Review 42

Technical Review Performance Measurement Underperforming Technical Team Governance 42

Herding Cats

JUNE 12, 2018

Then conjecture that NOT estimating will fix that symptom. Then conjecturing (here) that Not Estimating will somehow fix the problem of when you are DSTOP. The supposed evidence in the presentation, that estimating "does not work" starts with the Chaos Report. Principle #2 - Shorten the Feedback Cycle .

Underperforming Technical Team 40

Underperforming Technical Team Software Engineering Estimate Software Developers 40

Herding Cats

APRIL 4, 2019

Research shows that for projects, especially software projects Aleatory uncertainty is the predominant source of risk. So here are some books, handbooks, and guides that sit on my shelf that are used pretty much all the time on the Software Intensive System of Systems we work on. Software Risk Management , Barry W.

Risk Management 43

Risk Management Risk 2003 2011 43

Herding Cats

JUNE 12, 2018

Then conjecture that NOT estimating will fix that symptom. The notion of waterfall development on slide 9 as actually prohibited in our domain. The notion of waterfall development on slide 9 as actually prohibited in our domain. This is called Doing Stupid Things on Purpose (DSTOP). Not likely.

Underperforming Technical Team 28

Underperforming Technical Team Software Engineering Estimate Development Team Review 28

Herding Cats

NOVEMBER 7, 2016

Estimating is a learned skill, used for any purpose from every-day life to management of projects. When I left for the airport this morning to catch my flight to a customer site I estimated, given the conditions, how much time I need to get to my favorite parking spot at DIA. So when you hear we can't estimate you'll know better.

Estimate 64

Estimate 2006 2005 2013 64

Workzone

AUGUST 4, 2021

This list of alternatives for Asana the project management software will help you identify which project management software you should be using. We’re going to share the top Asana alternative, Workzone, pros and cons of Asana, and 24 other software solutions so you can decide which option is worth researching further.

2021 26

2021 Software Review Technical Review Underperforming Technical Team 26

Wrike

NOVEMBER 7, 2018

Project Management Software & Tools. Project Management Software & Tools. 77% of companies use project management software, and 87% of high-performing companies use project management software. [5]. Top Business Challenges that Lead People to Project Management Software: Capturing time/cost of projects: 62%.

2015 60

2015 Technical Review Underperforming Technical Team Software Review 60

BeeWits

JULY 3, 2018

Wrike is a project management software that enables you to collaborate with your team efficiently and effectively. As a company, Wrike is the provider of a cloud-based project management and collaboration software, based in Silicon Valley, the San Francisco Bay Area. Let’s get started. What is Wrike?

Software Review 29

Software Review Underperforming Technical Team Budget Defining 29

Project Pulse Journal

APRIL 16, 2024

By: Hajime Estanislao, PMP, CSM Embarking on project estimations can often feel complex - where the path forward is unclear, and the potential for missteps is high. This is where the concept of T-shirt sizing shines as a simple estimation technique. What is T-shirt Sizing?

Agile 52

Agile Technical Review Software Review Development Team Review 52